ATL: EX-Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

I'm getting gusts to around 20-25mph here just east of Destin out of the ENE with no convection aiding it.

[Dean4Storms]

Dean, that was the idea when I posted the image!!

I did look at several loops!

OK, I missed your take on it somewhere. But it is strange, I've got good winds here and yet the buoy out there is running well under 10kts.

[tailgater]

The red circle is a pretty decent eddy at the moment and the yellow circle is much weaker ..

I'll placed 50 cents on yellow to show in the last race.

[Sanibel]

I think what happened was TD5 got some boost from being down near the Gulf Stream and when it lifted NW it went right into the ULL and got pulled apart.

[Dean4Storms]

Well if one small circulation can form there south of Destin we really need to watch that area of convection west of Tampa. It looks like it is moving westward out into the overall spiral.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah I mentioned this earlier that we would like start see some eddy's form and rotate around and if it has any hope of surviving then one of them will have to take over which would require convection which we just dont really have so expect more eddy's to come a go.

The red circle is a pretty decent eddy at the moment and the yellow circle is much weaker ..

radar satellite overlay with surface obs clearly showing the two eddy's. the more defined one rotate to about SE LA and the other will rotate east a little and probably become a little more defined over time..

[Stormcenter]

Don't you get the feeling something is "trying" to get re-organized here?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[BigA]

Don't you get the feeling something is "trying" to get re-organized here?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Do you mean the area WSW of Tampa?

[KWT]

Hmmm looks like something is trying to get going but its still a very large broad circulation, doubt it gets any stronger then what it is, that eddy is too close to land to stand much change of getting going to any great degree...

[Dean4Storms]

Don't you get the feeling something is "trying" to get re-organized here?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Especially the area in the eastern Gulf west of Tampa, it has the most room to form something at the surface and deepen if the convection keeps firing and it gets moved a bit more westward into the overall circulation.

[Stormcenter]

I would say somewhere south or SSW of the MS./AL. border. IMO


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Don't you get the feeling something is "trying" to get re-organized here?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Do you mean the area WSW of Tampa?

[Dean4Storms]

I don't ever recall seeing such a large circulation in the Gulf like this, this thing covers the whole eastern half of the Gulf and it not being a large Hurricane like say Ike!

[HURAKAN]

GONE

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE.

[cycloneye]

From 4 PM CDT Advisory.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POTENTIAL
RAINFALL THREAT CAN BE FOUND IN FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

$$

[Hurricane]

Nooooooooooo!

[Hurricane]

[AdamFirst]

And that's all she wrote, folks.

Wasn't there an upper level low in play with this one too? Seems like there's one for every system out there.

[gatorcane]

GONE

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE.

ULL gets another one.............not good for those looking to hit the high-range for pre-season predictions on number of storms, especially since 93L is about to go bye-bye.

May want to consider lowering the number to less than 15 storms at this point....lets see what happens the next two weeks first though.

[Hurricane]

Crazy crazy season...

[Aric Dunn]

Not surprised... but problem is there is a lot of vorticity around and nothing is dead until its over land or heads out to the north atlantic otherwise there is always a chance however low and we have seen such things take place..