ATL: EX-Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

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chzzdekr81
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#1141 Postby chzzdekr81 » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:20 pm

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Re:

#1142 Postby TheBurn » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:23 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:another tornado warning over florida.. even a weak pointless TD can cause issues... have not heard of any major damage but none the less its a reason why all tropical systems are not irrelevant

I'm in Winter Park (Central FL) and yes... 3 funnel clouds reported in the last 20 minutes. Under Warning for another half-hour.
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#1143 Postby rockyman » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:26 pm

Call me crazy (it wouldn't be the first time today), but the system has become a little better organized this afternoon...the center seems to have reformed right off the Florida Panhandle coast, and has started to produce some heavy convection. Perhaps one last gasp is in progress? If the system moves far enough west (I'm on Dauphin Island), I'll provide some "eye of the storm" reports!

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Last edited by rockyman on Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1144 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:26 pm

>>It actually looks like what you are referring to is moving due west....crazy tropics.

Absolutely. And that's why we're here. I know people get hung up on some of the wimpier storms, but they're still cool to track and watch. They're almost always throwing you some kind of curve-ball to help you file something away in your memory banks to use again some day trying to understand things. Turns out several of the models may have done quite well at differing times with the system. Most (except dynamics) never got it strong but took the center, following the upper low, toward the NC Gulf. Some progged tightening near the coast. Some have suggested a stall or whatever. It's the same thing with Bonnie's remnants. I was drinking beer on my swing on my porch between 3-5am and it was a lot more potent than it looked on IR. Been pretty near some hurricanes that had far less effect (Elena for instance). Hell, we've seen two inches already from #5 and probably will see a couple more inches overnight. Not bad for a wimpy system.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

#1145 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:27 pm

Just like a storm to develop once it's written off. 2010 is the year of opposites, so far.

Buoys.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/maps/Florida.shtml

42039
Image

42040
Image

Loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

Not enough time left, but looks to finally be consolidating.
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Re:

#1146 Postby chzzdekr81 » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:27 pm

rockyman wrote:Call me crazy (it wouldn't be the first time today), but the system has become a little better organized this afternoon...the center seems to have reformed right off the Florida Panhandle coast, and has started to produce some heavy convection. Perhaps one last gasp is in progress? If the system moves far enough west (I'm on Dauphin Island), I'll provide some "eye of the storm" reports!

That would be crazy...
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Re:

#1147 Postby shell70 » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:27 pm

rockyman wrote:Call me crazy (it wouldn't be the first time today), but the system has become a little better organized this afternoon...the center seems to have reformed right off the Florida Panhandle coast, and has started to produce some heavy convection. Perhaps one last gasp is in progress? If the system moves far enough west (I'm on Dauphin Island), I'll provide some "eye of the storm" reports!


I hope you are wrong but if that is the case I will be providing some pics from the other side of the bay.
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#1148 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:29 pm

Its just an eddy at the moment there is another eddy farther to the SW both circulating around the "mean" center that is not moving very fast.
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Re: Re:

#1149 Postby petit_bois » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:30 pm

shell70 wrote:
rockyman wrote:Call me crazy (it wouldn't be the first time today), but the system has become a little better organized this afternoon...the center seems to have reformed right off the Florida Panhandle coast, and has started to produce some heavy convection. Perhaps one last gasp is in progress? If the system moves far enough west (I'm on Dauphin Island), I'll provide some "eye of the storm" reports!


I hope you are wrong but if that is the case I will be providing some pics from the other side of the bay.



I'm on Petit Bois
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#1150 Postby capepoint » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:31 pm

Another case of how politics and legaleze has corrupted even weather forcasting. This would have never been given a TD title IMO if it was not for the close proxemity to land and they were not sure if it would develop or not. Better to name a swirl a TD than to have it develop just before moving inland and have the media screaming about an un-forcasted storm hitting somewhere.
It's really pathetic, and it causes all kinds of problems. The public panics, buys everything in sight, and nothing but a thunderstorm hits them. When a real storm comes, they dont evacuate/prepare/listen because they think they have been through a real tropical system.

My opinion anyhow....
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#1151 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:32 pm

Image

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Re:

#1152 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:32 pm

The "mean" center you are referring to looks like it's not moving at all.


Aric Dunn wrote:Its just an eddy at the moment there is another eddy farther to the SW both circulating around the "mean" center that is not moving very fast.
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#1153 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:33 pm

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

Nice little train on the way. I was going to go home and go to sleep since I've been out late the last couple of days with Madden Gras (Galactic Concert and Deuce, Marcus Allen, Marshall Faulk, Joe Horn, Jackson, McKenzie etc. riding in the parade) and then the City Cup Dart Championship last night. But I might just have to stop on the way home to pick up a 6-pack to party with the remnants of TD #5.
Last edited by Steve on Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#1154 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:34 pm

capepoint wrote:Another case of how politics and legaleze has corrupted even weather forcasting. This would have never been given a TD title IMO if it was not for the close proxemity to land and they were not sure if it would develop or not. Better to name a swirl a TD than to have it develop just before moving inland and have the media screaming about an un-forcasted storm hitting somewhere.
It's really pathetic, and it causes all kinds of problems. The public panics, buys everything in sight, and nothing but a thunderstorm hits them. When a real storm comes, they dont evacuate/prepare/listen because they think they have been through a real tropical system.

My opinion anyhow....

I dont think The NHC plays alot of politics, but yet they found a TD, Issued warnings, it died unexpectedly, and stopped. They had all the Evidence to name it a TD.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

#1155 Postby petit_bois » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:37 pm

we are still under a ts warning here on Petit Bois as of 4pm... hmmm
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#1156 Postby rockyman » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:38 pm

I live on Dauphin Island, and I didn't see ANYONE "panic" or "buy everything in sight". I was at the grocery store in Mobile earlier today and saw no panic buying. I do not know of ANYONE who would think they had been through a "real tropical system" today. We coastal residents are a lot smarter than you give us credit for... As far as the NHC, they named this a depression, because it WAS a depression. Plain and simple.
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#1157 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:38 pm

another tornado warning in florida.. our little system is causing some issues..
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

#1158 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:42 pm

petit_bois wrote:we are still under a ts warning here on Petit Bois as of 4pm... hmmm


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
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Re: Re:

#1159 Postby shell70 » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:50 pm

petit_bois wrote:
shell70 wrote:
rockyman wrote:Call me crazy (it wouldn't be the first time today), but the system has become a little better organized this afternoon...the center seems to have reformed right off the Florida Panhandle coast, and has started to produce some heavy convection. Perhaps one last gasp is in progress? If the system moves far enough west (I'm on Dauphin Island), I'll provide some "eye of the storm" reports!


I hope you are wrong but if that is the case I will be providing some pics from the other side of the bay.



I'm on Petit Bois


I am on the other side of Mobile Bay to the East. The clouds have rolled but that is about all.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

#1160 Postby lrak » Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:53 pm

dang surf nazis! poof again...grr
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