ATL: COLIN - Recon

[cwachal]

Does anyone know when the first recon will be scheduled?

Is it 55 W?

[srainhoutx]

My thinking is at least 3 days before a potential RECON tasking.

000
NOUS42 KNHC 301300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 30 JULY 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z JULY TO 01/1100Z AUG 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-061

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
WVW

[clfenwi]

Does anyone know when the first recon will be scheduled?

Is it 55 W?

Yeah, tasking begins "when a storm is within 500 nm of landfall and west of 55ºW in the Atlantic." I would hazard to say we're at least 5 days away from seeing a flight scheduled for this, depending on what feature, if any, develops.

[abajan]

Does anyone know when the first recon will be scheduled?

Is it 55 W?

Yeah, tasking begins "when a storm is within 500 nm of landfall and west of 55ºW in the Atlantic." I would hazard to say we're at least 5 days away from seeing a flight scheduled for this, depending on what feature, if any, develops.

Subject to correction, I believe one of the changes implemented for this and subsequent seasons was to extend the distance to 50W.

[KWT]

Even then we are still looking at 3-5 days away depending on whether the eastern wave takes over.

[cycloneye]

I think todays TCPOD may start to mention the first mission.

[floridasun78]

their spiecal mission this year to study tropical wave you right their going out to 50w this season only to study strong t-wave and td,ts,hurr here link to that study http://data.eol.ucar.edu/codiac/projs?PREDICT

[cycloneye]

It it develops, a possible NOAA G-IV mission for the 4th at 00z.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

NOUS42 KNHC 011530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT SUN 01 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-063

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV
SURVEILLANCE MISSION OUT OF TISX AROUND CENTRAL
ATLANTIC SYSTEM FOR 04/0000Z IF IT DEVELOPS.

[abajan]

This is probably a good time to remind members that there is a thread which explains in detail how to decode dropsonde information. Also, there’s an ingenious online decoder constructed by Chris_in_Tampa will prove to be very useful during the next few months.

Dropsonde Recon Decoding: viewtopic.php?f=29&t=97379
Web Based Decoder: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

[srainhoutx]

000
NOUS42 KNHC 021430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT MON 02 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-064

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRRESSION FOUR
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 04/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0104A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 18.4N 57.4W
E. 04/1130Z TO 04/1800Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: FIXES AT 05/0000Z
AND 05/0600Z. BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES AT 05/1800Z.

[Dave]

delete

[Dave]

delete this one

[HURAKAN]

Dave, that's the same as yesterday.

[HURAKAN]

936
NOUS42 KNHC 031430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT TUE 03 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-065

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM COLIN
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 05/0000, 0600Z
B. AFXXX 0204A COLIN
C. 04/2230Z
D. 18.3N 60.4W
E. 04/2230Z TO 05/0600Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES
AT 05/1800Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

[cycloneye]

Recon will go later today.Here is an excerpt from the 8 AM TWO.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY.

[HURAKAN]

yes!!!!!!

[wzrgirl1]

I find that interesting even though they posted the "last advisory" yesterday.

[x-y-no]

I find that interesting even though they posted the "last advisory" yesterday.

Well, the final advisory did discuss the likelihood of it redeveloping down the line - although that was in the 5 day time-frame.

[HURAKAN]

351
NOUS42 KNHC 041430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT WED 04 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-066

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 05/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0204A COLIN
C. 05/1630Z
D. 23.0N 67.0W
E. 05/1730Z TO 05/2130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. A 06/1800Z FIX ON COLIN IF STILL A VIABLE
SYSTEM NEAR 27.0N 69.0W.
B. A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 06/1500Z
NEAR 16.5N 84.5W.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

[KWT]

Interesting to see they are still giving this missions, despite only being 20% risk at the moment...