ATL: IRENE - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
jpigott
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 692
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:31 pm
Location: North Palm Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1981 Postby jpigott » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:21 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

O-o


Good Lord I hope that doesn't verify . . .
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10155
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1982 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:21 pm

CLEO track, Cat 1-2.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

maxintensity
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 165
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2011 9:54 pm

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1983 Postby maxintensity » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:21 pm

Needless to say, the credibility of the GFS is on the line at this point. If the GFDL track verifies it will be hard to forgive the GFS for such a horrible error.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1984 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:22 pm

Saved 114H

Image

988MB
Last edited by tolakram on Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1985 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:22 pm

Image

Ok 132 Hr...FL hammered this run..
0 likes   
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1986 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:23 pm

Rides up the entire state...
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1987 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:23 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

Ok 132 Hr...FL hammered this run..


lol Florida has been hammered 90% of everyone since monday :)
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

bella_may
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 908
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 2:13 pm
Location: SE Mississippi coast

#1988 Postby bella_may » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:23 pm

Completely bogus model run IMO. Seriously doubt that this will go that far east
0 likes   

StormClouds63
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 583
Age: 62
Joined: Tue May 13, 2008 11:56 am
Location: Southwest Louisiana

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1989 Postby StormClouds63 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:23 pm

Re: Last Image w/south Florida landfall:
With those 2 huge ridges "closing the gap" to its north, this system could stall out once inland and cause torrential rainfall in the SE U.S.
0 likes   

maxintensity
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 165
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2011 9:54 pm

#1990 Postby maxintensity » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

yeh GFS doin some serious business with FL this run. You FL guys must not be livin right :eek:
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re:

#1991 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

bella_may wrote:Completely bogus model run IMO. Seriously doubt that this will go that far east


What evidence do you have to support this claim?
0 likes   

HurricaneWarning92
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 520
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:33 pm
Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)

#1992 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

I would be in the "eye" that run if it verifies.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10155
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1993 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

Moving very slow, huge rain maker from WPB to N Florida!
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2841
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1994 Postby blp » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

Landfall in 5 days. This aint fantasy land anymore.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4769
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

#1995 Postby psyclone » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

wow i was expecting a bit more west based on what folks were saying earlier tonight. very interesting run. will be cool to see what the gfdl does in future runs.
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1996 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:24 pm

Image

Jax Turn
0 likes   
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !

User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#1997 Postby SeminoleWind » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:25 pm

im not to keen on this run, all this flipping by the gfs is making me crazy.one thing is ALMOST certain but NOT set in stone is Florida may be looking at a very strong hurricane.
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
jdray
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 853
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 10:07 pm
Location: NE Florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1998 Postby jdray » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:25 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

O-o



Um, no please. A recurve east of Florida would be nice.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#1999 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:25 pm

Saved 126H Florida hit.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

bamajammer4eva
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 907
Joined: Sun Apr 18, 2010 3:21 am
Location: Ozark, AL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2000 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:25 pm

With it blocked from heading north due to the ridge building back in, what would stop it from headed back west into the gulf?
0 likes   


Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests