otowntiger wrote:terrapintransit wrote:I suppose there may be hope in the GFS little bend north...
[img]http://icons-ecast.wunderground.com/data/images/at201112_model.gif[ /img]
But what you are missing is that in another day or two from that location the storm will make a hard right turn based on the synoptics that are forecast at that time. This models plot is misleading if you make assumptions based on where they ended, but they don't end there. THere aren't any models forecasting this storm to continue heading west from that point. Just my amatuer observation. Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
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And with all due respect, what you are missing is that all of the models were forecasting Katia to make that turn prior to Bermuda just a few days ago. When the recurve pushes and pushes and pushes further west, I can understand why people would be nervous.
