ATL: MATTHEW - Ex-Tropical Storm - Discussion

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canes101
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Re:

#1121 Postby canes101 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 7:25 pm

Vortmax1 wrote:
Thank you Vortmax. Do you know if any of the models pick it back up for potential regen?



Please read the NHC discussion at 5 PM:


FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY DEPICTING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE MOST RECENT RUNS INDICATE THAT ANY
DEVELOPMENT THERE WOULD LIKELY NOT HAVE CONTINUITY WITH MATTHEW...
BUT RATHER REPRESENT THE FORMATION A NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE.


Very interesting.. Thank you and I'm sorry.....
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2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1122 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:02 pm

Huge blowup of convection near the center. wow.
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Global model run times (CST):
GFS - 0z: 10:30pm, 6z: 4:30am, 12z: 10:30am, 18z: 4:30pm Euro - 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm
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#1123 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:02 pm

AL, 15, 2010092500, , BEST, 0, 150N, 843W, 50, 998, TS

stronger now?
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#1124 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:12 pm

Looks to be back over water maybe? Or underestimated at landfall?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1125 Postby sfwx » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:20 pm

Accuweather forecast for my area. That would be an early cool front for Florida! Seems so much like Wilma...

Thursday Sep 30
Windy with t-storms possible 89°Lo 75°

Friday Oct 1
Very windy; a t-storm or two 89°Lo 81°

Saturday Oct 2
Windy with rain and a t-storm 91°Lo 59

Sunday Oct 3
Mostly cloudy; windy, cooler 77°Lo 60°
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1126 Postby cpdaman » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:30 pm

sfwx wrote:Accuweather forecast for my area. That would be an early cool front for Florida! Seems so much like Wilma...

.....

Sunday Oct 3
Mostly cloudy; windy, cooler 77°Lo 60°


c'mon now. let's not get crazy . actually i would be a tad bit surprised if that cold front in the long range does materialize.......it's still early and that would certainly require quite the pattern change
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#1127 Postby Normandy » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:36 pm

Latest IR is pretty sobering for Honduras from a rainfall perspective. Talk about explosive convection.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1128 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:41 pm

sfwx wrote:Accuweather forecast for my area. That would be an early cool front for Florida! Seems so much like Wilma...

Thursday Sep 30
Windy with t-storms possible 89°Lo 75°

Friday Oct 1
Very windy; a t-storm or two 89°Lo 81°

Saturday Oct 2
Windy with rain and a t-storm 91°Lo 59

Sunday Oct 3
Mostly cloudy; windy, cooler 77°Lo 60°

We are discussing it in the NW Caribbean thread in Talkin Tropics...My local mets/accuweather are both confident we will see TS/H conditions, but it seems to be from Nicole not Matt.
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#1129 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:43 pm

Well, I think we may have to wait for another couple of weeks after Matthew dies off to get anything going...I don't see any waves/pouches being tracked. No other invests, and usually we know about them a few days before they pop up. So we should all get a much deserved break after Matthew.

In my opinion, I think the models will gradually back down from developing Nicole due to Matthew's change of track today.
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#1130 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:44 pm

Normandy wrote:Latest IR is pretty sobering for Honduras from a rainfall perspective. Talk about explosive convection.


Image
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Re:

#1131 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:56 pm

Normandy wrote:Latest IR is pretty sobering for Honduras from a rainfall perspective. Talk about explosive convection.


Looks to be a flooding disaster from it. Hope everyone is okay.
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#1132 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:21 pm

Image

Latest
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Re:

#1133 Postby CourierPR » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:23 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Well, I think we may have to wait for another couple of weeks after Matthew dies off to get anything going...I don't see any waves/pouches being tracked. No other invests, and usually we know about them a few days before they pop up. So we should all get a much deserved break after Matthew.

In my opinion, I think the models will gradually back down from developing Nicole due to Matthew's change of track today.
Are you serious?! Have you read any of the posts in the NW Caribbean thread concerning what the models are developing next week?! :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1134 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:25 pm

Convective bomb has exploded over E Nicaragua and extreme N Honduras. A massive disaster is unfolding this evening
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1135 Postby Tropics Guy » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:30 pm

Matt not dead yet, major convection bombing out over land...............

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

TG
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#1136 Postby TwisterFanatic » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:34 pm

That part of the terrain is pretty flat right? Or am i mistaken.
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Re:

#1137 Postby Tropics Guy » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:38 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:That part of the terrain is pretty flat right? Or am i mistaken.


That part is relatively flat, if he continues west it will become increasingly higher terrain, if he jogs wnw towards Belize or Yucatan then it will stay relatively flat........


TG
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1138 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:44 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1139 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:53 pm

Very strange on the track...Expect it to be post tropical then tropical again while still over land...
Image
Last edited by Florida1118 on Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1140 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:53 pm

amamzing cold cloud tops, over land!!!
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