ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[Chacor]

Major rainfall was also reported at MMVR: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

Precipitation Accumulation
Precipitation
Amount
35.05 inches In the 3 hours preceding Sep 17, 2010 - 12:54 PM EDT / 2010.09.17 1654 UTC
3.75 inches In the 6 hours preceding Sep 17, 2010 - 08:42 AM EDT / 2010.09.17 1242 UTC

Although I suspect it's a glitch within NOAA's METAR translator.

[HURAKAN]

based on the reports from Veracruz, we can say that the area of winds associated with Karl was really small. The airport is already reporting south winds, that means that the circulation is to the NW of the city

[Sanibel]

Bullseye of north eyewall on Zempoala ruins.

[mpic]

We are getting pounded with heavy rainfall from Galveston moving north at 20mph. They are saying it is from Karl rain bands.

[HURAKAN]

Mexico got a break ... look how Karl began to deteriorate even before landfall

I think that the RECON plane got to the storm when it was beginning to weaken

[CrazyC83]

http://img836.imageshack.us/img836/1433/sel201009171715goes13xi.gif

Mexico got a break ... look how Karl began to deteriorate even before landfall

I think that the RECON plane got to the storm when it was beginning to weaken

I agree. I don't think it was a Cat 3 at landfall (although it probably was 3 hours ago when they reported the 118 kt FL winds). My guess is that it peaked at about 0900Z at 110 kt, and dropped to 90 kt in the last 8 hours with the fastest drop in the last 4 hours.

Edited by CM to remove [img] tags. Please remember to remove them when quoting someone with a graphic.

[Vortmax1]

I think that the RECON plane got to the storm when it was beginning to weaken

I also agree. They didn't descend until just prior to 8 AM Eastern. By then the show was mostly over.
Also the majority of the system was pushing out ahead to the West as it made landfall so it started deteriorating then.

[cycloneye]

Now, let's wait for the news from Veracruz and see if it wasn't very bad as it was expected to be early this morning,hopefully no fatalities.

[Vortmax1]

[HURAKAN]

Looking at every image, this was its peak (0645z)

[wxman57]

Major rainfall was also reported at MMVR: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

Precipitation Accumulation
Precipitation
Amount
35.05 inches In the 3 hours preceding Sep 17, 2010 - 12:54 PM EDT / 2010.09.17 1654 UTC
3.75 inches In the 6 hours preceding Sep 17, 2010 - 08:42 AM EDT / 2010.09.17 1242 UTC

Although I suspect it's a glitch within NOAA's METAR translator.

Could be in millimeters.

[HenkL]

SYNOP at 18Z from Veracruz:
165 mm rain last 6 hrs (117 last 3 hrs)

[HURAKAN]

SYNOP at 18Z from Veracruz:
165 mm rain last 6 hrs (117 last 3 hrs)

1 millimeter = 0.0393700787 in

165 * 0.0393700787 in = 6.50 in

[wxman57]

SYNOP at 18Z from Veracruz:
165 mm rain last 6 hrs (117 last 3 hrs)

1 millimeter = 0.0393700787 in

165 * 0.0393700787 in = 6.50 in

Sounds closer than 35 inches.

[HURAKAN]

Another pic of Karl at its peak

[masaji79]

That is a nice pic of Karl. Interesting that Karl seems to still be moving southwest. Was that in the track predicted?

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[cycloneye]

This was this morning on the coast in Veracruz.

[artist]

This was this morning on the coast in Veracruz.

http://www.notiver.com.mx/files.php?fil ... 341493.jpg

great pic there Luis. The govt. station showed the streets there just awhile ago and there was a small amount of flooding, and very little wind. Hope that is the worst they get. They have actually even returned to their regular programming so I would consider that to be good news. I hope it is the same for all affected by Karl.

[HURAKAN]

another pic