ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

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hurricanedude
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3701 Postby hurricanedude » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:04 pm

anyone think the hurricane watch for the Virginia coast gets upgraded to a warning at 11?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3702 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:04 pm

Raebie, I was in Illinois watching, and called Lake Charles, while everyone, including forecasters from the NHC practically calling me an idiot. Everyone said Texas, even south of Galveston....just watch the big picture....step back and look at the weather patterns on the globe. You can foresee it unfolding if you step back and look at the big picture. The trough is picking it up..it is going to be close, but, it's going NE!! Any time anyone of us could be wrong, but, I DON"T see it hitting the NE...maybe skirt NC, but, that's it with this one. You want to know where the real serious concern is??? Gaston. This could be trouble.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3703 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:06 pm

hurricanedude wrote:anyone think the hurricane watch for the Virginia coast gets upgraded to a warning at 11?


I say its likely, though I think it will depend on if Earl continues moving NNW or if he wobbles back west.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3704 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:06 pm

hurricanedude wrote:anyone think the hurricane watch for the Virginia coast gets upgraded to a warning at 11?


Only if the track shifts west so much that it is within 20-30 miles of Hatteras. A TS Warning/cane watch seems reasonable right now.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3705 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:06 pm

LATEST




Image
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3706 Postby JtSmarts » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:07 pm

Sean's story is 100% true, I remember it clearly. The weather forecaster DT at wxrisk.com also seems to agree with a decreasing threat for a landfall.
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#3707 Postby Raebie » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:07 pm

Yeah, I have my eye on that one. And I meant 'heart palpatations' in the warmest sense. You were right. :wink:
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3708 Postby funster » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:07 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Raebie, I was in Illinois watching, and called Lake Charles, while everyone, including forecasters from the NHC practically calling me an idiot. Everyone said Texas, even south of Galveston....just watch the big picture....step back and look at the weather patterns on the globe. You can foresee it unfolding if you step back and look at the big picture. The trough is picking it up..it is going to be close, but, it's going NE!! Any time anyone of us could be wrong, but, I DON"T see it hitting the NE...maybe skirt NC, but, that's it with this one. You want to know where the real serious concern is??? Gaston. This could be trouble.


No. It's not going northeast. Supposed to later though, which will hopefully spare the east coast a direct hit, but many areas could get TS winds or higher even if it stays offshore. This is not a non event.
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Re:

#3709 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:09 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:Can someone please post one of those windfield maps that were posted a few days back?

(i will try to find example)


Here you go Hurricane Andrew:

Hurricane Earl 8:00pm position & windfield. Map courtesy http://www.BoatUS.com

Image
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#3710 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:10 pm

Thanks TampaFl! By the way, is that in MPH, or Knots?
Last edited by Hurricane Andrew on Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3711 Postby THead » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:11 pm

Will be interesting to see how Earl interacts with this front. Not just how the front will turn him, but weather-wise. Remember Wilma, and the front that turned her into SW Fla and marched across S. Fla as a Cat 1 over Eastern S. Fla. I've been through many systems down there, but there was something very bizarre (excuse my highly technical terms :) ) going on with Wilma and that front, that made her seem WAY stronger than a Cat 1 over Broward County. Anyone have any thoughts on that, and how it will effect NC coast and points north?

And thanks all for the usual, awesome graphics and information!
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3712 Postby ozonepete » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:11 pm

Just awesome looking - really impressive.

Image
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3713 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:12 pm

ozonepete wrote:Just awesome looking - really impressive.

Image


Very impressive system.
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Re:

#3714 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:14 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:Thanks TampaFl! By the way, is that in MPH, or Knots?


I believe those are MPH.
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#3715 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:14 pm

Thank you for that info TampaFl.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3716 Postby webke » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:15 pm

Why is it starting to shed the tail it has had above it forthe last few hours.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3717 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:20 pm

phewwww CDO is just beautiful.. Take care everybody along the coastlineImage
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#3718 Postby TexasF6 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:21 pm

He still movin NW................... :double: :flag: God Bless Y'all in the path...
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#3719 Postby pimentel2 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:21 pm

Looks like Rhode Island is now red on the Threat Level...oh jee....this is sure gonna be fun. *sarcasm*

Image
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3720 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Sep 01, 2010 8:22 pm

webke wrote:Why is it starting to shed the tail it has had above it forthe last few hours.


you mean Fiona?
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