ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: Re:

#2301 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:34 pm

Swimdude wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:
RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.


Geez, talk about bombing out...I don't know if we have seen RI like this since Charley in 04'...

SFT


Not to be captain obvious here, but... Remember Wilma?


Oh yeah...Her...I'd rather not talk about her and her visit to my neck of the woods... :lol:
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Re: Re:

#2302 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:34 pm

Swimdude wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:
RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.


Geez, talk about bombing out...I don't know if we have seen RI like this since Charley in 04'...

SFT


Not to be captain obvious here, but... Remember Wilma?


Or even Felix.
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Re: Re:

#2303 Postby UpTheCreek » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:35 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:Good question about landfall. Does it have to be populated to count as landfall? If not then it has made landfall on Sombrero Island. If that is a requirement then I the answer seems to be "no" it has not.


I don't think it matters what the population of the land mass is - otherwise it would called a "peoplefall" instead of a landfall.



:ggreen:

Kind of like "recurve", what if it hasn't curved yet? lol
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Re:

#2304 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:35 pm

RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.


Cat 5 anyone?
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Re:

#2305 Postby thetruesms » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:38 pm

RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.
Image

That's 14 mb lower than when I left work . . . I was expecting the pressure to drop when the NOAA flight got there, but not quite that much.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2306 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:38 pm

Last image from St Maarten radar:
Image
Note that the web page apparently only updates the 1-hr image loop once an hour sometime after the hour.
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Re: Re:

#2307 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:38 pm

Brent wrote:
RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.


Cat 5 anyone?


Doubt it. Not many Cat 5 with that high a pressure. Even Felix had 929mb.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2308 Postby Duke95 » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:40 pm

Didn't one of the models predict Earl to get to 908 mb last week?
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Re: Re:

#2309 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:41 pm

WmE wrote:
Brent wrote:
RL3AO wrote:934mb!

Holy RI batman.


Cat 5 anyone?


Doubt it. Not many Cat 5 with that high a pressure. Even Felix had 929mb.


Probably the winds are around 125 kt but the Recon hasn't covered the strongest area yet.
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#2310 Postby Cyclone1 » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:42 pm

Gloria has 919 and was only a cat 4. Opal was at 916. This is a significant drop, indicative of RI, but maybe not cat 5-worthy. Yet.
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#2311 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:43 pm

Image

latest
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#2312 Postby Time_Zone » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:43 pm

Yeah, no doubt it's well on it's way to becoming our first cat 5 hurricane since Felix back in 07....not there yet though
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#2313 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:48 pm

The data set covering the NW eyewall is missing. Based on the 117 kt SE quad measurement, it can be assumed that the winds were around 135 kt at flight-level in the NW quad. That would translate into 128 kt at the surface. Given the pressure drop and SFMR assumptions, I would go with 125 kt as the current intensity with a 938mb pressure.
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Re:

#2314 Postby afswo » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:50 pm

BigB0882 wrote:I know this is probably not many people's concern but wouldn't this be close to NYC while the U.S. Open was still going on? I know that is a long way off but if it did go West enough, that could be a huge problem with so many tourists and athletes in NYC and the surrounding areas. I wonder how they would handle that, but I suppose that is a question for another forum, haha


Meetings for New York started today, and plans have been in place for a while for situations like this.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2315 Postby StormGuy » Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:58 pm

I know the latest NHC update said he's still moving WNW but doesn't it look like he's moving more NW now? Maybe my eyes are just playing tricks on me from lack of sleep today.
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#2316 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 30, 2010 5:01 pm

Thank God this bombing out didn't happen at this time yesterday, or the devastation in the islands would be immense.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2317 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Aug 30, 2010 5:02 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2318 Postby sunnyday » Mon Aug 30, 2010 5:03 pm

Much of the east coast in the cone--but not Florida. Lucky again...
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2319 Postby hiflyer » Mon Aug 30, 2010 5:03 pm

StormGuy wrote:I know the latest NHC update said he's still moving WNW but doesn't it look like he's moving more NW now? Maybe my eyes are just playing tricks on me from lack of sleep today.


TWDR SJU radar on the 248nm scan shows roughly 290 for the overall for the last 3 hrs per grlevel 3.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#2320 Postby emeraldislencguy » Mon Aug 30, 2010 5:03 pm

QUESTION???
Has the threat to nc incrased a lot today or about the same since this am
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