ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

Can't remember a year with back-to-back-to-back major hurricanes

[setxsunshine]

I sure hope the people there are prepared. Does anyone know anything about the houses and buildings in that area?

[MGC]

From the looks of the latest IR image, I'd speculate that Karl is intensifying rapidly......since it is a small hurricane the chances of becoming a major have gone though the roof....could even become a Cat-4 if this trend continues all night......MGC

[HURAKAN]

Can't remember a year with back-to-back-to-back major hurricanes

Code: Select all

10   Hurricane IVAN    02-24 SEP    145    910    5   
11   Tropical Depression TEN    09-09 SEP    30    1013    -   
12   Hurricane JEANNE    13-28 SEP    110       3   
13   Hurricane KARL    16-24 SEP    120    938   

If we don't count TD #10 in 2004, then Ivan-Jeanne-Karl were the last major trio. Funny enough, this year is exactly the same trio but under different names! lol

[JtSmarts]

This is the area where Karl is likely headed (Courtesy Google Earth)

[Sanibel]

From the IR I think we can dispense with the disclaimer on category 3.


We should have expected this with the maintaining of form over Yucatan. Once again another explosive system that maintains over land.


West Gulf is this year's second hot spot.

[shah8]

Man, is Avila ever so conservative... He sez simply torrential rains in Mexico, when the map sez that this is going to remain a depression all the way to Mexico City, which would be something else...

[Macrocane]

It looks like Karl will make landfall in a similar location where Dean made its 2nd landfall as a category 2 hurricane, it left 12 deaths and thousands of people affected, unfortunately that part of Mexico is not as well prepared as the Yucatan cities and it's very mountainous so the mudslides are a serious problem.

[Macrocane]

I smell a special advisory instead of an intermediate, Karl is really looking great (I mean the structure is great not its possible effects).

[RL3AO]

1950 had six straight majors (Able to Fox)
1961 had five straight
1951 had four straight
1953, 1955, 1958, 1964, and 2004 had three straight

Of course in the 50's and 60's you can't rule out the probability of them missing a weak storm in there that would disrupt the streak.

[SouthFloridawx]

[SouthFloridawx]

Another cool shot of the Two Amigos and a Senorita...

[RL3AO]

Eye is cooling and rapidly becoming more defined.

[brunota2003]

RI should be underway now, and with recon in place to watch! (not that I want RI, but if it is going to happen, at least we have a bird in there to collect data)

[gilbert88]

What a wonderful season so far... Plenty of exciting storms to watch and track and no impact to the US! Wish all years were like this.

[fasterdisaster]

Karl could be our first retired name this year if he landfalls as a major(depending on Igor's effects on Bermuda).

[gilbert88]

Alex is gone too, believe me.

[HURAKAN]

Karl could be our first retired name this year if he landfalls as a major(depending on Igor's effects on Bermuda).

Alex caused $1.8 billion in damage in NE Mexico ... good grounds for retirement

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Alex_(2010)

[Macrocane]

Actually I think that Alex is going to be retired, the mexican news showed really serious damages, it killed almost 30 people and it's considered one of the worst disasters in northeastern Mexico.

[CrazyC83]

1950 had six straight majors (Able to Fox)
1961 had five straight
1951 had four straight
1953, 1955, 1958, 1964, and 2004 had three straight

Of course in the 50's and 60's you can't rule out the probability of them missing a weak storm in there that would disrupt the streak.

2004 was broken by a depression though between Ivan and Jeanne.