ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION

[HurrMark]

Bones-ie for Bonnie...

[ConvergenceZone]

Glad to hear it's finally dead as many said it would be..., that will stop all of the "give it a chance" posts from rolling in.............

[StormClouds63]

Wxman57 called it. Turn out the lights, the party's over .... for Bonnie, anyway. The ULL wins in the end. Now, perhaps a 2-3 week wait for Colin. Another Bonnie in 2016, unless the Mayans really are right about 2012

[KWT]

Who knows when Colin will come, may have to wait a month, may see it next week, tropics like to flip a 180 quite often!

Anyway Bonnie more or less gone now, still worst while watching it as it enhances storm risk for the coastal states but not much else to watch with Bonnie.

[Stormcenter]

Hmmmm you know as long as it has a circulation and it's over water
you got to keep an open eye. But anyway as stated back on Wednesday
97L (now Bonnie)was going to have a rough ride throughout it's lifetime and she did.
Let'e hope we have a lot more Bonnie's this season.

[KWT]

The fact it made it to Bonnie in the first place was more then waht nearly all the models were suggesting for this system...also quite cool to see it did in the end hit S.Florida, first offical landfalling TS of the season for the US, hopefully the last but I have doubts...

[Ivanhater]

Bonnie was a good lesson for all of us for the rest of the season as far as persistence (she never really should have been alive in that environment) and also steering . Wxman and others pointed out the central gulf states would be at risk this year and this showed that.

I hope everyone stays safe this season because it has been warned over and over, the big ones are coming...

[Steve]

Glad to hear it's finally dead as many said it would be..., that will stop all of the "give it a chance" posts from rolling in.............

While I think I maybe saw one or two of those posts this morning, what difference in a thousand years does it make to you? Why be a chump about it?

Oh, and here is the final death rattle of Bonnie. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

[TTARider]

Glad to hear it's finally dead as many said it would be..., that will stop all of the "give it a chance" posts from rolling in.............

While I think I maybe saw one or two of those posts this morning, what difference in a thousand years does it make to you? Why be a chump about it?

Oh, and here is the final death rattle of Bonnie. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

I happened to agree with cZone on this one.. The posts like that rank right up there with the wish-casting for me..

****** Edited this post... Iwas in a sour mood when I posted.. Apologies to Steve

[ROCK]

Bonnie was a good lesson for all of us for the rest of the season as far as persistence (she never really should have been alive in that environment) and also steering . Wxman and others pointed out the central gulf states would be at risk this year and this showed that.

I hope everyone stays safe this season because it has been warned over and over, the big ones are coming...

landfalling TC predictions is like throwing darts. WXMN knows this as well as all the other independant agencys out there..Thats why they use the words "we think" "its possible" etc etc..its all about timing and evolution of the upper air pattern on close approach..

IMO, all GOM states are at risk not just central gulf states....

Got to stick up for us Texas folks you know, Ivan....

[ConvergenceZone]

Glad to hear it's finally dead as many said it would be..., that will stop all of the "give it a chance" posts from rolling in.............

While I think I maybe saw one or two of those posts this morning, what difference in a thousand years does it make to you? Why be a chump about it?

Oh, and here is the final death rattle of Bonnie. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

I'm not talking about this morning Steve, just talking about late yesterday and last night. There was just lots of wishcasting "give it a chance" posts going on when it was dying, when it was apparent that the ULL had won out..... Most tropical storms you can never say "never" about, but when looking at Bonnie last night, it was very difficult to identify it and the ULL wasn't going anywhere, it had everything stacked against it.....I guess I'm very sensitive because of
the oil leak, and the horrible results that would have come had the ULL not killed it.

[bob rulz]

People have a tendency to get way too sensitive to 1 or 2 posts on this board. It's part of why I don't post here as much as I could.

We should all just be glad that the ULL was there and stuck with Bonnie along its entire path. That would be a scary track if it were even a minimal hurricane.

[KWT]

Some weak sheared convection trying to develop but probably isn't enough for ole Bonnie. We will see these flare ups every now and then as you usually do with wave features.

[Steve]

I hear you on that CZ. I didn't personally think it had a chance. I was still watching it because remnant lows are pretty cool to follow and aren't usually up in the northern gulf. It's all good.

[shell70]

Reminds me of a sunny summer day here along the coast of Alabama. Hit and miss showers with potential of strong thunderstorms. Spanish Fort and Daphne got a lot of rain and south of Fairhope did not get any. That is the way it goes.

[Cookie]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE&feature=avmsc2[/youtube]

just for Bonnie

[Stormcenter]

Yeah right like we don't any wish-casting on this board.

Glad to hear it's finally dead as many said it would be..., that will stop all of the "give it a chance" posts from rolling in.............

While I think I maybe saw one or two of those posts this morning, what difference in a thousand years does it make to you? Why be a chump about it?

Oh, and here is the final death rattle of Bonnie. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

I happened to agree with cZone on this one.. The posts like that rank right up there with the wish-casting for me..

Wouldn't expect someone from SR.Com to understand that... They only breed ignorance a delusion over there..

[tolakram]

Give it a chance ....

[KWT]

Last gasp bursting, will possibly see land friction try to tighten it up one last time.

[wxman57]

Bonnie was a good lesson for all of us for the rest of the season as far as persistence (she never really should have been alive in that environment) and also steering . Wxman and others pointed out the central gulf states would be at risk this year and this showed that.

I hope everyone stays safe this season because it has been warned over and over, the big ones are coming...

landfalling TC predictions is like throwing darts. WXMN knows this as well as all the other independant agencys out there..Thats why they use the words "we think" "its possible" etc etc..its all about timing and evolution of the upper air pattern on close approach..

IMO, all GOM states are at risk not just central gulf states....

Got to stick up for us Texas folks you know, Ivan....

Landfall prediction areas are based upon analog year landfalls. Taking a look at all the years with a similar pattern going into the start of the season, there were significant impacts across the Caribbean, the SE U.S., and the northern Mexico coast south of Brownsville. Of course, that doesn't guarantee that only those areas will be hit. Bonnie and Alex are demonstrating that things will be getting quite interesting in the Gulf next month when the shear drops.