ATL: IRENE - Models

[NDG]

GA?
Bad run, lol.

[HurricaneQueen]

New 00z GFDL:


925mb right before hitting Cuba:

Why isn't this run being discussed? Certainly doesn't look like any of the other runs and definitely isn't going to miss FL to the east. Am I missing something other than sleep?

Thanks,
Lynn

[ConvergenceZone]

0z Euro says landfall SC
Let the right trend begin.

Yep, let the right trend begin! Let's trend this baby out to sea!!!!!!!

[DESTRUCTION5]

New 00z GFDL:


925mb right before hitting Cuba:

Why isn't this run being discussed? Certainly doesn't look like any of the other runs and definitely isn't going to miss FL to the east. Am I missing something other than sleep?

Thanks,
Lynn

Well You could Spell Florida right in your Signature....LOL

[NDG]

New 00z GFDL:


925mb right before hitting Cuba:

Why isn't this run being discussed? Certainly doesn't look like any of the other runs and definitely isn't going to miss FL to the east. Am I missing something other than sleep?

Thanks,
Lynn

The GFDL has not been too reliable this season.

[Vortex]

Close but EAST OF FL...

NHC is shifting the cone back East on the 5am, that is for sure....

Folks in South Florida need to pay extremely close atention...THE GFS rides the entire east coast of Florida from Miami N and the Euro is barely off the coast...Bottom line if you live in SFL chances continue to increase that a strengtheing and possibly strong hurricane will either come ashore or extremely close. This is backed by the GFS,ECM, and canadian.

[NDG]

06z TVCN has shifted to the right towards Dade/Broward County now, so expect the NHC to be shifted closer to the TVCN on their next advisory.

[Typhoon_Willie]

In any case it may be a very close call for South Florida.

[JTD]

I see no evidence that this will miss CONUS to the east from any of the models.

[NDG]

By the concensus shifting to the right it sure puts the track of Irene over water more quickly to re-intensify after Hispaniola and the eastern tip of Cuba instead of of her tracking more over land.

[Brent]

I see no evidence that this will miss CONUS to the east from any of the models.

Sure don't look like a miss here:

[jinftl]

Someone better tell Paula Deen to keep an eye out from her Savannah home on Wilmington Island and see if she needs to get inland later this week!!!

[HurricaneQueen]

[/quote]

Well You could Spell Florida right in your Signature....LOL[/quote]

LOL. It's been like that for years and no one ever said anything before.

It's being corrected immediately since everything about Gators must be perfect.

Sorry for off-topic and now back to Irene and perhaps some sleep.

Lynn

[TwisterFanatic]

Someone better tell Paula Deen to keep an eye out from her Savannah home on Wilmington Island and see if she needs to get inland later this week!!!

Looks like the red-sea!

[bucman1]

If.iGFS VERIFIED ON EAST COST WHAT MIGHT WEATHER BE ON WEST COAST OF FLORIDA?

[TwisterFanatic]

6z NAM initialized just a tad too far SW.

[robbielyn]

not much on west coast. we miss the tornadoes minimum winds if any. could even be sunny e with sinking air this is looking better by the minute for us. ty irene for relocating youre llc. much appreciated lol.

[KWT]

Guys this is NOT a recurve situation...

The right trend is BAD becasue it'll avoid more land interaction and that will obviously equal a stronger hurricane making landfall, maybe a major into GA/SC, rather then then a moderate-strong TS into Florida...

[TwisterFanatic]

FYI - 6z NAM.... Takes it south of Hispaniola, and headed towards Cuba at 84 hours.

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone.

Well now, for the first time, we are seeing a bit more divergence with the models at the end of the 5-7 day range. The model consensus has now shifted to the right now, which does not completely surprise me due to the recent developments with Irene.

We will see fluctuations a bit with the models, but what is pretty sobering to me now is that the unless Irene gets seriously disrupted by Hispaniola, the FL peninsula and the SE US coast really will be possibly staring down the barrell of a gun with a very strong tropical cyclone beginning as early as Thursday evening.