ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO - DISCUSSION

[Sanibel]

You can tell by the shape that if it had another day over water it would have worked-up to Tropical Storm.

[HURAKAN]

18z

AL, 02, 2010070818, , BEST, 0, 260N, 978W, 25, 1008, TD

30 mph ... likely last

[wxman57]

A pretty funny mistake, but probably shows how tempted the NHC were to pull the trigger if such a mistake like that was made, surely?

Hurakan, the Vis.imagery you have put up there shows the convective burst near the TX/MX border, in an area that really doesn't need the rainfall.

It wasn't a mistake. The NHC was forecasting TD Two to be a minimal TS at landfall when the forecast (map) was issued. But since it hadn't been officially named Bonnie yet, the map says "T.S. Two". Fortunately, residents of the lower valley and NE Mexico and south TX don't also have to contend with strong wind from the depression.

[RachelAnna]

Looks like this TD might be the last action for awhile, huh? Pretty quiet out there now.

[bohaiboy]

Typo. S and D are right next to each other on the keyboard.

[lrak]

We still have a lot of coastal flooding going on from TD 2. Can't get to the surf unless you walk...woe is me.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[TeamPlayersBlue]

anyone else see that it has stalled?

[HURAKAN]

Latest track based on the best track data

[KWT]

Looks like convection is still developing close to the low in the Rio Grande region, not good for the flooding issue really...

[Houstonia]

Stupid question alert -

Is there any chance/what are the chances of any of that moisture from TD two staying in the Gulf and causing more problems down the road? I see by the radars that there is still a lot of moisture left. Is there a high due to come through and clean out the Gulf?

[I-wall]

Looks to me like the center is in mexico (based on radar observation).

[KWT]

Good news is the convection is starting to weaken a little as the center starts to lose its energy inland. Hopefully this will mean the worst of the rains is now over but we shall see, there is still decent rains out there.

[I-wall]

Good news is the convection is starting to weaken a little as the center starts to lose its energy inland. Hopefully this will mean the worst of the rains is now over but we shall see, there is still decent rains out there.

That is good news, but the Rio Grande is already 30 feet above flood stage. All of this rain is only going to make the flooding worse I would assume. Not good for the houses or businesses along the river.

Link to TWC article: http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/photos-texas-laredo-rio-grande-flood_2010-07-08

[KWT]

Yeah the damage is already been done with the combo of the long lasting rains from Alex and also now from TD2...hopefully no more waves/systems move through the area for a time.

[wxman57]

Stupid question alert -

Is there any chance/what are the chances of any of that moisture from TD two staying in the Gulf and causing more problems down the road? I see by the radars that there is still a lot of moisture left. Is there a high due to come through and clean out the Gulf?

Little to none. The moisture is all moving ashore into TX and MX. You can see the dry air moving in from the east on this MIMIC TPW imagery (orange/red/brown colors are moisture, greens/blues are dry air):

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... /main.html

[HURAKAN]

00z

AL, 02, 2010070900, , BEST, 0, 261N, 986W, 25, 1007, TD

continues westward

[Houstonia]

00z

AL, 02, 2010070900, , BEST, 0, 261N, 986W, 25, 1007, TD

continues westward

nice to know, 'cause I sure am tired of cloudy days, and I'm fairly certain that the people in Brownsville, Monterrey, Laredo, etc., are tired of them too!

[HURAKAN]

Still there