ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[Simone Lussardi]

in Karl case what is the strongest quad?

SW?

Based on the last recon mission it's been the north-east.

Looking at your Google Earth map Veracruz may escape the worst of it

Is still gonna be brushed by the souther eyewall, which is also quite active (not eroded) of a possible 120+ kts storm, they sure will escape total destruction, but there might still be very heavy damages, unfortunately...

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

This seems to be about where Karl will make landfall if there were no wobbles north or south.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Recon is about 382miles from Karl's Center

[AussieMark]

Recon is about 382miles from Karl's Center

Will we have anything before intermediate advisory? or we will have to wait till 11?

[alan1961]

Weatherunderground map

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

I would say it should be before 8am but if not they could issue a special update if needed.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

recon is about 268 miles from the center now

[KWT]

Wow my lord this one has bombed out...I didn't think it'd get quite this strong but conditions were clearly very favourable indeed as they have been in the W.Gulf/BoC for quite some time!

[Parungo]

This seems to be about where Karl will make landfall if there were no wobbles north or south.

http://img696.imageshack.us/img696/8606 ... ndfall.jpg

That is exactly 4 km from Nuclear Power Station of Laguna Verde.

[Swimdude]

Wow, so apparently Karl "went Wilma" on us overnight... That's a ridiculously impressive looking storm... Can't believe we could have (and probably already have) our 5th cat-4 of the season... Unfortunately, this one is bound for land.

[cyclonic chronic]

this will probably be a charley like landfall. if u went 5-10 miles north or south of the landfall point there was total destruction. once outside of that swath was really not too much damage, aside from trees and power lines. lets hope it stays even a few miles north of veracruz and spare them the worst. tho there still should be quite a bit of structural damage. they're also lucky that storm surge will not be as high as a normal cat 4 because karl didnt have enough time to build significant fetch. all in all this has been the best year to track sinse 05 in my book, kinda makes u wonder what oct. will bring for us in the gulf states!!

[KWT]

Wow, so apparently Karl "went Wilma" on us overnight... That's a ridiculously impressive looking storm... Can't believe we could have (and probably already have) our 5th cat-4 of the season... Unfortunately, this one is bound for land.

Yeah its an insane hurricane, I'd expect 130kts at landfall given the rate of strengthening we are seeing, its quite like Charley actually in terms of what is happening...

Also worryingly its dropping WSW and wobbling quite abit as the core is so tight...landfall will probably be around 19.4-19.6N which is close enough to veracruz to be a huge serious threat...

[ftolmsteen]

Like a spinning figure skater, Karl pulled his arms in last night.

Storms like these are EOC's worst nightmare. Little time to prepare.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Recon closing in on the outer rain bands:

[Terry]

Laguna Verde Nuclear Power Station

[AussieMark]

KWT this storm really suprised us All... I was thinking 100-105 kt peak yesterday

Worse thing is this is going to hit the more populated part of the coast and when its done with the winds on the cities

its looking like causing bad flooding in mountainous regions inland

This could be an epic event the way everything is coming together.

I mean its comparable in size to Stan in 2005 but a lot more intense.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.0 6.5 6.5

[AussieMark]

6.0 is consistent with a 135 mph hurricane

[ftolmsteen]

Just by the naked eye alone it looks much stronger.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Recon is now down to operational altitude and will be setting up for it's first pass!