ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

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South Texas Storms
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1501 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:04 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:<<<awoke out of hibernation

Good evening gents & ladies!

What does the EURO say?


Howdy buddy! Euro takes it's vorticity into deep south TX. Very consistent too and it is the model I trust the most right now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1502 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:07 pm

Jasons is right.... it will shoot the channel then we get to play with those easterlies to its north...which I dont think are going to be a problem....

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1503 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:08 pm

0z gfs says weak TD near Sabine Pass?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1504 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:10 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:0z gfs says weak TD near Sabine Pass?



what planet have you been on? :lol: :lol: the GFS hasnt seen this for days, until today. I wouldnt trust it right now....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1505 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:12 pm

Big Change

Winds shifted to 22kts sustained SW winds...
LLC is forming

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1506 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:16 pm

Been hibernating Rocky!

IMHG(gut)F(feeling)...weak wet system.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1507 Postby NDG » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:18 pm

drezee wrote:Big Change

Winds shifted to 22kts sustained SW winds...
LLC is forming

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056


It could be a sign that of a closing low but with a lowering of the surface temps that could be a sing that is just from a convection nearby. I would like to see more evindence of a clean SW wind.
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#1508 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:21 pm

I think we will see Don out of this.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1509 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:23 pm

Will have to give my bro (KFDM_Met) a call to get his take...Night guys! August should be interesting.
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Re:

#1510 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:23 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:I think we will see Don out of this.


no doubt about that....I agree...
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#1511 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:24 pm

Greg hasn't talked about it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1512 Postby StormClouds63 » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:25 pm

Wx_Warrior changed his avatar back to "you know who"!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1513 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:26 pm

Right now a weak system. I'd be surprised if we see anything dangerous.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1514 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:26 pm

I have been watching that buoy all day and this is the first time the winds swung around....I would have thought a lighter winds than 22kts though...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1515 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:27 pm

<<<Still my guy & model. EURO doesn't do well with weak systems. I don't hop models & jump off wagons! LOL (IE: Rock) - JK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1516 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:33 pm

:uarrow: Like TwisterFanatic posted earlier.

Image

Forecast Models do not have a handle at all on this system. I agree with you that a weak system maybe at best a TS?? As for track in my opinion anywhere from Port La Vaca to NE Mexico.
Last edited by Rgv20 on Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1517 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:33 pm

0z NOGAPS ,,,,,deepens it as it approaches the coast....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1518 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:34 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:<<<Still my guy & model. EURO doesn't do well with weak systems. I don't hop models & jump off wagons! LOL (IE: Rock) - JK



true that....EURO is better with well established TC track wise....IMO
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1519 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:37 pm

rut roh

but its the NOGAPS..... :ggreen:

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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#1520 Postby TwisterFanatic » Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:38 pm

Looks as if the convection blob is trying to increase in size once again.
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