ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[jaxfladude]

If and when 93L does become TD-1 or "Alex", I will try to avoid the Media Circus if it looks like this system heads to the oil spill/slick area.
Storm2K MB will, hopefully, be somewhat calmer.

........as always, be safe y'all.

[cycloneye]

If and when 93L does become TD-1 or "Alex", I will try to avoid the Media Circus if it looks like this system heads to the oil spill/slick area.
Storm2K MB will, hopefully, be somewhat calmer.

......and as always, be safe y'all.

I can assure you that storm2k will not hype anything but only the official information from NHC is our source. If other boards hype,then that is their problem.

[Hugo1989]

The system 93L is a very beutiful

[antonlsu]

Nice pic!

Once this storm is organized i wonder if it will suck up some of that convection to its north.

[Comanche]

Curious as to the JB forecast, anyone?

[drezee]

Curious as to the JB forecast, anyone?

Joe bastardi's Forecast are available via the pay Site

pro.accuweather.com

[cycloneye]

[Rockin4NOLA]

Nice pic!

Once this storm is organized i wonder if it will suck up some of that convection to its north.

Could the Yucatan potentially hurt the inflow for 93L (similar to when it was close to SA)? Or am I way off in thinking this?

[Big O]

Curious as to the JB forecast, anyone?

Joe bastardi's Forecast are available via the pay Site

pro.accuweather.com

Northeastern MX or Texas. States that hurricane models are too far east.

[Comanche]

Curious as to the JB forecast, anyone?

Joe bastardi's Forecast are available via the pay Site

pro.accuweather.com

Northeastern MX or Texas. States that hurricane models are too far east.

Thank you!

[mutley]

It does APPEAR to be establishing a rather large area of sustained convection.

[poof121]

Nice pic!

Once this storm is organized i wonder if it will suck up some of that convection to its north.

Could the Yucatan potentially hurt the inflow for 93L (similar to when it was close to SA)? Or am I way off in thinking this?

I'm not sure, but since the Yucatan is much flatter land than SA, I don't think it'll have as big as an effect. Not to say it won't have any effect on it.

[Frank2]

Per the recon wind barbs (see recon topic) no closed circulation even though some of the flight legs showed a string of NW-N and SE-S winds...

P.S. I'm glancing at it (at work) so correct me if I'm wrong...

Frank

[cycloneye]

35 kt FL, 41 kt SFMR TS Alex if they can close it.

[I-wall]

34 knots measured the SFMR ... if we find a center, we have Alex

Based on the latest recon data, do you think they will find a center?

At the moment? No. In a few hours? Yes

How long does recon normally spend collecting data inside the storm? A few hours?

[Pileus]

Our son is currently doing his internship from Tulane at Universidad Autonoma de Yucatan in city of Merida which is located on the NW corner of the Yucatan peninsula 30 miles inland. How severe will the conditions become at his location and give me a time frame. Thank you.

[drezee]

Curious as to the JB forecast, anyone?

Joe bastardi's Forecast are available via the pay Site

pro.accuweather.com

Northeastern MX or Texas. States that hurricane models are too far east.

As an advocate for Storm2k, I always attempt to avoid such posting. Accuweather is a business and have sued in the past.

[tailgater]

35 kt FL, 41 kt SFMR TS Alex if they can close it.

Probably 130 miles away from COC?

[tolakram]

Here comes the west wind search. Hopefully we'll know in the next 20 minutes.

Models show a Tropical Storm into the Yucatan but it's important to understand that intensity forecasts are still pretty bad.

[ronjon]

Another nice SAT view.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_CARIBWIDE/anim8vis.html