ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Raebie]

If he maintains his strength, will the ULL have as much impact on him as it would otherwise?

[CronkPSU]

any word on the trough, looks like right now Earl is winning the race

[CrazyC83]

And who said this was a slow season? Hopefully this will be a brush, and not a punch from Earl.

Remarkable to see this kind of intensification in this part of the basin.

MW

Hugo went from a Cat 2 to a strong Cat 4 at an even higher latitude though...

[Ptarmigan]

Quite an impressive storm.

[fasterdisaster]

This part of the basin is probably the area that is 2nd or 3rd most optimal for quick intensification, the others being the NW Caribbean and the central GOM.

[invest man]

I know that it is just my bad eyes and to "many wobbles" but the loop above looks like a less than nw motion or is it just me. And is there something up with NHC goes, it does not seem to be updating sats, still on 0015?

[Steve]

You know it. But you still gotta get the business for those two seasons. I don't blame you as much, but I blame their forecasters for putting that kind of generic stuff out there - "Cold front means storm season hopefully over" when sometimes it's just the beginning. At least in those 2 years it was. Here's hoping we get nothing more than a scare the rest of the way. And good luck to everyone in Eastern North Carolina. I still think Earl stays offshore by a bit, but it doesn't mean there isn't going to be tropical storm+ conditions on the east coast. I'm still waiting to see what happens further north and whether Earl can consolidate some of the rotating energy North and NW toward CT/RI/MA. It won't likely be a major by then, but if it's close enough to the coast with that trough approaching, it could get top-heavy. <--- the preceding is not an official forecast and only represents the thoughts and/or ideas of the poster.

[CrazyC83]

As far as I know, there has never been a Category 5 hurricane north of 30°N latitude in the Atlantic basin. I don't know if there even has been one in the WPAC.

[cpdaman]

top heavy? what does that mean exactly

[SouthFloridawx]

[Billy]

Wow... It sure would be nice to find out what this thing is going to do. I am in Hampton, VA and am in an area known for getting hit hard by weaker storms. Isabelle put 5 feet of water in my garage, which is the first story of my house.
I have everything of value packed up in the garage. The race car is ready to get relocated.

[Windtalker1]

any word on the trough, looks like right now Earl is winning the race

I live in TN and tomorrow is going to be 94 degrees, no front yet. The front is not to come through our area till sometime late Friday. I do not think it will make it in time to curve Earl as much as they think.

Just my opinion

[MWatkins]

And who said this was a slow season? Hopefully this will be a brush, and not a punch from Earl.

Remarkable to see this kind of intensification in this part of the basin.

MW

Hugo went from a Cat 2 to a strong Cat 4 at an even higher latitude though...

Oh yeah, no question about it. It just doesn't happen very often.

MW

[SouthFloridawx]

[LowndesCoFire]

How accurate is HurricaneAlley.net?

[bighaben]

any word on the trough, looks like right now Earl is winning the race

I live in TN and tomorrow is going to be 94 degrees, no front yet. The front is not to come through our area till sometime late Friday. I do not think it will make it in time to curve Earl as much as they think.

Just my opinion

I'm liken to agree, up here in Rochester it's supposed to be 91 tomorrow, and 88 on Friday. So no front getting near the East Coast until late Friday, early Saturday. That being said I don't know much about how far ahead of the front you need to be to start feeling its effects so it could be right on target to push Earl out of the way.

[Raebie]

Same for Charlotte. 93 tomorrow, 97 on Friday, 85 on Saturday.

[StormGuy]

any word on the trough, looks like right now Earl is winning the race

I live in TN and tomorrow is going to be 94 degrees, no front yet. The front is not to come through our area till sometime late Friday. I do not think it will make it in time to curve Earl as much as they think.

Just my opinion

I live in the Pittsburgh area and it's supposed to move through here on Friday as well. It's supposed to be 92 here tomorrow and 85 on Friday. For it to get up to 85 here on Friday, the front's going to have to move through in the afternoon at the earliest.

[george_r_1961]

Wow... It sure would be nice to find out what this thing is going to do. I am in Hampton, VA and am in an area known for getting hit hard by weaker storms. Isabelle put 5 feet of water in my garage, which is the first story of my house.
I have everything of value packed up in the garage. The race car is ready to get relocated.

I am in Hampton as well. Generally speaking if you live east of King Street or anywhere within a mile of the water you are subject to flooding. Also the Riverdale area with its creeks and poor drainage is also subject to flooding. Any flooding from this though will likely be tidal or surge related since this doesnt look like a rain event.

[toto]

This part of the basin is probably the area that is 2nd or 3rd most optimal for quick intensification, the others being the NW Caribbean and the central GOM.

Is Earl over the Gulf Stream ?


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