ATL: IRENE - Models

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2061 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:52 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Well Canadian shifted east :D


Sorry for the dumb question but did you mean West but accidentally typed East, or did it really shift East??
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2062 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:52 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Well Canadian shifted east :D


Sorry for the dumb question but did you mean West but accidentally typed East, or did it really shift East??


Nope...shifted east
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#2063 Postby SeminoleWind » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:52 pm

the one thing that has amazed me so far is the consistency of the models so far.i mean i have seen many storms that it has been better to be in the 5 day cone than not be, but this one seems to be the opposite of that.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2064 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:53 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Well Canadian shifted east :D


Post it if possible.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2065 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:53 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Well Canadian shifted east :D


Sorry for the dumb question but did you mean West but accidentally typed East, or did it really shift East??


Nope...shifted east


Oh okay. How far east did it shift?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2066 Postby Tampa_God » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:53 pm

I'm going to wait a day or so before becoming more confident on where this is going and before I start shooting off my predictions. The ridge plays a role, the speed of the storm, and whatever interaction it has is everything that can happen from now to end of next week.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2067 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:53 pm

Canadian at 96h. Decent shift to the right compared to the 12Z run, which had it south of Cuba at 00Z Thursday.

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2068 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:54 pm

96 hours

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2069 Postby psyclone » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:54 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Well Canadian shifted east :D

i wonder if the gfdl will buckle and pull east as well. it's really out there now.
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#2070 Postby SeminoleWind » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:55 pm

WOW it shift east big time :uarrow:
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#2071 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:55 pm

Again. I mentioned earlier the east shift was coming. due to the higher initial strength and more northern position. as well as the wind radii... its a very large system and its going to behave differently than emily and harvey ..
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#2072 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:55 pm

Well now that the CMC has shifted east, we wait for the Euro and GFDL....
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#2073 Postby jaxfladude » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:56 pm

jdray wrote:Dear god, that GFS run is epic flooding for North Florida and Georgia on the Dora scale of flooding.....

When "Dora" gets mentioned I get nervous...that storm happened a decade before I was even born on the other side of the CONUS....
GFS is not friendly for my sake....for now.....
Last edited by jaxfladude on Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2074 Postby blp » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:56 pm

So much for the GFDL, CMC, UKMET alliance. Let's see what the GFDL says since he and the HWRF are on deck now.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2075 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:56 pm

Told my wife i wasn't staying up for the EURO but i might just have to. Maybe...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2076 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:58 pm

blp wrote:So much for the GFDL, CMC, UKMET alliance. Let's see what the GFDL says since he and the HWRF are on deck now.


Oh thats right. I forgot about the Ukmet. lol. Do you have a link for tonights Ukmet run???
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2077 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:59 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
blp wrote:So much for the GFDL, CMC, UKMET alliance. Let's see what the GFDL says since he and the HWRF are on deck now.


Oh thats right. I forgot about the Ukmet. lol. Do you have a link for tonights Ukmet run???


Here you go...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ukmet.html
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2078 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 12:00 am

SFLcane wrote:Told my wife i wasn't staying up for the EURO but i might just have to. Maybe...


Nah...just go on and go to bed but set your alarm to get up and check it. That's what alot of us hurricane nuts do!!! LOL :D
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2079 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Aug 21, 2011 12:01 am

SFLcane wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
blp wrote:So much for the GFDL, CMC, UKMET alliance. Let's see what the GFDL says since he and the HWRF are on deck now.


Oh thats right. I forgot about the Ukmet. lol. Do you have a link for tonights Ukmet run???


Here you go...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ukmet.html


Great. Thanks! I think the Ukmet will shift east as well but I am not sure how far.
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#2080 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 21, 2011 12:01 am

Concensus by the best models cannot get any better than this tonight.
If they continue like this through the next 24 hrs, Miami & the rest of SE FL is going to be a chaos Monday morning.
The NHC will have no option to but to go more aggressive with its strength forecast.
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