ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm HERMINE - Discussion

Aric Dunn · #421 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:08 pm

becoming very impressive very fast...

Aric Dunn · #422 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:09 pm

becoming very impressive very fast...eyewall seems to quickly becoming more defined..

#423 Postby **Portastorm** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:14 pm

Eeenie-meenie-mynee-mo ... get back on topic or you'll have to go!

CajunMama · #424 Postby **CajunMama** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:22 pm

I agree with Portastorm. Stay on subject. The storm will be making landfall in the near future and you guys were arguing over the pronunciation? Stay on the topic from now on please.

#425 Postby **lrak** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:23 pm

We've got tropical warnings and the surf is ok right now, should I go back out or wait till tomorrow for calmer conditions?

and this is about tropical hermine

Migle · #426 Postby **Migle** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:25 pm

Wow, it looks like it really is wrapping around itself there. This is going to be really close if it has enough time or not.

#427 Postby **lrak** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:27 pm

Well i just checked the radar and I think stay home... :eek:

Migle · #428 Postby **Migle** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:27 pm

lrak wrote:We've got tropical warnings and the surf is ok right now, should I go back out or wait till tomorrow for calmer conditions?

and this is about tropical hermine

Well , it's really south of you, but it's better to be safe than sorry. I would wait to tomorrow when things calm down, but then it probably wouldn't be as much fun :wink:

Macrocane · #429 Postby **Macrocane** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:29 pm

I know recon only found 50 kt winds but it is looking better by the hour maybe 55 or 60 kt in the intermediate and 65 kt in the next full advisory that could be just before or just after landfall.

Aric Dunn · #430 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:32 pm

Macrocane wrote:I know recon only found 50 kt winds but it is looking better by the hour maybe 55 or 60 kt in the intermediate and 65 kt in the next full advisory that could be just before or just after landfall.

yeah pressure should be falling pretty fast now. the eyewall seems to have become tighter and much more defined the east quad probably has 60kts in there..

#431 Postby **lrak** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:32 pm

well after checking the radar and visible satellite it looks like corpus will get some action out of this thing. Its moving NNW and N on some of the pics. Its really cranking up!

#432 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:32 pm

SFMR now supports 55 kt. Pressure likely around 989mb based on heights (as the estimate is missing).

Aric Dunn · #433 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:33 pm

#434 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:35 pm

Pressure calculations:

843.3mb level was at 1,418m on last pass.

When that was at 1,440m it was 993mb and when that was at 1,458m it was 996mb. That would mean the pressure on heights would be around 989mb.

#435 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:37 pm

Landfall should be VERY close to where Alex came in at this rate.

#436 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:39 pm

lrak wrote:well after checking the radar and visible satellite it looks like corpus will get some action out of this thing. Its moving NNW and N on some of the pics. Its really cranking up!

Guys...its not moving north. There are occasional jogs to 340...and right now there is a big jog over the last 30 minutes back to 315...

But its not moving north. It moved at 307 from the 1 pm to the 4pm...and from the 4 pm to the latest recon it has moved at 330. Between the last two recon fixes it moved closed to 320.

#437 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:40 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
lrak wrote:well after checking the radar and visible satellite it looks like corpus will get some action out of this thing. Its moving NNW and N on some of the pics. Its really cranking up!

Guys...its not moving north. There are occasional jogs to 340...and right now there is a big jog over the last 30 minutes back to 315...

But its not moving north. It moved at 307 from the 1 pm to the 4pm...and from the 4 pm to the latest recon it has moved at 330. Between the last two recon fixes it moved closed to 320.

so will landfall be just south of the border?

Aric Dunn · #438 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:42 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
lrak wrote:well after checking the radar and visible satellite it looks like corpus will get some action out of this thing. Its moving NNW and N on some of the pics. Its really cranking up!

Guys...its not moving north. There are occasional jogs to 340...and right now there is a big jog over the last 30 minutes back to 315...

But its not moving north. It moved at 307 from the 1 pm to the 4pm...and from the 4 pm to the latest recon it has moved at 330. Between the last two recon fixes it moved closed to 320.

so will landfall be just south of the border?

yes..

#439 Postby **tolakram** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:43 pm

Saved radar loop.

fasterdisaster · #440 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 4:46 pm

Hermine spies with her little eye...

ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm HERMINE - Discussion

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