ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - MODELS

[Ivanhater]

The always consistent Euro shifted well north tonight about 60 miles south of brownsville...motion for the past few hours is about 320 degrees

[South Texas Storms]

The always consistent Euro shifted well north tonight about 60 miles south of brownsville...motion for the past few hours is about 320 degrees

ivan where do you think alex will make landfall?

[Ivanhater]

I have no idea why Alex has stalled and is inching NNW right now. The ridge was supposed to keep Alex moving at a good click to the west.

[South Texas Storms]

does this open the door more for a texas landfall?

[Ivanhater]

does this open the door more for a texas landfall?

Extreme south Texas has always been a possibility.

[TwisterFanatic]

I have no idea why Alex has stalled and is inching NNW right now. The ridge was supposed to keep Alex moving at a good click to the west.

So my eyes aren't playing tricks on me?

[americanre1]

I have no idea why Alex has stalled and is inching NNW right now. The ridge was supposed to keep Alex moving at a good click to the west.

So my eyes aren't playing tricks on me?

Like I said I hope I'm eating Crow Stew later on this week, but I expect Alex to move NNW, then N, then NNE before making landfall.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[xcool22]

i was looking at a CIMMS steering flow maps not good.

[South Texas Storms]

i think the high in the plains isnt building as far south as some of the models were forecasting it to. can you correct me if im wrong?

[TwisterFanatic]

I have no idea why Alex has stalled and is inching NNW right now. The ridge was supposed to keep Alex moving at a good click to the west.

So my eyes aren't playing tricks on me?

Like I said I hope I'm eating Crow Stew later on this week, but I expect Alex to move NNW, then N, then NNE before making landfall.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I hope your wrong.

[americanre1]

I hope your wrong. [/quote]

me too

[xcool22]

[TwisterFanatic]

i think the high in the plains isnt building as far south as some of the models were forecasting it to. can you correct me if im wrong?

Well i live in Oklahoma and there is no way High Pressure is over us.

[Texashawk]

I have no idea why Alex has stalled and is inching NNW right now. The ridge was supposed to keep Alex moving at a good click to the west.

Just out of curiosity Ivanhater, what radar/satellite are you using to track this movement?

[americanre1]

i think the high in the plains isnt building as far south as some of the models were forecasting it to. can you correct me if im wrong?

Well i live in Oklahoma and there is no way High Pressure is over us.

That is not good.

[americanre1]

Shouldn't the Euro be rolling out right now???

[TwisterFanatic]

Shouldn't the Euro be rolling out right now???

It already has and they shifted north a good bit.

[americanre1]

Shouldn't the Euro be rolling out right now???

It already has and they shifted north a good bit.

Got a graphic of it???

[TwisterFanatic]

Shouldn't the Euro be rolling out right now???

It already has and they shifted north a good bit.

Got a graphic of it???

Somebody else might but i don't.

[xcool22]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 21%21step/