ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Recon discussion

[Dave]

Sorry Dixie didn't mean to miss your question, was tracking down late hdobs.

[brunota2003]

So, from what I see, the "center" is SW of where we originally thought, but still quite elongated.

[dixiebreeze]

They're getting serious about this storm -- lots planned for tomorrow:

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT TUE 10 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-072

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA - GULF OF MEXICO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 11/1800Z, 12/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0305A CYCLONE
C. 11/1630Z
D. 27.3N 86.5W
E. 11/1730Z TO 12/0000Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 12/0600, 0900, 1200Z
B. AFXXX 0405A CYCLONE
C. 12/0500Z
D. 28.7N 89.3W
E. 12/0530Z TO 12/1200Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3 HRLY FIXES
IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
3. REMARKS: NOAA IS PLANNING SEVERAL RESEARCH MISSONS
INTO THIS SYSTEM.
A. G-IV NOAA 49 TAKEOFF 11/1730Z 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
B. P-3 NOAA 42 TAKEOFF 11/2000Z 12,000 FT
C. P-3 NOAA 42 TAKEOFF 12/0800Z 12,000 FT

[cycloneye]

Still no VDM?

[brunota2003]

Nope...looks like right now they are trying to close it off, and it appears to be quite broad.

[Dave]

Someone else want to take over hdobs for awhile?

[tolakram]

Recon working their butts off this afternoon, props to them if anyone is reading.

[Wx_Warrior]

6 knots of wind?

[brunota2003]

That last HDOB..uhhhh, oops, I broke the antenna?

[cycloneye]

Wow,they have earned their money a big way in this mission.

[KWT]

Recon working their butts off this afternoon, props to them if anyone is reading.

Yeah they sure are, but then again given they are rather close to home so to speak thats to be expected, I'm sure most of them enjoy thier work anyway but yeah they always do a good job!

[tolakram]

Current recon returning home? Equipment issues, or giving up?

[thetruesms]

Just by taking a look at what they've found to this point, I'd put my money on giving up. Nothing well-defined out there at all.

[cycloneye]

Here is todays TCPOD about the last mission for tommorow.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT WED 11 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-073

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 12/1500, 1800, 2100Z
B. AFXXX 0505A CYCLONE
C. 12/1230Z
D. 29.6N 89.4W
E. 12/1430Z TO 12/2100Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: NOAA IS STILL PLANNING TO FLY SEVERAL
RESEARCH MISSONS THAT WERE ON TCPOD 10-072.

[cycloneye]

It will be a very short flight from Keesler base to the low center.

FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 16/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0405A INVEST
C. 16/1700Z
D. 29.5N 86.0W
E. 16/1700-2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[KWT]

Yeah just an hour flight there cycloneye and I'd imagine it could be even shorter then that though for Tuesday!

[brunota2003]

I wonder if they'll even go to cruising altitude? Probably not, they'll probably ascend to whatever level they will be using and start collecting obs.

[cycloneye]

Recon is going this afternoon and will fly early tommorow.

NOUS42 KNHC 161430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT MON 16 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-077

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
3. REAMRKS: MISSIONS ON TCPOD 10-076 FOR 16/1800Z
AND 17/0600Z AND 1200Z ON THE REMNANTS OF TD #5
ARE STILL PLANNED TO BE FLOWN AT THIS TIME.



Yesterdays TCPOD:

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA GULF OF MEXICO - REMNENTS OF TD 05
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 16/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0405A INVEST
C. 16/1700Z
D. 29.5N 86.0W
E. 16/1700-2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 17/0600Z- 1200Z
B. AFXXX 0505A CYCLONE
C. 17/0500Z
D. 29.5N 87.5W
E. 17/0500-1200Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

[KWT]

Good to see some more recon again, I can never get enough of recon. I suspect they find 30-35kts at flight level...

[Dave]

Getting ready to go for it again KWT....we'll see soon, not a long flight out this round.