ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[lebron23]

stationary?

I noticed that too. Pretty sure it has slowed. Not quite ready to say stationary.

im confused

Wind: 75 MPH — Location: 23.1N 94.8W — Movement: Stationary

it says that on wunderground

[cycloneye]

That private firm is not an official site,NHC is.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 94.8W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES

[TwisterFanatic]

I'm just checking in on the storm has it stalled again?

[HURAKAN]

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 94.8W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES

[ozonepete]

stationary?

I noticed that too. Pretty sure it has slowed. Not quite ready to say stationary.

im confused

Wind: 75 MPH — Location: 23.1N 94.8W — Movement: Stationary

it says that on wunderground

Don't trust them for official stats. Only the NHC.

[ozonepete]

Look at this IR satellite. Bizzare. This is a new one on me. And if anyone thinks this can intensify with a structure like that, I'd love to hear why...



Not to mention, look out on the Texas coast if that convective blast arrives intact!

[Peanut432]

When the storm washes out in Mexico, will the mostiure get caught up in the sw flow and still affect part of Texas, New Mexico, or Oklahoma? The Amarillo and LBK AFDs has been talking about this but this is when they thought the storm was coming in along the border. They think it will cause problems on the 4th ..... so is this still expected.

[SunnyThoughts]

[jaxfladude]

Alex-The Perplex-er!

[johngaltfla]

And it's only June 29th. If we only get 29 more named storms and I miss by one stinking storm, that will really tick me off. Hopefully we have 30 more fish but I'm not holding my breath. This looks like a hint as to what is coming and from a GOM resident's perspective a reminder that we have a long five month period ahead of us.

[funster]

Look at this IR satellite. Bizzare. This is a new one on me. And if anyone thinks this can intensify with a structure like that, I'd love to hear why...



Not to mention, look out on the Texas coast if that convective blast arrives intact!

Alex looks like he wants to punch the Texas coast with his crazy long arm.

[Nederlander]

stationary?

I noticed that too. Pretty sure it has slowed. Not quite ready to say stationary.

GFS had Alex stalling right off the coast for about 24 hours.. I hope Alex picks up speed to avoid major flooding..

[HURAKAN]

Not an eye, just a shooting thunderstorm

[CrazyC83]

The Tropical Storm Warning IMO should be extended northward given the huge size and convection. The Hurricane Warning could ALMOST be pulled from north of the Rio Grande (downgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning/Hurricane Watch), but I would wait for more trends.

[Sanibel]

It's a weird large storm that couldn't pull all its energy in after passing over Yucatan. June does weird things to Gulf cyclones.

[ozonepete]

Not an eye, just a shooting thunderstorm

Exactly.

[ozonepete]

When the storm washes out in Mexico, will the mostiure get caught up in the sw flow and still affect part of Texas, New Mexico, or Oklahoma? The Amarillo and LBK AFDs has been talking about this but this is when they thought the storm was coming in along the border. They think it will cause problems on the 4th ..... so is this still expected.

Yes, peanut. That looks pretty certain. One great place to watch the official forecast for precip amounts is here, the QPF or Quantitative Precipitation Forecast:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml

Sorry, have to call it a night so I don't have time to explain what they're saying but I think you'll get it. Amounts forecasted are in inches.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Almost a foot forecasted off the upper Texas coast through Sunday.

[South Texas Storms]

Almost a foot forecasted off the upper Texas coast through Sunday.

how much do you think we can expect here in san antonio?

[Dave]

Almost a foot forecasted off the upper Texas coast through Sunday.

how much do you think we can expect here in san antonio?

THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS FROM ALEX FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL BE
MAINLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3
TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE GENERALLY
EXPECTED SOUTH OF A DEL RIO TO SAN ANTONIO TO CUERO LINE. WIND GUSTS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. STRONGER WINDS
GUSTS COULD OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN SQUALL LINES. HOWEVER MUCH
WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT PATH AND SPEED OF ALEX...THEREFORE
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ALONG THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE
PLAINS SHOULD MONITOR CLOSELY THE FORECAST TRACK OF ALEX OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

From:

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... er+Outlook