ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[JonathanBelles]

Hmmm. I wasnt expecting that much of a slow down at this time.

[Scorpion]

Gives it more time to strengthen... wouldn't be surprised if it made a run for major

[Texashawk]

I'm surprised that it's even pegged at 5 MPH. It looks nearly stationary, and in fact WUnderground has it as such.

[Fego]

Somewhere in this mexican state it will be the touchdown or impact. Of course this can change but seems this is the area.


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[Brent]

Satellite presentation looks MUCH better now, and what is with the slow motion? Looks like it stalled AGAIN.

[bahamaswx]

Gives it more time to strengthen... wouldn't be surprised if it made a run for major

Doesn't look like he's ever going to get his act together to me. NW quad fills in and dries out again constantly.

[Aric Dunn]

there is definitely an eye starting to show on IR... and the core seems to be expanding.. if the slow motion keeps up we could see some significant strengthening especially since the pressure is very low compared to the winds.. in most cases the winds increase sometime after the pressure fall occurs and given the background pressure is fairly low it is like that Alex is stronger than 80mph atm..

[Scorpion]

Gives it more time to strengthen... wouldn't be surprised if it made a run for major

Doesn't look like he's ever going to get his act together to me. NW quad fills in and dries out again constantly.

It's got an eyewall now though, which could finally lead to significant strengthening.

[southerngale]

Interest seems to have fallen off considerably because it's chances of a major impact on the United States are falling....

that's just me.


Looks like it's blowing up at the moment. Heavy convection firing over center, it's more active there than it's been all day.

Everyone isn't a "weather freak" and interested in hurricanes in general. While there are plenty of us here, the majority of people become concerned when a hurricane could affect them, their family or their friends, and they start checking things out. Most people stop sitting here around the clock when it's clear it won't hit them (or those they care about). That is normal and to be expected.

[fci]

I might add that many of us follow the threads "silently".

[Aric Dunn]

I might add that many of us follow the threads "silently".

yeah you are kind of silent ...

[jlauderdal]

Interest seems to have fallen off considerably because it's chances of a major impact on the United States are falling....

that's just me.


Looks like it's blowing up at the moment. Heavy convection firing over center, it's more active there than it's been all day.

Everyone isn't a "weather freak" and interested in hurricanes in general. While there are plenty of us here, the majority of people become concerned when a hurricane could affect them, their family or their friends, and they start checking things out. Most people stop sitting here around the clock when it's clear it won't hit them (or those they care about). That is normal and to be expected.

we find out who the real freaks are at a time like this,

[South Texas Storms]

any chance that blob of convection south of houston dies out before it makes it to central texas?

[Texashawk]

Actually, I think there's more drama now than there has been all day. This is the time to hop on the bandwagon, not yawn and give up just because Alex, in the immortal words of Big and Rich, ain't 'coming to your city'...

[Aric Dunn]

what you calling me a freak... lol

[Aric Dunn]

any chance that blob of convection south of houston dies out before it makes it to central texas?

im sure some of it will maintain but typically they dont make too far inland

[fci]

I might add that many of us follow the threads "silently".

yeah you are kind of silent ...

Ah.... nice to see you again Aric.
Hope you are doing well and I look forward, as always; to your analysis.
With any luck, I can remain silent and just observe this year.

[americanre1]

Looking at all the different loops, looks like it has either come to a halt or maybe even meandered back to the east a little. Remember all the models showing that eventually it would make a North turn and then a Northeast turn, could we be seeing this happen before landfall?? If so what could this actually cause Alex to do???

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[Aric Dunn]

I might add that many of us follow the threads "silently".

yeah you are kind of silent ...

Ah.... nice to see you again Aric.
Hope you are doing well and I look forward, as always; to your analysis.
With any luck, I can remain silent and just observe this year.

thanks... but you cant be silent its too hard..

[americanre1]

With what looks like Alex breaking off the two convective bursts to the north, could he actually be consolidating into a smaller storm and go through RI, and then the upper winds that are out of the South move him more poleward???