ATL: OTTO - Post-tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#581 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:47 pm

AL, 17, 2010100818, , BEST, 0, 263N, 631W, 70, 977

80 mph
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 956
Age: 33
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#582 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:50 pm

75 knots should be 85 mph. No?
0 likes   
Global model run times (CST):
GFS - 0z: 10:30pm, 6z: 4:30am, 12z: 10:30am, 18z: 4:30pm Euro - 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#583 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 1:52 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:75 knots should be 85 mph. No?


yes
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#584 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:09 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#585 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:15 pm

Image

Nice pic!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#586 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:19 pm

Image

Otto's eye
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31390
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#587 Postby KWT » Fri Oct 08, 2010 2:45 pm

Looks like its wrapping round and trying to become a category-2 as well. Quite an impressive cane considering its subtropical origins.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#588 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 3:44 pm

Image

Looking good
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneStriker
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 195
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2010 7:23 pm
Location: Austin, TX

#589 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 4:17 pm

Latest pic:

Image
0 likes   
217 Miles from the Texas Shore
Top
Cleveland Kent Evans
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 228
Joined: Fri May 02, 2008 4:02 pm

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#590 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Florida1118 wrote:Not bad...8 Hurricanes and 9 or 10 could be possible...Pretty good forcast made early.


We may well end up with about 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5-6 majors - almost precisely as forecast. Yet most in the U.S. consider the seasonal forecast a big bust because no hurricane made landfall along the U.S. Coast. The public judge whether a season is "active" by one thing alone - if they're hit. No hits = forecast bust as far as U.S. citizens are concerned. Stories are already coming out about how bad the seasonal forecast was for the year.


Heck, it seems to me that there are posters on this site who feel that way, given some of the comments I see in posts on the Talking Tropics board. :)
0 likes   
Top
pepeavilenho
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 170
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2009 12:01 pm

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#591 Postby pepeavilenho » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:08 pm

OTTO on his bus....

Image

:lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 63
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#592 Postby x-y-no » Fri Oct 08, 2010 6:11 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Florida1118 wrote:Not bad...8 Hurricanes and 9 or 10 could be possible...Pretty good forcast made early.


We may well end up with about 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5-6 majors - almost precisely as forecast. Yet most in the U.S. consider the seasonal forecast a big bust because no hurricane made landfall along the U.S. Coast. The public judge whether a season is "active" by one thing alone - if they're hit. No hits = forecast bust as far as U.S. citizens are concerned. Stories are already coming out about how bad the seasonal forecast was for the year.

Otto appears to be accelerating off to the NE and out to sea now. Doesn't appear to have much chance of intensifying beyond Cat 1.


Sounds good to me ... my preseason prediction was 17/11/5 ACE=175
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneStriker
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 195
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2010 7:23 pm
Location: Austin, TX

#593 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:05 pm

Is Otto still a Cat 1? Is there an 8:00 advisory?
0 likes   
217 Miles from the Texas Shore
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re:

#594 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:11 pm

HurricaneStriker wrote:Is Otto still a Cat 1? Is there an 8:00 advisory?


There are no tropical storm or hurricane warnings, so there are no intermediate advisories.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#595 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:11 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneStriker
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 195
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2010 7:23 pm
Location: Austin, TX

#596 Postby HurricaneStriker » Fri Oct 08, 2010 7:13 pm

:uarrow: Looks like an eye may be forming, as is evident in most satellite imagery.
0 likes   
217 Miles from the Texas Shore
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#597 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 08, 2010 8:02 pm

Based on that eye and trends I would go up to 75 kt.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139148
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: Hurricane OTTO - Discussion

#598 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2010 8:04 pm

Crazy, you are right.

AL, 17, 2010100900, , BEST, 0, 272N, 617W, 75, 972, HU

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

Up to 85 mph.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2856
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

#599 Postby supercane » Fri Oct 08, 2010 10:32 pm

Not vertically stacked on latest microwave:
Image
0 likes   
Top
supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2856
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

#600 Postby supercane » Fri Oct 08, 2010 11:06 pm

Latest ASCAT:
Image
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 64 guests