ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - MODELS

[clfenwi]

Is the Gulfstream data in this model run?

Yes, it is.

NOUS42 KWNO 290329
ADMNFD


SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
0327Z TUE JUN 29 2010

THE 00Z NCEP MODEL CYCLE IS ON TIME..

...
THE NOAA G-IV AND USAFR AIRCRAFT ARE FLYING RECON MISSION
FOR T.S. ALEX. 20 DROP SONDE REPORTS AND 7 FLIGHT LEVEL REPORTS
WERE RECEIVED FROM USAFR C-130 FOR THE 00Z CYCLE. ALSO...SEVERAL
UPPER AIR SITES ARE PROVIDING INTERMEDIATE SOUNDINGS.

[Wx_Warrior]

According to someone else, 2/3 of the run was put in....

[A1A]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

Just keep track of Ivanhater's posts. He will be on it early if that is in the realm of forecast possibility.

[jenmrk]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

Just keep track of Ivanhater's posts. He will be on it early if that is in the realm of forecast possibility.[/quote

Yeah, I do watch his post very close, I am in Pensacola also.

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs op..54 (been stuck on 54 forever)

[Wx_Warrior]

66h

[jenmrk]

66h

Does that show a system by Florida?
(not -removed-)

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs para model 48h

[Wx_Warrior]

para 66

[ROCK]

Para sits it at the coast? ewww

[clfenwi]

Yeah, para is similar in landfall location to the operational, however, seems to be slower at bring it inland.

Operational has the same sort of the boot to the southwest after it goes inland that the 12Z GFDL showed.

[Wx_Warrior]

soaked all the way up the coast & GOM coastline

[Evil Jeremy]

66h

Does that show a system by Florida?
(not -removed-)

Nothing organized, just Alex's tail interacting with the through.

[jenmrk]

66h

Does that show a system by Florida?
(not -removed-)

Nothing organized, just Alex's tail interacting with the through.

Ok Thank you.

[Evil Jeremy]

Wow, it must have been a while since I deeply looked into a model thread. I feel stupid for asking this... but what is the GFS Parallel and how long has this model been in existance?

[ROCK]

I have decided to throw in the towel...as soon as the 0z CMC comes out...I am done I tell DONE....

[cycloneye]

Wow, it must have been a while since I deeply looked into a model thread. I feel stupid for asking this... but what is the GFS Parallel and how long has this model been in existance?

GFS will be upgraded on July 27 but they are having tests with it and that is why is parrarell to the actual operational one.

[HouTXmetro]

I have decided to throw in the towel...as soon as the 0z CMC comes out...I am done I tell DONE....

hang in there, you can ALWAYS sleep on the plane.Just make sure you get up in time to get to the airport. lol

[Wx_Warrior]

para is supposed to be replacing operational in july

[Evil Jeremy]

Ah, makes sense. Thanks for filling me in. Which one has been preforming better so far? Also, do they both run at the same time?