ATL: IRENE - Models

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1961 Postby rockyman » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:17 pm

Ridge building back in at 114 hours...let's see if it curves back to the NW this time
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1962 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:17 pm

Image

.....
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1963 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:17 pm

Ridge building back in though at 108
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1964 Postby fox13weather » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:17 pm

Slowing down north of Cuba....then turning northeast and missing Florida is not an unreasonable solution....
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#1965 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:17 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_102l.gif

If thats right........ummmmm uh oh!!!
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Re:

#1966 Postby DIwestender » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:18 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Haiti/DR didn't do much (if anything) to it....


I thought these models didn't consider the impact of land interaction when determining strength and because of this we should ignore the intensity? Obviously, I am missing something. Is that "rule" for other models and not this one?
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#1967 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:18 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:So much for the shift west :lol:


i was thinking the same thing... lol
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1968 Postby seussianagenda » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:18 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

108 Hr ...: /



If that high that is situated over NC at 108 makes a little quicker run, could this be pushed up the east coast?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1969 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:18 pm

Image

RIP SFL
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#1970 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

GFS 120 hr:

Landfall in South Florida

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1971 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

landfall in SFL as signficant cane...

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1972 Postby fox13weather » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

Missing Florida to the east is not an unreasonable solution.
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#1973 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

right into miami as a hurricane.. about 75 miles east this run... not surprised giving the initial strength and more northern position were inputed
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1974 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

126 HOURS, ON TOP OF ME, YIKES!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:

j/k :lol:
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Re:

#1975 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

deltadog03 wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_200_102l.gif

If thats right........ummmmm uh oh!!!


What am I looking at here, delta?
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#1976 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:19 pm

Yet again the GFS continues to amaze me with its consistency. :eek:
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Re:

#1977 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:20 pm

deltadog03 wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_200_102l.gif

If thats right........ummmmm uh oh!!!


For the everyday fans at home what exactly are we looking at here delta???
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1978 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:20 pm

Image

O-o
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1979 Postby Tampa_God » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:21 pm

I'm kind of surprised of the flip-flop of tracks from different models. One has it going east of FL, one has it going west of FL, another one has it at east of FL again. Kind of dangerous having different models for this storm which could be very dangerous for anyone in Florida. I think it would be best to at least have the stations in Florida advising viewers to keep an eye out. Some will say they're blowing it out of proportion, but better safe than getting slammed.
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#1980 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:21 pm

This so called westward shift has not materialized....at least on the 00Z GFS run. I want to see tonight's GFDL and especially Euro. I have to admit I also thought we would see a small west shift in the GFS. I am giving it another 24 hours. If this west shift does not begin to show in the models, I will get very worried.
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