ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 212359
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 12 20110821
234900 1817N 06529W 8429 01542 0066 +164 //// 051046 046 043 007 01
234930 1816N 06529W 8436 01535 0068 +165 +163 052047 048 /// /// 03
235000 1814N 06530W 8424 01544 0062 +167 +163 047051 052 045 002 03
235030 1813N 06531W 8436 01533 0061 +168 +158 048051 051 045 000 00
235100 1811N 06533W 8434 01535 0062 +167 +153 046051 052 046 000 00
235130 1810N 06534W 8432 01536 0062 +165 +159 044052 053 046 001 00
235200 1808N 06535W 8422 01545 0065 +161 //// 044053 055 044 001 01
235230 1807N 06537W 8429 01539 0067 +160 //// 041057 058 044 000 05
235300 1805N 06538W 8427 01546 0069 +162 +161 037053 055 /// /// 03
235330 1803N 06537W 8437 01531 0061 +167 +161 036048 050 043 000 03
235400 1803N 06535W 8429 01536 0055 +170 +161 038043 043 042 001 00
235430 1802N 06534W 8437 01527 0055 +167 +164 037045 047 041 001 00
235500 1801N 06533W 8432 01528 0052 +165 //// 034046 047 040 000 01
235530 1800N 06531W 8432 01524 0048 +168 +164 034046 048 039 000 00
235600 1759N 06530W 8433 01520 0044 +169 +166 036047 048 040 000 00
235630 1758N 06528W 8429 01520 0045 +160 //// 034048 050 042 003 01
235700 1757N 06527W 8434 01514 //// +151 //// 036047 048 042 006 01
235730 1756N 06526W 8429 01515 0036 +161 //// 035047 049 044 007 01
235800 1756N 06524W 8436 01504 0030 +165 //// 031045 046 047 008 01
235830 1755N 06523W 8434 01502 0019 +178 +165 027043 044 049 006 00
$$
;

[Battlebrick]

58 kts FL, recon heading to center

[KWT]

tolakram, you can see the center very nicely actually, if you see that little bit of convection south of the hot tower convection and watch it wrap around and do a loop around the LLC, that is where the center is, to the NE of St.Croix.

[Dave]

[vacanechaser]

tolakram, you can see the center very nicely actually, if you see that little bit of convection south of the hot tower convection and watch it wrap around and do a loop around the LLC, that is where the center is, to the NE of St.Croix.

yep.. and looks to moving in a wnw direction right towards pr...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[ConvergenceZone]

So far the NHC isn't buying into the many models bringing Irene east of Florida, per their latest advisory just issued....

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220009
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 13 20110821
235900 1754N 06521W 8433 01500 0015 +180 +162 024044 044 050 004 00
235930 1753N 06520W 8436 01493 0007 +180 +172 017043 044 048 005 00
000000 1752N 06518W 8429 01494 9995 +194 +166 009042 045 047 003 03
000030 1751N 06516W 8438 01479 9988 +198 +166 003041 042 048 000 03
000100 1751N 06515W 8435 01479 9981 +201 +163 004040 041 049 000 03
000130 1751N 06513W 8426 01482 9973 +203 +163 004038 039 047 000 00
000200 1751N 06511W 8432 01471 9967 +205 +160 002035 036 044 001 00
000230 1751N 06510W 8433 01465 9963 +204 +166 004033 033 034 001 00
000300 1751N 06508W 8433 01461 9959 +201 +167 002029 030 028 000 00
000330 1751N 06506W 8430 01458 9953 +197 +182 356024 027 024 000 00
000400 1751N 06504W 8434 01452 9949 +199 +180 006015 016 018 001 00
000430 1751N 06503W 8430 01453 9951 +192 +177 044007 009 015 001 03
000500 1751N 06501W 8435 01448 9951 +191 +180 139004 007 019 000 00
000530 1750N 06500W 8435 01448 9955 +187 +177 176009 011 019 000 00
000600 1749N 06458W 8429 01459 9959 +187 +177 196015 016 022 001 03
000630 1747N 06458W 8428 01464 9964 +185 +184 206022 027 027 001 00
000700 1746N 06457W 8440 01460 9970 +184 //// 208029 032 039 003 05
000730 1745N 06457W 8431 01471 9978 +180 //// 211030 031 039 002 01
000800 1743N 06456W 8433 01477 9983 +186 +177 219029 030 038 002 00
000830 1742N 06456W 8436 01479 9988 +189 +163 221029 030 037 001 00
$$
;

[hurricanedude]

hey vacanechaser, we need at least 6-8 inches of rain they said to put out the Lateral West Fire...so maybe we get it because I am sick of the Dense Smoke Advisories we have had each morning...and I know you are as well

[tgenius]

Funny.. I started a new job on Wednesday and was told by my mom there was a storm out there.. I'm the one always telling everyone! Anyways.. guys do you think Miami really has to worry about this at this point?

[storm4u]

after a wobble to the wsw looks to be heading wnw again pr is in trouble

[Recurve]

49 knot 10-sec. surface NNE winds from recon (SFMR)

[ROCK]

tolakram, you can see the center very nicely actually, if you see that little bit of convection south of the hot tower convection and watch it wrap around and do a loop around the LLC, that is where the center is, to the NE of St.Croix.

significant eye wall forming I would say...as soon as that wraps around, game seriously on....PR is not going to like this...

[Sanibel]

Those eyewall bands jutting into the center are a sign of intensification.


I think the slow down is because Irene is feeling the transition to the ridge above it. This is where GFDL's stubborness will either prove itself or not.

[Recurve]

Funny.. I started a new job on Wednesday and was told by my mom there was a storm out there.. I'm the one always telling everyone! Anyways.. guys do you think Miami really has to worry about this at this point?

In a word -- Yes! Not worry, but prepare for a Category 1 or 2 hurricane to hit.

[TheDreamTraveler]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-wv.html

Look at the hole trying to appear in the middle of the deepest convection there in that loop...

[painkillerr]

Charlotte Amalie half an hour ago! Raining from the opposite side now!

[painkillerr]

I don't know about this calm your talking about in St. Thomas because its been nonstop up here on the northside...very rainy and very gusty

I'm in Havensight. It was pretty calm here for 40-50 minutes or so. Raining and gusting now!

Check out the photo!

[Dave]

[ROCK]

So far the NHC isn't buying into the many models bringing Irene east of Florida, per their latest advisory just issued....

I just read the NHC advisory...where did it say that? might have missed it...

[storm4u]

i think the slowdown is because Irene is starting to feel the weakness a move more to the north is about to happen soon in my opinion if i was in south carolina or north carolina i would be watching this with great interest..


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.