ATL: EX-Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

[Steve]

Yeah, a little juice tonight south of the AL/MS border which would be about near (or a hair west) of where that llc/eddy was south of Destin earlier, might be. IMHO chances are next to nil that a burst could re-fire anything, but it doesn't mean there can't be some nice big night storms around if we get a night pulse. I'd like to see a few more frames of cooling tops. Last night everything died off, so that would help show differing influences and maybe a greater likelihood that somebody on the coast will see some weather.

Enhanced IR's

JSL
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-jsl.html

Funktop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

AVN
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

[Dean4Storms]

Starting to see banding around that one convective burst south of Mobile, AL on radar. That has stalled and I remember that the low was expected to stall before turning to the north into the weakness, need to watch it this evening.

[MiamiHurricanes10]

WSW winds being reported out of Tampa along with pressures around 1010mb in the vicinity...makes ya' wonder a bit.

[Steve]

Wimpy, but you can see a pretty broad circulation inching toward SWMS/SELA. No wind to speak of here, but you can see the thick clouds moving across the sky from the northeast. Clearly low pressure is to our east and south. Looks like maybe a decent squall or two to be had by boaters and maybe anyone on the immediate coast if the dry air doesn't impinge on the circulation as it did on the rainfall it looked like we'd be getting tonight. Not much, but again, good call by the models that indicated the double-hit on LA between the ULL and whatever this circulation is (GFS at some point Monday). As noted yesterday, I misdiagnosed the implication as a possible STD (heh)/STS or a trailing upper low. The clues were there.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... B&loop=yes

[chzzdekr81]

3 lemons

[tigergirl]

Well the donught shape ex T.D. 5 is making herself known in SE LA. Heard thunder in the distance.

[tigergirl]

Looks like Mike Sidele (sp) is about to get rocked in Venice:
http://www.wwltv.com/weather/interactiv ... map=sshore

[tigergirl]

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ARE COMPRISED OF A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LOCATED JUST
EAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND
ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST BY LATE MORNING AND COULD STILL
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS TO
PORTIONS OF THAT AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

[BigA]

It's like a minicane. Great structure, falling pressure near landfall (29.75 and winds out of north to the west of the center) Interesting little system at this point.

[Steve]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Boom.

Edit. Damn. I just walked outside and you'd think you were in the middle of a tropical storm. The rain is pouring. /obligatory Otter from Animal House "This is Great!"

[SootyTern]

you might get yourself some weather after all, Steve! (Is it too early for your 6-pack?)

[KWT]

Some nice convection moving inland there, probably would have been much the same result as if this one has remained a depression probably.

[Steve]

haha. I blew it off last night and just stayed in. I gotta go to work for 8, but the backyard is flooded (apparently the most it ever has flooded) and the patio is about half covered with water from that first arm that is coming through here (hoping water doesn't get in the back of the house). I tried to get some video, but it's just too dark. Gonna go check the streets out front. Surprised with the pulse-up and landfall interaction. Early season stuff, and it's again one of those storms making a perpendicular landfall that almost always seem to tighten up over the last few years.

[One Eye]

This is the best its looked so far. Spiraling bands an tightening of the center. However its about to run out of real estate.

[HeeBGBz]

Still not a drop of rain or a puff of wind in Biloxi. Must be staying offshore as it scoots west.

[KWT]

Yeah systems sometimes do this, strengthen or develop some sort of tigther circulartion feature just before landfall.

[Steve]

Flash flood warning here. You can't screen shot the 1 hour frame (or I can't) but it's 2.5-3" d-indicated. We're up to about 5" now which was in the anticipated range, but it certainly looks like there could be a couple more inches at least this morning.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[LSU2001]

I guess that shows you how the rain in tropical systems is streaky steve. Here in Cut Off we have not gotten so much as a raindrop yet. Went out this morning to feed the critters and it is dry as a bone. Did see the lightning to my north however. Stay safe in the port steve.
Tim

[Steve]

Looks like a band is headed down your way per WWL radar (never updated the profile but I'm in +/- East Metairie at the moment).

Hopefully they'll let you link without the stupid registration tag, but it doesn't look like it will be long before you see some.

http://www.wwltv.com/weather/radar?rada ... &img=0&c=y

Zoomed in (by clicking on radar) on the NWS Site and we're hitting the 4" per hour mark right near the Lake. You can see the purple, but you just gotta keep clicking on it to zoom.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

One other note on ex-and-current TD #5, I'm more or less surprised at the almost due west motion at landfall. Models had almost all indicated a south-north impact. Don't know what this means for future comedy as per some of the models, but it wasn't what I expected. Clearly that ridging off the SE Coast is strong.

[tailgater]

Steve I think it is still trying to rotate around what was the main Circ. center but it seems this has now taken over so maybe it will start following what the models were showing soon. I've got plans for the weekend so it woukd be nice if stayed dry over here.

Well maybe it will keep west as it weakens?