ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1501 Postby tolakram » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:32 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al932010_al012010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201006252125
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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Re:

#1502 Postby KWT » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:32 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Once it crosses the land, it's not going to to have much time over water after that, so I don't expect a cane out of it. It could develop back into a tropical storm though again, even after crossing land.


Really does depends on the track, the ECM is the extreme southerly outlier here but as long as it does pick up at least some latitude, its going to have enough water to at least strengthen to strong TS if conditions aloft are decent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1503 Postby drezee » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:32 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1504 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:33 pm

TheBurn wrote:Image



Looking good
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1505 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:33 pm

TD

AL, 01, 2010062518, , BEST, 0, 169N, 829W, 30, 1005, TD

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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#1506 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:33 pm

And there it is. 01L.
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#1507 Postby KWT » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:34 pm

Ah so here we go, looks like its going to be offical!

So the 2010 season begins...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1508 Postby lester » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:34 pm

tolakram wrote:BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al932010_al012010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201006252125
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END


Game on!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1509 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:TD

AL, 01, 2010062518, , BEST, 0, 169N, 829W, 30, 1005, TD

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest


At 2 pm edt, it was a TD. I'm expecting them to go now with Alex.
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#1510 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:35 pm

I'd say it is Alex now personally - 35 kt, 1004mb.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1511 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:36 pm

cycloneye wrote:TD

AL, 01, 2010062518, , BEST, 0, 169N, 829W, 30, 1005, TD

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest



Can't imagine it will be a td to long before being upgraded to ts alex
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Re:

#1512 Postby WmE » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:37 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I'd say it is Alex now personally - 35 kt, 1004mb.


It's close. I'd still say TD now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1513 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:37 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1514 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:38 pm

For information to the new members that may not know,until it is official by NHC we dont change the titles of the threads.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1515 Postby tolakram » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:38 pm

Darn good looking TD, look at that banding.
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#1516 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:39 pm

Special advisory should be out by 6:00 I would think.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1517 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:40 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Image



thats one good looking td
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#1518 Postby KWT » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:40 pm

They will probably go conservative at 30kts but state it could be TS Alex at nearly any time. Thats what I'd go for.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1519 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:40 pm

Ivanhater wrote:[img]http://199.9.2.143/tcdat/tc10/ATL/01L.ONE/vis/geo/2km/20100625.2100.goes11.x.vis2km.93LINVEST.30kts-1005mb-169N-829W.100pc.jpg[img]


That's one big storm.
Last edited by bahamaswx on Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1520 Postby BigA » Fri Jun 25, 2010 4:40 pm

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Definitely looks solid. Moving slowly, warm SST's, pretty good conditions aloft, I think this can easily make it to a strong TS by the time it reaches the Yucatan
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