ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dave]

DECODED DROPSOND OB 12

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 2nd day of the month at 16:57Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Tropical Depression: Number 13 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 12

Part A...


Date: Near the closest hour of 17Z on the 2nd day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 27.3N 91.5W
Location: 204 miles (328 km) to the S (171°) from Lafayette, LA, USA.
Marsden Square: 082 (About)

Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1004mb (29.65 inHg) Sea Level (Surface) 28.0°C (82.4°F) 26.6°C (79.9°F) 130° (from the SE) 10 knots (12 mph)
1000mb 34m (112 ft) 27.8°C (82.0°F) 26.7°C (80.1°F) 145° (from the SE) 8 knots (9 mph)
925mb 724m (2,375 ft) 22.8°C (73.0°F) 22.7°C (72.9°F) 195° (from the SSW) 4 knots (5 mph)
850mb 1,460m (4,790 ft) 19.2°C (66.6°F) 14.7°C (58.5°F) 125° (from the SE) 4 knots (5 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 16:38Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...


Splash Location: 27.35N 91.52W
Splash Time: 16:40Z

Release Location: 27.35N 91.52W View map)
Release Time: 16:38:38Z

Splash Location: 27.35N 91.52W (
Splash Time: 16:40:56Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 150° (from the SSE)
- Wind Speed: 7 knots (8 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 160° (from the SSE)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 843mb to 1003mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 158 gpm - 8 gpm (518 geo. feet - 26 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 145° (from the SE)
- Wind Speed: 8 knots (9 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 20802


Part B: Data For Significant Levels...


Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
1004mb (Surface) 28.0°C (82.4°F) 26.6°C (79.9°F)
863mb 19.8°C (67.6°F) 19.4°C (66.9°F)
850mb 19.2°C (66.6°F) 14.7°C (58.5°F)
843mb 18.6°C (65.5°F) Approximately 11°C (52°F)

Significant Wind Levels...
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
1004mb (Surface) 130° (from the SE) 10 knots (12 mph)
910mb 185° (from the S) 2 knots (2 mph)
856mb 145° (from the SE) 4 knots (5 mph)
843mb 100° (from the E) 4 knots (5 mph)




[Comanche]

wow, a half hour since the last post. Is all my fellow Texans already at the bar, drinking themselves silly to drown out our drought sorrow? If so, where you guys at, I am on my way!

[Dave]

599
URNT15 KNHC 021704
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 34 20110902
165500 2640N 09046W 8433 01546 0070 +180 +112 228012 012 021 000 00
165530 2639N 09045W 8428 01549 0067 +180 +110 231013 014 023 000 00
165600 2638N 09043W 8432 01544 0066 +185 +108 232014 015 023 000 00
165630 2637N 09042W 8429 01548 0066 +185 +107 234014 014 025 000 00
165700 2636N 09041W 8416 01561 0064 +188 +106 233014 014 027 000 00
165730 2634N 09039W 8417 01562 0064 +189 +105 227012 013 026 000 00
165800 2633N 09037W 8426 01553 0063 +192 +107 221011 011 028 000 00
165830 2631N 09036W 8424 01553 0063 +191 +107 218010 011 027 000 00
165900 2630N 09034W 8433 01548 0064 +193 +108 217010 011 024 000 03
165930 2628N 09035W 8429 01551 0069 +184 +109 196006 007 /// /// 03
170000 2628N 09035W 8429 01551 0065 +186 +110 207007 008 021 000 00
170030 2628N 09039W 8424 01554 0069 +182 +109 244007 008 023 001 00
170100 2628N 09041W 8422 01557 0070 +181 +107 254008 009 022 000 00
170130 2628N 09043W 8425 01553 0070 +182 +107 244010 011 020 000 00
170200 2628N 09046W 8424 01557 0069 +181 +108 244011 011 020 000 00
170230 2628N 09048W 8425 01553 0068 +182 +109 248010 010 021 001 00
170300 2628N 09050W 8425 01552 0068 +182 +110 248009 009 025 000 00
170330 2628N 09052W 8426 01553 0066 +184 +111 248007 008 023 000 00
170400 2628N 09054W 8425 01554 0064 +188 +111 234007 007 023 000 00
170430 2628N 09057W 8424 01554 0066 +185 +112 239009 010 023 000 00
$$
;

[underthwx]

yeah quiet here...for now...

[gboudx]

wow, a half hour since the last post. Is all my fellow Texans already at the bar, drinking themselves silly to drown out our drought sorrow? If so, where you guys at, I am on my way!

If not at the bar, then out somewhere praying hard.

[rockyman]

Wind and rain really picking up here in the French Quarter

[Turtle]

I'm a fellow Texan, and as this system moves away from us, I am getting less active. I guess I am shallow but I want this system in Texas!

[Tireman4]

I am still holding out hope!!! At least a cold front is coming. I can say this. With the High Pressure Ridge of Death going away, that will open the Gulf to moisture to move our way. That means, we will have many more chances of what the Elders call rain. This is a beginning, not an ending. I would also watch the Gulf in September and October. I fear that this season is in the fifth inning of a nine inning game.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Dave]

[weunice]

I like your optimism on the rain in Texas Tireman4.

If only we could figure out a way to split the rain. 8 inches in Louisiana/Mississippi and 8 inches to Texas. Less flooding here. We would all be happy.

[Dave]

Haven't been following recon.

Where did the 42kt surface come from?

D. 42 kt

161100 2746N 09011W 8428 01552 0075 +175 +101 159034 035 042 005 00

[Dave]

942
URNT15 KNHC 021714
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 35 20110902
170500 2628N 09059W 8426 01551 0064 +186 +112 243010 011 023 000 00
170530 2628N 09101W 8425 01551 0064 +189 +111 248012 012 023 000 00
170600 2628N 09103W 8424 01553 0062 +190 +111 248012 013 023 000 00
170630 2628N 09103W 8424 01553 0059 +194 +111 253012 012 025 000 00
170700 2628N 09107W 8425 01552 0060 +195 +111 261012 012 023 000 00
170730 2628N 09110W 8426 01548 0056 +198 +112 258012 012 024 000 00
170800 2628N 09112W 8424 01552 0059 +192 +113 263011 012 023 000 00
170830 2628N 09114W 8425 01550 0059 +194 +114 266011 012 023 000 00
170900 2628N 09116W 8425 01549 0059 +193 +115 262011 011 023 000 00
170930 2628N 09118W 8428 01548 0058 +193 +115 254010 011 022 000 00
171000 2628N 09120W 8422 01555 0059 +191 +116 258011 012 021 000 00
171030 2628N 09122W 8428 01547 0055 +198 +117 262012 013 021 000 00
171100 2628N 09125W 8426 01551 0059 +195 +116 268012 013 015 000 00
171130 2628N 09127W 8424 01549 0059 +190 +116 278013 014 013 000 00
171200 2628N 09129W 8454 01522 0060 +195 +117 277011 012 /// /// 03
171230 2630N 09130W 8440 01534 0057 +193 +115 257011 011 007 000 03
171300 2631N 09130W 8428 01546 0058 +190 +113 252011 011 010 000 00
171330 2633N 09130W 8429 01544 0055 +194 +111 256011 011 011 000 00
171400 2635N 09130W 8428 01544 0055 +195 +110 253011 011 012 000 00
171430 2636N 09130W 8430 01543 0055 +194 +109 249012 012 012 000 00
$$
;

[HeeBGBz]

It quieted down for a bit in the last hour or so. Just a steady drizzle and not the constant downpour it was. I hope I make it to work before the next big rainband comes through.

[ROCK]

looks like it barfed out its LLC to the West and South....one jacked up broad low...

[Dave]

[underthwx]

I like your optimism on the rain in Texas Tireman4.

If only we could figure out a way to split the rain. 8 inches in Louisiana/Mississippi and 8 inches to Texas. Less flooding here. We would all be happy.

im not turning my back on the chances for rain atm either...could be a whole different situation tommorow...who knows?




Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Wx_Warrior]

Several were proclaiming victory last night because of a reformed LLC. Just because you have a reform LLC in a diff location doesn't mean this blob was going to go a diff direction.

Poor Rock

[mattpetre]

OK, I can't stand this anymore... I'm making plans to be at the beach this whole weekend, I'm pretty sure that will anger the rain gods just enough to nudge this mess towards us. I'm holding out hope simply because I believe this blob will get closer to TX than the models think; however, our entrenched dry air will make the moistening process a slow one. Lee will create rain for TX, I still believe! Wait and see come Tomorrow night into Sunday.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Dave]

764
URNT15 KNHC 021724
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 36 20110902
171500 2638N 09130W 8428 01545 0053 +197 +109 257011 012 014 000 00
171530 2640N 09130W 8429 01543 0053 +196 +110 245011 011 014 000 00
171600 2641N 09130W 8425 01548 0054 +194 +110 247011 011 013 000 00
171630 2643N 09130W 8429 01543 0050 +198 +110 244010 011 013 000 00
171700 2645N 09130W 8426 01545 0052 +195 +109 240011 012 013 000 00
171730 2647N 09130W 8426 01544 0055 +189 +109 243009 010 014 000 00
171800 2648N 09130W 8431 01537 0055 +189 +110 228011 015 016 001 00
171830 2650N 09130W 8440 01530 0056 +187 +110 215011 013 016 001 00
171900 2652N 09130W 8427 01541 0054 +191 +109 233011 013 012 000 00
171930 2653N 09130W 8430 01540 0056 +188 +105 229013 013 012 000 00
172000 2655N 09130W 8429 01541 0056 +187 +106 224012 013 011 001 00
172030 2657N 09130W 8429 01539 0050 +193 +107 229013 013 012 000 00
172100 2659N 09130W 8428 01541 0049 +195 +107 230011 013 015 000 00
172130 2700N 09130W 8426 01542 0052 +189 +108 228009 009 013 000 00
172200 2702N 09130W 8430 01537 0052 +188 +109 232010 010 014 000 00
172230 2704N 09130W 8425 01542 0050 +190 +109 233010 012 013 000 00
172300 2705N 09130W 8429 01537 0048 +192 +110 234010 010 016 000 00
172330 2707N 09130W 8426 01539 0047 +192 +110 226009 009 014 000 00
172400 2709N 09131W 8428 01537 0047 +195 +110 221010 010 009 000 00
172430 2711N 09131W 8429 01536 0046 +195 +111 224007 007 011 000 00
$$
;

[mattpetre]

Several were proclaiming victory last night because of a reformed LLC. Just because you have a reform LLC in a diff location doesn't mean this blob was going to go a diff direction.

Poor Rock

Well, since you live in TX, I'd have to say Poor WX_Warrior too since you will have to share in our continued misery.