ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Aric Dunn]

All the old HDOBS are coming in..

[Vortex]

18Z nogaps rolling in...Initialization show both vorts and they dumbell into one..


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Aric Dunn]

does the google earth thing still work if there are from before. ? would love to see the wind directions..

[artist]

URNT15 KNHC 312314
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 10 20110731
164000 1527N 05856W 3758 08067 0443 -193 -223 056009 010 /// /// 03
164030 1526N 05853W 3759 08060 0442 -195 -223 054009 009 /// /// 03
164100 1525N 05851W 3759 08066 0441 -193 -223 051010 010 /// /// 03
164130 1525N 05848W 3759 08059 0442 -195 -222 053012 013 /// /// 03
164200 1524N 05846W 3760 08060 0441 -193 -224 052013 013 /// /// 03
164230 1523N 05843W 3761 08058 0442 -191 -226 052013 013 /// /// 03
164300 1522N 05841W 3759 08061 0443 -190 -227 056012 013 /// /// 03
164330 1521N 05838W 3759 08063 0442 -190 -227 053013 013 /// /// 03
164400 1521N 05836W 3759 08057 0441 -191 -227 055013 013 /// /// 03
164430 1520N 05834W 3758 08062 0441 -195 -227 054012 013 /// /// 03
164500 1519N 05831W 3757 08065 0443 -197 -228 055012 012 /// /// 03
164530 1518N 05829W 3759 08061 0443 -195 -227 053012 013 /// /// 03
164600 1517N 05826W 3759 08059 0442 -198 -230 052013 013 /// /// 03
164630 1517N 05824W 3759 08063 0441 -197 -228 055013 014 /// /// 03
164700 1516N 05821W 3760 08058 0441 -196 -226 056014 016 /// /// 03
164730 1515N 05819W 3759 08062 0443 -190 -228 064013 014 /// /// 03
164800 1514N 05817W 3760 08065 0443 -189 -229 066014 014 /// /// 03
164830 1513N 05814W 3759 08065 0443 -189 -229 062014 014 /// /// 03
164900 1512N 05812W 3759 08058 0443 -190 -229 061012 012 /// /// 03
164930 1512N 05809W 3759 08064 0443 -190 -229 059011 011 /// /// 03
$$
;

...................................
000
URNT15 KNHC 312317
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 11 20110731
165000 1511N 05807W 3759 08058 0443 -193 -228 056010 011 /// /// 03
165030 1510N 05805W 3759 08063 0442 -191 -228 057013 013 /// /// 03
165100 1509N 05802W 3758 08062 0442 -190 -228 059014 015 /// /// 03
165130 1508N 05800W 3759 08061 0443 -190 -228 064015 015 /// /// 03
165200 1508N 05757W 3760 08064 0443 -190 -229 058013 013 /// /// 03
165230 1507N 05755W 3758 08063 0442 -194 -230 062015 016 /// /// 03
165300 1506N 05753W 3759 08061 0442 -193 -227 063013 014 /// /// 03
165330 1505N 05750W 3760 08060 0442 -192 -237 065014 014 /// /// 03
165400 1504N 05748W 3758 08064 0441 -194 -236 061015 016 /// /// 03
165430 1503N 05745W 3758 08065 0441 -195 -225 058017 018 /// /// 03
165500 1503N 05743W 3760 08058 0441 -191 -222 057016 017 /// /// 03
165530 1502N 05741W 3760 08059 0441 -192 -233 059017 018 /// /// 03
165600 1501N 05738W 3759 08061 0440 -193 -232 054017 018 /// /// 03
165630 1500N 05736W 3760 08061 0441 -191 -227 058017 018 /// /// 03
165700 1459N 05733W 3758 08065 0441 -190 -230 061018 019 /// /// 03
165730 1459N 05731W 3759 08064 0442 -190 -229 063017 018 /// /// 03
165800 1458N 05729W 3760 08063 0441 -189 -228 063014 015 /// /// 03
165830 1457N 05726W 3827 07937 0437 -181 -228 062014 014 /// /// 03
165900 1456N 05724W 3954 07685 0422 -168 -226 084017 018 /// /// 03
165930 1455N 05721W 4070 07469 0405 -152 -227 087017 018 /// /// 03
$$
.................................

000
URNT15 KNHC 312317
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 12 20110731
170000 1454N 05719W 4189 07247 0392 -138 -226 089018 019 /// /// 03
170030 1453N 05717W 4334 06987 0377 -119 -225 088017 018 /// /// 03
170100 1453N 05715W 4504 06703 0361 -105 -223 082015 016 /// /// 03
170130 1452N 05712W 4673 06418 0348 -093 -219 080012 013 /// /// 03
170200 1451N 05710W 4859 06122 0337 -075 -216 082010 010 /// /// 03
170230 1450N 05708W 5048 05819 0317 -060 -214 067009 011 /// /// 03
170300 1449N 05706W 5242 05522 0299 -043 -191 066012 014 /// /// 03
170330 1448N 05705W 5432 05238 0280 -023 -172 075016 018 /// /// 03
170400 1446N 05703W 5625 04960 0115 -006 -175 081018 019 /// /// 03
170430 1445N 05701W 5708 04845 0118 +000 -176 075015 015 /// /// 03
170500 1443N 05700W 5722 04822 0113 +000 -150 076015 016 /// /// 03
170530 1442N 05659W 5717 04828 0118 -001 -142 080015 015 /// /// 03
170600 1440N 05657W 5716 04831 0121 -004 -136 076016 017 /// /// 03
170630 1439N 05656W 5716 04828 0115 -000 -125 072017 017 /// /// 03
170700 1437N 05654W 5715 04834 0121 -002 -118 080018 019 /// /// 03
170730 1437N 05652W 5717 04824 0124 -005 -110 084019 019 /// /// 03
170800 1437N 05650W 5718 04824 0124 -005 -101 085019 019 /// /// 03
170830 1437N 05648W 5718 04821 0122 -005 -097 087018 018 /// /// 03
170900 1437N 05646W 5718 04819 0118 -004 -094 086018 019 /// /// 03
170930 1437N 05644W 5716 04821 0107 +001 -092 081020 020 /// /// 03
$$
.............................
URNT15 KNHC 312318
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 13 20110731
170730 1437N 05652W 5717 04824 0124 -005 -110 084019 019 /// /// 03
170800 1437N 05650W 5718 04824 0124 -005 -101 085019 019 /// /// 03
170830 1437N 05648W 5718 04821 0122 -005 -097 087018 018 /// /// 03
170900 1437N 05646W 5718 04819 0118 -004 -094 086018 019 /// /// 03
170930 1437N 05644W 5716 04821 0107 +001 -092 081020 020 /// /// 03
171000 1437N 05642W 5717 04822 0100 +005 -091 079021 021 /// /// 03
171030 1437N 05640W 5717 04817 0106 +000 -090 081020 020 /// /// 03
171100 1437N 05638W 5717 04818 0103 +001 -086 087019 020 /// /// 03
171130 1437N 05636W 5717 04822 0109 +001 -084 079018 018 /// /// 03
171200 1437N 05634W 5717 04827 0113 -000 -083 076017 017 /// /// 03
171230 1437N 05632W 5715 04829 0111 -000 -080 071017 017 /// /// 03
171300 1436N 05630W 5717 04823 0113 -002 -080 071019 019 /// /// 03
171330 1435N 05628W 5716 04823 0110 +001 -077 070020 021 /// /// 03
171400 1435N 05626W 5718 04821 0101 +005 -078 071020 020 /// /// 03
171430 1434N 05624W 5718 04826 0097 +005 -080 069019 020 /// /// 03
171500 1433N 05622W 5717 04826 0100 +006 -080 067019 020 /// /// 03
171530 1432N 05620W 5792 04717 0095 +014 -080 066018 018 /// /// 03
171600 1432N 05620W 5792 04717 0094 +017 -080 066018 018 /// /// 03
171630 1432N 05620W 5792 04717 0094 +017 -080 066018 018 /// /// 03
171700 1432N 05620W 5792 04717 0094 +017 -080 066018 018 /// /// 03
$$
;
....................

[KWT]

We talked about this several days ago..The slower she cranks up the further west she goes...Looks like a legitimate threat to DR and Bahamas...

Yep, a threat to PR is also very much there still, looks like broadly a threat to E/C Caribbean then a big threat to the T&C's, though obviously a trip over DR would probably take alot out of the system.

Worth noting both the GFS and the ECM really strengthen this between 120-168hrs.

[Evil Jeremy]

there were a couple of people that were so stubborn on taking this one out to see, which is fine to have your own opinion but they were mentioning it as if it was guaranteed the U.S was safe. That made it irritating for the rest of us that arguments were all over the thread. This is what we were talking about. Anything can happen.

I don't quite get your "frustration" over people saying that this was going to recurve.
Models had it, Pro Mets had it and climatology had it.
Conditions have changed with the slower development and splitting of the system
I can't undestand why this would frustrate anyone!

Yeah I mean the Tropics change...No one is going to get it right all the time. As long as they have the disclaimer, then I say let them have at it

I think what HurricaneWarning92 is saying is that because the tropics change, no one should talk as if the US being safe was a done deal, as people have been doing over the past couple days. To many extreme statements. Anyways, back on topic.

[artist]

URNT15 KNHC 311729
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 14 20110731
171730 1432N 05620W 5792 04717 0092 +014 -075 068018 018 /// /// 03
171800 1428N 05611W 5838 04636 0094 +007 -067 072018 018 /// /// 03
171830 1427N 05609W 5831 04646 0094 +006 -066 073019 020 /// /// 03
171900 1426N 05607W 5833 04646 0091 +008 -065 073017 018 /// /// 03
171930 1425N 05606W 5839 04635 0093 +007 -065 078016 016 /// /// 03
172000 1424N 05604W 5835 04642 0090 +009 -065 077016 017 /// /// 03
172030 1424N 05602W 5835 04640 0093 +010 -064 075016 017 /// /// 03
172100 1423N 05559W 5945 04491 0104 +016 -064 079014 015 /// /// 03
172130 1423N 05557W 6121 04287 0129 +029 -063 076015 015 /// /// 03
172200 1423N 05555W 6324 04016 0132 +046 -062 084014 015 /// /// 03
172230 1423N 05554W 6561 03712 0132 +063 -057 088010 010 /// /// 03
172300 1423N 05552W 6809 03401 0132 +080 -050 087011 011 /// /// 03
172330 1424N 05550W 7049 03114 0126 +099 -042 089010 010 /// /// 03
172400 1424N 05548W 7302 02813 0124 +112 -030 097008 008 /// /// 03
172430 1425N 05546W 7560 02516 0128 +123 -012 109009 009 /// /// 03
172500 1425N 05544W 7822 02229 0131 +135 -018 124010 011 /// /// 03
172530 1426N 05542W 8071 01963 0131 +152 -056 109012 012 /// /// 03
172600 1426N 05540W 8270 01750 0127 +165 -062 091013 014 /// /// 03
172630 1425N 05539W 8451 01565 0126 +166 -049 083013 013 /// /// 03
172700 1425N 05537W 8679 01330 0127 +166 +031 085011 012 /// /// 03
$$
;

.............................
URNT15 KNHC 311739
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 15 20110731
172730 1424N 05536W 8905 01124 0135 +177 +049 089013 015 /// /// 03
172800 1424N 05534W 9135 00893 0125 +195 +060 095015 016 /// /// 03
172830 1423N 05533W 9361 00677 0118 +207 +070 089017 018 /// /// 03
172900 1421N 05532W 9596 00448 0111 +224 +080 093018 019 /// /// 03
172930 1420N 05531W 9741 00327 0117 +231 +090 100019 020 /// /// 03
173000 1419N 05530W 9766 00308 0118 +228 +099 102019 020 /// /// 03
173030 1418N 05529W 9774 00302 0118 +227 +108 103015 016 /// /// 03
173100 1416N 05528W 9768 00306 0117 +230 +115 108017 017 /// /// 03
173130 1415N 05527W 9772 00302 0117 +230 +121 107017 017 /// /// 03
173200 1413N 05527W 9769 00305 0116 +232 +126 108017 017 /// /// 03
173230 1413N 05525W 9771 00304 0117 +230 +131 109018 018 /// /// 03
173300 1412N 05524W 9770 00303 0117 +230 +136 109018 018 /// /// 03
173330 1411N 05522W 9772 00303 0117 +229 +139 110016 017 /// /// 03
173400 1411N 05521W 9770 00305 0117 +229 +142 115015 016 /// /// 03
173430 1410N 05519W 9768 00306 0117 +227 +144 123015 015 /// /// 03
173500 1409N 05518W 9772 00302 0117 +226 +146 129014 015 /// /// 03
173530 1409N 05516W 9770 00304 0117 +229 +147 125014 014 /// /// 03
173600 1408N 05514W 9770 00304 0117 +230 +149 125013 013 /// /// 03
173630 1407N 05513W 9774 00302 0118 +230 +150 129014 014 /// /// 03
173700 1407N 05511W 9771 00305 0119 +229 +152 133014 014 /// /// 03
$$
;
............................................
URNT15 KNHC 312316
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 16 20110731
173730 1406N 05510W 9770 00306 0119 +227 +153 129013 013 /// /// 03
173800 1405N 05509W 9772 00304 0118 +230 +153 126013 014 /// /// 03
173830 1404N 05507W 9774 00302 0118 +229 +154 121014 014 /// /// 03
173900 1403N 05506W 9769 00303 0117 +223 +154 116012 012 /// /// 03
173930 1402N 05504W 9769 00305 0117 +227 +154 110013 014 /// /// 03
174000 1401N 05503W 9768 00307 0117 +224 +152 124017 017 /// /// 03
174030 1401N 05501W 9772 00302 0116 +229 +152 124017 017 /// /// 03
174100 1401N 05500W 9772 00302 0116 +230 +151 127016 017 /// /// 03
174130 1400N 05458W 9770 00303 0115 +229 +152 120015 015 /// /// 03
174200 1400N 05457W 9771 00302 0115 +228 +154 119013 013 /// /// 03
174230 1400N 05455W 9768 00305 0116 +227 +155 119013 014 /// /// 03
174300 1400N 05453W 9770 00305 0117 +225 +156 113013 014 /// /// 03
174330 1400N 05452W 9768 00306 0118 +225 +157 113015 017 /// /// 03
174400 1359N 05450W 9773 00301 0117 +226 +158 120017 017 /// /// 03
174430 1359N 05448W 9773 00301 0116 +225 +159 121017 018 /// /// 03
174500 1359N 05447W 9772 00301 0116 +227 +160 121016 017 /// /// 03
174530 1359N 05445W 9769 00304 0116 +226 +160 123016 017 /// /// 03
174600 1358N 05444W 9770 00302 0115 +225 +160 128017 018 /// /// 03
174630 1357N 05442W 9771 00301 0115 +225 +161 138017 017 /// /// 03
174700 1356N 05441W 9771 00302 0115 +223 +161 137017 017 /// /// 03
$$
;
....................................
URNT15 KNHC 312320
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 17 20110731
174730 1356N 05439W 9768 00304 0115 +223 +161 138016 017 /// /// 03
174800 1356N 05438W 9770 00302 0116 +223 +161 138014 015 /// /// 03
174830 1355N 05436W 9781 00295 0117 +226 +161 138013 014 /// /// 03
174900 1355N 05434W 9917 00173 0116 +228 +161 143013 013 /// /// 03
174930 1354N 05433W 9938 00153 0116 +218 +161 148013 014 /// /// 03
175000 1354N 05431W 9935 00156 0115 +223 +161 158014 015 /// /// 03
175030 1353N 05430W 9933 00156 0115 +212 +158 161013 014 /// /// 03
175100 1353N 05428W 9933 00157 0115 +210 +153 160011 011 /// /// 03
175130 1352N 05426W 9934 00156 0115 +219 +149 167010 010 /// /// 03
175200 1351N 05425W 9930 00160 0115 +228 +146 158009 010 /// /// 03
175230 1351N 05423W 9931 00159 0115 +221 +145 146009 010 /// /// 03
175300 1350N 05422W 9936 00154 0114 +224 +145 148009 010 /// /// 03
175330 1349N 05420W 9938 00153 0114 +222 +146 136009 010 /// /// 03
175400 1348N 05419W 9932 00158 0113 +228 +146 141009 010 /// /// 03
175430 1348N 05417W 9933 00157 0113 +230 +147 141010 010 /// /// 03
175500 1347N 05416W 9933 00156 0114 +230 +150 134010 010 /// /// 03
175530 1346N 05414W 9934 00155 0113 +230 +154 135009 010 /// /// 03
175600 1346N 05413W 9929 00160 0115 +230 +157 143008 009 /// /// 03
175630 1345N 05411W 9932 00159 0116 +230 +162 158008 009 /// /// 03
175700 1345N 05409W 9933 00160 0116 +231 +165 175009 010 /// /// 03
$$

[KWT]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-ir2.html

You can see whrer the circulation center likely is on the shortwave loop.

IR is next to useless in this set-up trying to find the LLC, you can see the MLC but nothing below that unless nthe convection poofs.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 312321
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 18 20110731
175730 1344N 05407W 9934 00158 0116 +235 +169 193012 013 /// /// 03
175800 1343N 05406W 9932 00159 0116 +235 +171 191013 014 /// /// 03
175830 1343N 05404W 9934 00158 0116 +235 +174 184014 014 /// /// 03
175900 1342N 05402W 9934 00158 0115 +235 +177 188014 014 /// /// 03
175930 1341N 05400W 9932 00160 0115 +235 +180 188014 015 /// /// 03
180000 1341N 05358W 9934 00156 0115 +235 +181 189015 015 /// /// 03
180030 1340N 05357W 9934 00157 0115 +235 +182 191015 015 /// /// 03
180100 1339N 05355W 9934 00158 0115 +234 +183 189014 015 /// /// 03
180130 1339N 05353W 9935 00158 0115 +235 +184 190014 015 /// /// 03
180200 1338N 05351W 9886 00200 0116 +230 +185 189012 013 /// /// 03
180230 1337N 05349W 9877 00208 0116 +226 +186 189013 013 /// /// 03
180300 1337N 05348W 9880 00206 0116 +225 +186 193012 013 /// /// 03
180330 1336N 05346W 9877 00208 0115 +225 +185 195012 013 /// /// 03
180400 1335N 05344W 9878 00207 0115 +225 +184 198012 013 /// /// 03
180430 1335N 05342W 9875 00209 0116 +221 +183 199013 014 /// /// 03
180500 1334N 05340W 9877 00209 0117 +220 +181 200012 012 /// /// 03
180530 1333N 05339W 9878 00207 0117 +223 +179 202014 016 /// /// 03
180600 1333N 05337W 9869 00214 0117 +230 +176 201016 017 /// /// 03
180630 1332N 05335W 9785 00293 0118 +230 +175 203017 017 /// /// 03
180700 1331N 05333W 9769 00306 0118 +230 +176 205017 018 /// /// 03
$$
;
..........................


000
URNT15 KNHC 312322
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 19 20110731
180730 1331N 05331W 9772 00304 0117 +230 +177 201019 019 /// /// 03
180800 1330N 05330W 9770 00305 0117 +231 +179 196019 019 /// /// 03
180830 1329N 05328W 9773 00303 0117 +230 +180 196018 019 /// /// 03
180900 1329N 05326W 9769 00306 0118 +228 +181 196018 018 /// /// 03
180930 1328N 05324W 9769 00307 0119 +224 +182 195016 016 /// /// 03
181000 1327N 05322W 9770 00306 0119 +228 +183 196018 018 /// /// 03
181030 1327N 05321W 9770 00306 0119 +228 +183 197016 018 /// /// 03
181100 1326N 05319W 9770 00307 0121 +222 +184 189014 015 /// /// 03
181130 1325N 05317W 9772 00307 0122 +221 +184 188013 015 /// /// 03
181200 1325N 05315W 9773 00305 0122 +221 +184 191013 013 /// /// 03
181230 1324N 05313W 9768 00309 0122 +219 +183 189012 013 /// /// 03
181300 1323N 05312W 9770 00309 0122 +223 +183 178013 014 /// /// 03
181330 1323N 05310W 9771 00308 0122 +225 +182 174012 013 /// /// 03
181400 1322N 05308W 9773 00306 0121 +226 +182 178011 011 /// /// 03
181430 1321N 05306W 9770 00309 0122 +225 +183 179010 010 /// /// 03
181500 1321N 05305W 9770 00309 0122 +221 +183 177009 009 /// /// 03
181530 1320N 05303W 9771 00308 0123 +221 +183 177009 009 /// /// 03
181600 1319N 05301W 9771 00308 0122 +224 +183 177010 011 /// /// 03
181630 1318N 05259W 9771 00309 0122 +225 +183 180010 010 /// /// 03
181700 1318N 05258W 9772 00308 0123 +220 +183 186007 008 /// /// 03
$$
;


.............................
URNT15 KNHC 312323
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 20 20110731
181730 1317N 05256W 9769 00309 0123 +220 +184 187007 008 /// /// 03
181800 1316N 05254W 9770 00310 0123 +224 +184 186010 010 /// /// 03
181830 1315N 05252W 9771 00310 0123 +225 +184 188010 010 /// /// 03
181900 1315N 05251W 9770 00311 0123 +224 +184 195010 010 /// /// 03
181930 1314N 05249W 9769 00310 0124 +225 +185 199010 011 /// /// 03
182000 1313N 05247W 9772 00309 0124 +223 +185 194010 010 /// /// 03
182030 1313N 05245W 9773 00308 0124 +223 +186 189010 010 /// /// 03
182100 1312N 05243W 9771 00310 0124 +224 +186 185011 012 /// /// 03
182130 1311N 05242W 9771 00309 0124 +225 +186 186012 012 /// /// 03
182200 1311N 05240W 9771 00310 0124 +225 +187 186011 011 /// /// 03
182230 1310N 05238W 9770 00310 0124 +224 +187 187011 012 /// /// 03
182300 1309N 05236W 9772 00309 0124 +224 +187 185010 011 /// /// 03
182330 1308N 05235W 9770 00311 0124 +223 +188 185008 009 /// /// 03
182400 1308N 05233W 9772 00309 0123 +224 +188 192010 010 /// /// 03
182430 1307N 05231W 9770 00310 0123 +225 +187 188011 011 /// /// 03
182500 1306N 05229W 9773 00308 0123 +229 +187 190011 011 /// /// 03
182530 1306N 05228W 9770 00309 0122 +230 +188 188012 012 /// /// 03
182600 1305N 05226W 9770 00310 0123 +229 +189 188011 011 /// /// 03
182630 1304N 05224W 9772 00308 0123 +226 +189 182010 011 /// /// 03
182700 1303N 05222W 9772 00309 0123 +227 +190 186009 010 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Vortex]

We talked about this several days ago..The slower she cranks up the further west she goes...Looks like a legitimate threat to DR and Bahamas...

Yep, a threat to PR is also very much there still, looks like broadly a threat to E/C Caribbean then a big threat to the T&C's, though obviously a trip over DR would probably take alot out of the system.

Worth noting both the GFS and the ECM really strengthen this between 120-168hrs.

Abacos to the Turks&Caicos certainly dont want a slow moving/stall over there islands for 24 hours..Mind you a strengthening Hurricane likely...

[HURAKAN]

[Aric Dunn]

google earth map still work ?

[artist]

URNT15 KNHC 312324
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 21 20110731
182730 1303N 05220W 9769 00311 0123 +228 +190 184008 009 /// /// 03
182800 1302N 05219W 9772 00308 0123 +229 +190 190009 011 /// /// 03
182830 1301N 05217W 9772 00309 0123 +230 +190 187010 010 /// /// 03
182900 1300N 05215W 9770 00311 0123 +229 +190 184009 010 /// /// 03
182930 1300N 05213W 9771 00310 0124 +225 +191 176006 006 /// /// 03
183000 1259N 05212W 9770 00311 0124 +227 +191 173007 007 /// /// 03
183030 1258N 05210W 9772 00310 0124 +229 +191 177007 008 /// /// 03
183100 1258N 05208W 9769 00311 0124 +230 +191 179008 009 /// /// 03
183130 1257N 05206W 9772 00311 0125 +230 +191 171008 009 /// /// 03
183200 1256N 05205W 9769 00313 0125 +229 +192 167008 009 /// /// 03
183230 1255N 05203W 9771 00311 0125 +230 +193 167008 009 /// /// 03
183300 1255N 05201W 9771 00311 0125 +229 +193 165007 007 /// /// 03
183330 1254N 05159W 9770 00312 0125 +230 +194 170006 007 /// /// 03
183400 1253N 05158W 9771 00311 0124 +230 +194 169006 006 /// /// 03
183430 1252N 05156W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +194 173006 007 /// /// 03
183500 1252N 05154W 9769 00313 0124 +230 +195 178007 007 /// /// 03
183530 1251N 05152W 9771 00311 0125 +230 +195 176006 007 /// /// 03
183600 1250N 05150W 9769 00313 0125 +230 +195 174006 007 /// /// 03
183630 1249N 05149W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +195 168007 007 /// /// 03
183700 1249N 05147W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +196 168007 007 /// /// 03
$$
;

[gatorcane]

18Z nogaps rolling in...Initialization show both vorts and they dumbell into one..


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

NOGAPs really builds the ridge the end of that run. Looks like it keeps the system weak though and into eastern Cuba headed wnw under the ridge.

But it is the NOGAPs.......

[Evil Jeremy]

So, what do you think the 8pm call will be? They have all the recon data now, so still 100% or lower? I say they stick with the 100%.

[ROCK]

18Z nogaps rolling in...Initialization show both vorts and they dumbell into one..


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

NOGAPs really builds the ridgest the end of that run. Looks like it keeps the system weak though and into eastern Cuba headed wow under the ridge.

But it is the NOGAPs.......

it keeps it weak after getting shredded by DR.....

[Aric Dunn]

nice !! thanks

[Florida1118]

So, what do you think the 8pm call will be? They have all the recon data now, so still 100% or lower? I say they stick with the 100%.

I dont think they'll back down now, they been at it for quite some time to just quit now

[Aric Dunn]

yeah its very likely going to develop...

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 312325
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 22 20110731
183730 1248N 05145W 9770 00311 0125 +230 +196 167007 007 /// /// 03
183800 1247N 05144W 9770 00312 0125 +230 +196 167007 007 /// /// 03
183830 1246N 05142W 9771 00311 0125 +230 +196 176007 007 /// /// 03
183900 1246N 05140W 9772 00311 0125 +230 +196 166006 006 /// /// 03
183930 1245N 05138W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +196 172007 007 /// /// 03
184000 1244N 05137W 9771 00311 0125 +230 +197 178007 008 /// /// 03
184030 1243N 05135W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +197 171006 007 /// /// 03
184100 1243N 05133W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +197 161006 006 /// /// 03
184130 1242N 05131W 9770 00312 0125 +229 +197 143006 006 /// /// 03
184200 1241N 05130W 9772 00311 0126 +228 +197 132006 007 /// /// 03
184230 1240N 05128W 9770 00313 0126 +229 +198 138006 006 /// /// 03
184300 1240N 05126W 9771 00312 0125 +230 +198 147005 006 /// /// 03
184330 1239N 05124W 9769 00312 0125 +226 +198 123004 004 /// /// 03
184400 1238N 05123W 9772 00311 0125 +226 +198 124004 004 /// /// 03
184430 1238N 05121W 9774 00307 0124 +228 +198 138005 007 /// /// 03
184500 1239N 05119W 9770 00311 0125 +228 +198 123009 010 /// /// 03
184530 1240N 05119W 9772 00311 0126 +225 +198 108011 011 /// /// 03
184600 1242N 05119W 9770 00313 0127 +225 +198 111011 011 /// /// 03
184630 1244N 05119W 9772 00312 0127 +226 +197 111011 012 /// /// 03
184700 1246N 05120W 9772 00313 0127 +228 +197 114011 012 /// /// 03
$$
;


.............................
000
URNT15 KNHC 312326
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 23 20110731
184730 1248N 05120W 9770 00315 0128 +230 +197 116012 012 /// /// 03
184800 1250N 05120W 9772 00312 0128 +226 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
184830 1252N 05120W 9770 00314 0127 +225 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
184900 1254N 05120W 9770 00313 0127 +226 +197 112013 013 /// /// 03
184930 1256N 05120W 9771 00314 0127 +225 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
185000 1256N 05120W 9771 00314 0127 +225 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
185030 1256N 05120W 9771 00314 0127 +225 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
185100 1256N 05120W 9771 00314 0127 +225 +197 111013 013 /// /// 03
185130 1304N 05120W 9772 00312 0127 +229 +190 118013 013 /// /// 03
185200 1304N 05120W 9772 00312 0127 +228 +198 119013 013 /// /// 03
185230 1308N 05120W 9771 00313 0128 +228 +198 116013 013 /// /// 03
185300 1310N 05120W 9770 00314 0128 +230 +198 119013 014 /// /// 03
185330 1312N 05120W 9772 00313 0128 +229 +198 122013 013 /// /// 03
185400 1314N 05121W 9771 00315 0128 +228 +199 125013 013 /// /// 03
185430 1316N 05121W 9770 00316 0129 +226 +199 125013 013 /// /// 03
185500 1318N 05121W 9770 00316 0129 +226 +199 126013 014 /// /// 03
185530 1319N 05121W 9770 00315 0129 +227 +199 127013 014 /// /// 03
185600 1321N 05121W 9771 00315 0129 +226 +199 122014 015 /// /// 03
185630 1323N 05121W 9770 00316 0129 +225 +199 123014 014 /// /// 03
185700 1325N 05121W 9771 00314 0129 +225 +199 123015 015 /// /// 03
$$
....................

URNT15 KNHC 312327
AF304 01EEA INVEST HDOB 24 20110731
185730 1327N 05121W 9770 00317 0130 +223 +199 113015 016 /// /// 03
185800 1329N 05121W 9770 00315 0130 +221 +198 111014 016 /// /// 03
185830 1331N 05121W 9771 00314 0130 +213 +197 110015 015 /// /// 03
185900 1333N 05121W 9770 00316 0129 +220 +194 113014 015 /// /// 03
185930 1335N 05122W 9769 00317 0130 +227 +190 115014 015 /// /// 03
190000 1336N 05124W 9770 00316 0131 +227 +189 113014 015 /// /// 03
190030 1338N 05125W 9769 00317 0131 +225 +189 113013 013 /// /// 03
190100 1339N 05126W 9771 00315 0131 +225 +191 113012 013 /// /// 03
190130 1341N 05128W 9769 00316 0131 +225 +192 116012 012 /// /// 03
190200 1342N 05129W 9771 00317 0131 +223 +193 116013 014 /// /// 03
190230 1344N 05130W 9770 00317 0131 +225 +194 118014 014 /// /// 03
190300 1345N 05132W 9771 00316 0132 +223 +195 114014 015 /// /// 03
190330 1347N 05133W 9772 00316 0132 +224 +196 119013 014 /// /// 03
190400 1348N 05134W 9771 00316 0132 +225 +196 124014 015 /// /// 03
190430 1350N 05136W 9770 00317 0131 +225 +196 121014 014 /// /// 03
190500 1351N 05137W 9772 00316 0131 +225 +197 122015 015 /// /// 03
190530 1353N 05138W 9771 00317 0131 +225 +197 123015 015 /// /// 03
190600 1355N 05140W 9770 00317 0131 +225 +198 127015 016 /// /// 03
190630 1356N 05141W 9771 00315 0131 +225 +198 127015 015 /// /// 03
190700 1358N 05142W 9770 00316 0131 +225 +198 131015 016 /// /// 03
$$
;