ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - MODELS

[Dean4Storms]

With Bonnie still tracking NW I cannot help but think the models shift even further east maybe centralized more toward MS when it is all said and done.

[ROCK]

the model (that cannot be named) lost Bonnie on its last night run right around Cuba....totally lost it....I would suggest you watch the water vapor loop and you will see what I mean...

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Looks like Bonnie is about to be decapitated from the north and east.

[Ivanhater]

FWIW, the 00Z Nam landfalls an area of sprinkles around MS, but the of more importance is the erosion of the ridge in 3 days

[Wx_Warrior]

[caneman]

the model (that cannot be named) lost Bonnie on its last night run right around Cuba....totally lost it....I would suggest you watch the water vapor loop and you will see what I mean...

Rock, no need to name it. We're all wellllllll aware of which model you are refering to or er... like. You know the West biased one that always has it eyes eyes on Texas. At this hour. it's looking more and more like LA. or MS.

[southerngale]

the model (that cannot be named) lost Bonnie on its last night run right around Cuba....totally lost it....I would suggest you watch the water vapor loop and you will see what I mean...

Rock, no need to name it. We're all wellllllll aware of which model you are refering to or er... like. You know the West biased one that always has it eyes eyes on Texas. At this hour. it's looking more and more like LA. or MS.

Except it's been on Mexico for the past few storms and he still loved it then. Can we please end all this crap? It's getting old!

[caneman]

the model (that cannot be named) lost Bonnie on its last night run right around Cuba....totally lost it....I would suggest you watch the water vapor loop and you will see what I mean...

Rock, no need to name it. We're all wellllllll aware of which model you are refering to or er... like. You know the West biased one that always has it eyes eyes on Texas. At this hour. it's looking more and more like LA. or MS.

Except it's been on Mexico for the past few storms and he still loved it then. Can we please end all this crap? It's getting old!

Hmmm. Sounds good to me. No need to stick up for Rock but since you are, could you please stick up for us folks that are tired of the snide comments (like the one he posted above) it gets old. Dare anyone disagrees with the Euro - gasp........ I'm all for getting back to model consesus. Would be good for a change

[Wx_Warrior]

I love the EURO more than Rock (sorry homey)...I haven't seen anyone taking up for anybody on here. Just because he believes in a model doesn't make him a bad guy. Kind of like some loving the NAM, GFS or CMC.

What's tiring is ready threads of people hating on that model then want to argue against it. Or reading posts about every invest is going to blow up into Katrina, Rita or Ike.

Don't take it personal. Or don't respond to a post with EURO in it.

With that said....GFS PARA will run shortly.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

I know one thing if its a Major Hurricane or big storm the EURO is the model of choice!! Bonnie is so small and pitiful i'm surprised ANY model shows it.

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs 0z PARA 36h

[cycloneye]

Please,lets not start those model wars again.

[Wx_Warrior]

I've said my peace....

GFS OPs 60h

[caneman]

I love the EURO more than Rock (sorry homey)...I haven't seen anyone taking up for anybody on here. Just because he believes in a model doesn't make him a bad guy. Kind of like some loving the NAM, GFS or CMC.

What's tiring is ready threads of people hating on that model then want to argue against it. Or reading posts about every invest is going to blow up into Katrina, Rita or Ike.

Don't take it personal. Or don't respond to a post with EURO in it.

With that said....GFS PARA will run shortly.

Not taking it personally. They have done well lately. It's just talked about to the point of nausea. Last I checked the NHC still takes a blend of a all and for good reason. As Steve pointed out earlier with as much W.GOM activiy as there has been lately it would make sense the EURO would be more right. If we had more recurves or E.Gom storms I would expect the right biased models to be right. I really enjoy the unbiased post where posters forecast or believe in a model that doesn't point to their state. The frustrating past for me is trying to read through the fluff.

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs para 42h

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs ops 66h (landfall)

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs para 54h

[southerngale]

Not taking it personally. They have done well lately. It's just talked about to the point of nausea. Last I checked the NHC still takes a blend of a all and for good reason. As Steve pointed out earlier with as much W.GOM activiy as there has been lately it would make sense the EURO would be more right. If we had more recurves or E.Gom storms I would expect the right biased models to be right. I really enjoy the unbiased post where posters forecast or believe in a model that doesn't point to their state. The frustrating past for me is trying to read through the fluff.

I agree. I know all this was originated in good fun, but for the sake of everyone's sanity, maybe we could let the love of particular models subside for a while.... it's driving everyone nuts.

Personally, I don't understand the love for one model, or the hate for one model. They're ALL tools and have their own biases, strengths, and weaknesses, etc.

People open this thread to get information and discussion on the latest model runs. We've had more than a few complaints about the bickering and such. So let's get back to posting model runs and analyzing them. Thanks!

[ROCK]

nice to see I can be the topic if discussion....even when I not here.

[caneman]

[quote="Wx_Warrior"]gfs para 54h

Wow, it's really picking up speed. Is that a La/MS landfall point?