ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Gustywind
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Re: Re:

#1881 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:24 am

hipshot wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Given my untrained eyes, seems that the northern part of Maria is racing to the north and falling apart while the southern part is maybe begin to strength and moving gently to the west. Let's wait and see what could happen wit Maria during the next couple of hours.


That's what it looks like to me as well but my eyes aren't any more trained than yours. BTW, a little
OT. I was checking to see which islands were the windward and leeward islands and noticed that
Dominica gets listed in either one, depending on the site. Can you help me out with this since you are
a local of sorts?

Thanks :) , but it's just my two cents, maybe Cycloneye can have a better idea than me!
In my opinion and given my small knowledge, Dominica is a Windward island but maybe the others are able to confirm what i'm saying :P
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#1882 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:26 am

Hey Cycloneye :) , what about the best track? :?:
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#1883 Postby artist » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:29 am

they are enroute to Maria now. Can someone please post the obs this morning?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/URNT15-USAF.shtml?
Just make certain it says Maria rather than Nate as the storm.
Thank you.
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#1884 Postby artist » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:30 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101217
AF308 0114A MARIA HDOB 01 20110910
120800 1742N 06448W 0106 ///// 0096 +349 +255 360000 000 /// /// 23
120830 1742N 06448W 0108 ///// 0098 +345 +255 360000 000 /// /// 23
120900 1742N 06448W 0109 ///// 0098 +335 +249 360000 000 /// /// 23
120930 1742N 06448W 0108 ///// 0098 +335 +252 360000 000 /// /// 23
121000 1742N 06448W 0108 ///// 0098 +325 +254 360000 000 /// /// 23
121030 1742N 06448W 0111 ///// 0100 +308 +249 360000 000 /// /// 23
121100 1742N 06448W 0109 ///// 0100 +286 +251 360000 000 /// /// 23
121130 1742N 06448W 0108 ///// 0099 +266 +249 360000 000 119 006 23
121200 1742N 06448W 0109 ///// 0099 +260 +233 360000 000 /// /// 23
121230 1742N 06448W 0109 ///// 0099 +261 +235 360000 000 /// /// 23
121300 1742N 06448W 0108 ///// 0098 +265 +228 360000 000 /// /// 23
121330 1742N 06448W 0106 ///// 0097 +261 +220 360000 000 /// /// 23
121400 1742N 06448W 0105 ///// 0095 +260 +217 360000 000 /// /// 23
121430 1742N 06448W 0104 ///// 0094 +260 +212 360000 000 /// /// 23
121500 1742N 06448W 0102 ///// 0092 +261 +214 360000 000 /// /// 23
121530 1742N 06449W 0100 ///// 0090 +260 +204 360000 000 /// /// 23
121600 1742N 06449W 0097 ///// 0088 +262 +204 360000 000 /// /// 23
121630 1742N 06449W 0095 ///// 0086 +260 +202 360000 000 /// /// 23
121700 1742N 06449W 0090 ///// 0082 +260 +192 360000 000 /// /// 25
121730 1742N 06449W 0094 ///// 0085 +264 +197 360000 000 /// /// 25
$$
;
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Re: Re:

#1885 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:31 am

Gustywind wrote:
hipshot wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Given my untrained eyes, seems that the northern part of Maria is racing to the north and falling apart while the southern part is maybe begin to strength and moving gently to the west. Let's wait and see what could happen wit Maria during the next couple of hours.


That's what it looks like to me as well but my eyes aren't any more trained than yours. BTW, a little
OT. I was checking to see which islands were the windward and leeward islands and noticed that
Dominica gets listed in either one, depending on the site. Can you help me out with this since you are
a local of sorts?

Thanks :) , but it's just my two cents, maybe Cycloneye can have a better idea than me!
In my opinion and given my small knowledge, Dominica is a Windward island but maybe the others are able to confirm what i'm saying :P


Dominica is part of the Windward Islands. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windward_I ... _geography
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1886 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:35 am

12z Best Track

AL, 14, 2011091012, , BEST, 0, 169N, 612W, 35, 1008, TS
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#1887 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:41 am

:uarrow:
Thanks Cycloneye, always as a TS.
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#1888 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:47 am

10/0945 UTC 16.4N 60.1W T2.5/2.5 MARIA -- Atlantic
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#1889 Postby Adoquín » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:50 am

nice sunny morning in San Juan. Center? This looks like the sausage I will be having with my pancake. :D
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#1890 Postby artist » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:58 am

URNT15 KNHC 101252
AF308 0414A MARIA HDOB 02 20110910
124230 1758N 06321W 6688 03543 0101 +076 //// 069021 022 /// /// 05
124300 1759N 06319W 6693 03537 0111 +071 //// 074021 022 /// /// 05
124330 1800N 06317W 6815 03387 0118 +075 //// 074022 022 /// /// 05
124400 1802N 06316W 7004 03159 0120 +085 //// 069022 022 /// /// 05
124430 1803N 06314W 7212 02909 0118 +097 +079 066022 022 /// /// 05
124500 1804N 06313W 7429 02659 0117 +111 +088 067026 028 /// /// 05
124530 1805N 06311W 7644 02418 0118 +125 +087 066031 031 /// /// 03
124600 1806N 06310W 7874 02177 0130 +136 +092 069029 030 /// /// 05
124630 1807N 06308W 8122 01912 0132 +148 +101 070031 031 /// /// 05
124700 1808N 06307W 8366 01658 0130 +161 +106 070030 030 /// /// 03
124730 1810N 06306W 8619 01401 0131 +168 +120 071032 034 /// /// 03
124800 1811N 06305W 8855 01145 0118 +177 +125 068030 033 /// /// 05
124830 1812N 06304W 9086 00887 0089 +179 +121 064029 029 /// /// 05
124900 1813N 06303W 9208 00800 0101 +198 +133 066034 036 /// /// 05
124930 1814N 06301W 9210 00796 0096 +201 +136 065037 038 /// /// 05
125000 1815N 06300W 9201 00812 0091 +203 +141 068035 036 /// /// 05
125030 1815N 06259W 9209 00809 0100 +204 +143 069033 034 /// /// 05
125100 1816N 06258W 9203 00824 0117 +203 +160 069033 033 /// /// 05
125130 1817N 06257W 9211 00817 0116 +205 +160 070033 033 /// /// 05
125200 1818N 06256W 9206 00822 0117 +205 +166 070033 034 /// /// 05
$$
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#1891 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:59 am

What a disaster this storm is.

Downgrade at 11 am.
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#1892 Postby Caribwxgirl » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:00 am

Adoquin that's funny...I am glad she doesn't seem to be much. Maybe you all will be spared
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1893 Postby NDG » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:01 am

cycloneye wrote:12z Best Track

AL, 14, 2011091012, , BEST, 0, 169N, 612W, 35, 1008, TS



If this is where her COC is, then she would be a naked swirl, but she barely has a swirl noticeable at the surface.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon Discussion

#1894 Postby clfenwi » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:02 am

I can post obs for Maria.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon

#1895 Postby clfenwi » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:06 am

URNT15 KNHC 101302
AF308 0414A MARIA HDOB 03 20110910
125230 1818N 06255W 9206 00824 0116 +205 +184 071033 034 /// /// 05
125300 1819N 06253W 9216 00816 0118 +205 +174 070031 032 /// /// 05
125330 1818N 06252W 9212 00817 0116 +205 +178 073030 030 /// /// 05
125400 1817N 06251W 9209 00820 0115 +207 +179 072031 031 /// /// 03
125430 1816N 06250W 9207 00821 0115 +204 +182 073032 032 /// /// 05
125500 1815N 06249W 9207 00822 0114 +209 +192 072030 031 /// /// 03
125530 1814N 06248W 9208 00821 0115 +207 +184 075030 031 /// /// 03
125600 1813N 06247W 9209 00820 0114 +209 +187 076030 031 /// /// 05
125630 1812N 06246W 9244 00787 0116 +204 +182 076030 031 /// /// 03
125700 1811N 06245W 9441 00598 0111 +210 +187 074027 028 /// /// 03
125730 1810N 06243W 9572 00468 0100 +220 +187 070026 026 /// /// 05
125800 1809N 06242W 9587 00454 0099 +221 +183 069025 026 /// /// 05
125830 1808N 06241W 9585 00455 0098 +223 +208 071026 029 /// /// 05
125900 1807N 06240W 9586 00454 0097 +225 +201 071027 028 /// /// 05
125930 1806N 06239W 9587 00455 0098 +225 +195 067026 027 030 000 01
130000 1805N 06238W 9584 00457 0098 +225 +195 067026 026 029 000 01
130030 1804N 06237W 9587 00454 0097 +225 +205 066025 027 026 001 00
130100 1803N 06236W 9588 00454 0097 +225 +204 061025 025 027 000 01
130130 1802N 06235W 9591 00449 0097 +225 +198 065025 026 027 000 01
130200 1801N 06234W 9589 00450 0096 +225 +201 066026 028 027 000 01
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1896 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:08 am

Final NHC advisory should be written in a few hours. Nothing there but a wave. Winds are down to 25-35 mph.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon

#1897 Postby clfenwi » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:15 am

URNT15 KNHC 101312
AF308 0414A MARIA HDOB 04 20110910
130230 1800N 06233W 9582 00456 0096 +225 +190 063027 028 026 001 00
130300 1759N 06231W 9583 00457 0095 +225 +199 062027 029 027 001 01
130330 1758N 06230W 9587 00453 0095 +225 +207 061027 029 026 000 01
130400 1757N 06229W 9583 00455 0094 +225 +207 062027 029 027 000 01
130430 1756N 06228W 9585 00453 0094 +225 +200 062029 030 027 000 01
130500 1754N 06227W 9584 00454 0094 +225 +197 057026 027 027 000 00
130530 1753N 06226W 9586 00451 0094 +225 +192 060028 029 027 000 00
130600 1752N 06225W 9589 00448 0093 +225 +202 056026 027 025 000 01
130630 1751N 06224W 9586 00451 0093 +225 +206 056027 030 026 000 01
130700 1750N 06223W 9578 00457 0093 +224 +203 057026 027 026 000 00
130730 1749N 06221W 9589 00449 0093 +225 +202 056028 029 028 001 01
130800 1748N 06220W 9585 00451 0092 +225 +203 053029 030 027 000 01
130830 1747N 06219W 9585 00451 0092 +225 +202 050026 027 026 000 01
130900 1746N 06218W 9586 00451 0092 +225 +202 051027 027 028 001 01
130930 1745N 06217W 9584 00451 0091 +221 +202 053028 028 029 000 01
131000 1744N 06216W 9587 00448 0090 +224 +200 052026 026 029 000 01
131030 1743N 06215W 9586 00448 0090 +224 +204 053027 028 028 001 01
131100 1742N 06214W 9583 00450 0089 +222 +206 050028 028 029 000 01
131130 1741N 06212W 9583 00450 0089 +221 +203 047028 029 033 000 00
131200 1739N 06211W 9583 00449 0089 +221 +196 049026 027 030 001 01
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#1898 Postby SootyTern » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:17 am

I also see what Gustywind and others have noticed; Maria seems to be splitting with the lower(southernmost) section going west and the northernmost section going north. The ULL to the NW looks like it has gotten stronger? Untrained observations here.


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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon

#1899 Postby artist » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:25 am

Image
thru 04
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon

#1900 Postby clfenwi » Sat Sep 10, 2011 8:26 am

URNT15 KNHC 101322
AF308 0414A MARIA HDOB 05 20110910
131230 1738N 06210W 9592 00441 0088 +218 +197 049026 026 031 000 01
131300 1737N 06209W 9582 00449 0085 +224 +196 047028 030 029 000 01
131330 1736N 06208W 9589 00441 0085 +225 +198 043026 027 026 000 01
131400 1735N 06207W 9585 00445 0084 +225 +196 047025 027 026 000 01
131430 1734N 06206W 9585 00444 0083 +225 +205 050025 025 026 000 01
131500 1733N 06204W 9585 00443 0083 +224 +198 050024 024 025 000 01
131530 1732N 06203W 9583 00445 0083 +225 +197 052024 024 024 001 01
131600 1731N 06202W 9587 00440 0082 +222 +200 053024 024 023 000 00
131630 1730N 06201W 9579 00448 0083 +220 +201 051024 026 024 000 01
131700 1729N 06200W 9583 00443 0087 +220 +201 053026 027 027 000 00
131730 1728N 06159W 9592 00436 0083 +220 +197 058028 029 028 000 01
131800 1727N 06158W 9586 00440 0082 +220 +204 058030 031 024 001 01
131830 1725N 06157W 9583 00443 0081 +220 +205 057029 029 022 000 01
131900 1724N 06156W 9586 00440 0081 +218 +193 057027 027 023 000 01
131930 1723N 06154W 9577 00447 0081 +216 +209 048025 026 022 001 01
132000 1722N 06153W 9592 00433 0086 +220 +202 050026 027 024 001 01
132030 1721N 06152W 9584 00440 0079 +217 +205 053025 025 023 000 01
132100 1720N 06151W 9586 00437 0078 +217 +204 053024 025 025 000 00
132130 1719N 06150W 9590 00432 0077 +220 +197 056024 025 025 000 01
132200 1718N 06149W 9582 00440 0077 +219 +203 056021 022 024 000 01
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