ATL: NICOLE - Ex Tropical Storm - Discussion

[sandyb]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

[sfwx]

Jlauderdal, pretty accurate map, I measured 6+" of rain in Hobe Sound.

3.5" here in Eastern PSL

Eric

[Cuber]

this is a question about the models but i wanted to post here seems to get better response...why are models still developing the system into a pretty strong looking systerm tropical or sub tropical what ever its gonna be but the hurricane center talks like there is nothing to this if you look at the models you looks like when it comes into the carolinas we have a pretty good system on our hands please explain

NHC at 2:00 did talk about consulting your local national weather service for possible impacts of this rainmaker. It's moving slow, it's being usual south Florida weather ... unpredictable and ever changing. NHC will issue statements about your area if it will impact your area within 36 hours (12 hours earlier than it would have last year)

[artist]

the pressure here at my home in north slightly west of palm beach gardens has suddenly dropped to 996. My weather station has been right with the NWS one until now.
Theirs is reading 999.1

[SootyTern]

sandyb, invest man, other NC'ers:

Here's a link to another weather site. I like this guy's discussions a lot and he has been taking the threat to NC seriously for a couple of days. He also explains why the NHC drops the storm even though it probably will still exist.

http://crownweather.com/?page_id=325

[artist]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

what city do you live in? I will look up your local for you and post the links here.

[HenkL]

Recon found a large wind shift from SE to W at 23.9N and 81.0W (1826Z).

[artist]

Recon found a large wind shift from SE to W at 23.9N and 81.0W (1826Z).

the obs have suddenly slowed way down. Wonder if they are checking into it.

[HURAKAN]

Nicole looks like its part of the trough already

[artist]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

[plasticup]

Nicole looks like its part of the trough already

I completely agree. If I saw that picture out of context I wouldn't imagine it being a tropical storm.

[ObsessedMiami]

looks like the back edge of that precip shield is heading eastward at a pretty good clip. Rain may be coming to an end here along the SE coast fairly soon.

The rate of retreat looks to be increasing but Miami-Dade might still get a huge shot from that persistant band that has been over the Keys all day.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[sandyb]

sandyb, invest man, other NC'ers:

Here's a link to another weather site. I like this guy's discussions a lot and he has been taking the threat to NC seriously for a couple of days. He also explains why the NHC drops the storm even though it probably will still exist.

http://crownweather.com/?page_id=325

i do read him each day love his site

[sandyb]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

we have 9 different advisorys or watches and warnings at this time i am in north carolina not south

[HURAKAN]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

[TheBurn]

[Blown Away]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

From 11am: INITIAL 29/1500Z 22.6N 80.6W 35 KT

81.9W farther west?

[artist]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

we have 9 different advisorys or watches and warnings at this time i am in north carolina not south

the link I gave you was for North Carolina

[sandyb]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

we have 9 different advisorys or watches and warnings at this time i am in north carolina not south[/quotwe are the county that sticks out in the atlantic when you come up the coast where youare talking is down around wilmington south of us. i know i am getting all the info from our local weather service im also a weather spotter for our county...but i dont get it the models really developing this system tropical or not or local weather men/women are feeling like its gonna be more to it than the hurricane center is saying, not that they are not calling it right just that it is not a interest to them since since it is not "tropical" im not downing the hurricane center they are great at their job its the models im wondering about now i am told to not take them serious but yet when that is what we begin all of our weather watching on with the tropics just trying to understand here

[HURAKAN]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

From 11am: INITIAL 29/1500Z 22.6N 80.6W 35 KT

81.9W farther west?

Dvorak is just an estimate