ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - MODELS

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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#161 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:26 am

the Euro should be coming out....I know a select few who get it earlier than us civilians....someone could share so I can go to bed... :D
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#162 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:27 am

Ivanhater wrote:SHIPS still very bullish

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0617 UTC TUE JUN 22 2010

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100622 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100622 0600 100622 1800 100623 0600 100623 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 15.0N 71.2W 15.8N 73.5W 16.4N 75.8W 17.2N 78.2W
BAMD 15.0N 71.2W 15.7N 73.2W 16.3N 75.1W 16.8N 76.9W
BAMM 15.0N 71.2W 15.7N 73.4W 16.3N 75.5W 17.0N 77.7W
LBAR 15.0N 71.2W 15.9N 73.4W 16.9N 75.7W 17.8N 78.0W
SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS
DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100624 0600 100625 0600 100626 0600 100627 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 17.7N 80.4W 18.6N 84.2W 19.2N 87.3W 20.0N 89.9W
BAMD 17.1N 78.5W 17.5N 81.7W 18.0N 84.8W 18.3N 87.8W
BAMM 17.4N 79.6W 18.0N 83.0W 18.6N 85.9W 19.3N 88.8W
LBAR 18.6N 80.2W 20.1N 84.2W 22.1N 87.2W 24.0N 88.8W
SHIP 52KTS 68KTS 82KTS 93KTS
DSHP 52KTS 68KTS 82KTS 48KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.0N LONCUR = 71.2W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 14.5N LONM12 = 68.8W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 13.4N LONM24 = 66.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#163 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:30 am

yeah Ivan, the 0z BAMMS are out but I could not copy and paste the runs into a message..


http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal ... el%20plots

heres the link though....
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#164 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:38 am

00z euro rolling
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#165 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:39 am

yep already seen it.....and it aint something you want to see...
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#166 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:39 am

thanks, i'm ready to go to bed! been waiting. Consistency?
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#167 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:40 am

only out to 48 hours

Image
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#168 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:41 am

ROCK wrote:yep already seen it.....and it aint something you want to see...


dang it Rock..you and your inside dealings :lol:
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#169 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:43 am

So much for a lack of model support
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#170 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:43 am

what site are you at.....I can get you the hook up.... :lol:
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#171 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:44 am

ROCK wrote:what site are you at.....I can get you the hook up.... :lol:


Lol PM me
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#172 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:45 am

ROCK wrote:yep already seen it.....and it aint something you want to see...


Tease. :x
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#173 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:46 am

how much longer for the rest of us? lol
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#174 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:46 am

120 hours

Image
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#175 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:50 am

man you guys......Ivan your pulling these from Allen's page? correct

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... _loop.html
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#176 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:52 am

what I dont get is it does this weird little jog around Cuba very odd.....
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#177 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:52 am

Yeah Rock, but that is still showing last nights run
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#178 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:54 am

Ivanhater wrote:Yeah Rock, but that is still showing last nights run


I was about to say, that's TOO freaky, cause it's exactly the same.

Wait, the first frame says 06/22/10 0z, that would be tonight's run, right? I'm confused.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#179 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:55 am

ROCK wrote:what I dont get is it does this weird little jog around Cuba very odd.....


Yeah, it's combining tonights run and last nights. That is why you see it jump
Last edited by Ivanhater on Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L - MODELS

#180 Postby ROCK » Tue Jun 22, 2010 1:55 am

Ivanhater wrote:Yeah Rock, but that is still showing last nights run



look at the date at 0hr ....6.22.2010...0000z ...

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP000.gif
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