ATL: IRENE - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2641 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:25 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Easy folks ... take a deep breath. We have a long ways to go on this one.


even if that "best case" model verified, florida would be experiencing a lashing on the coast and heavy flooding rains...i don't think that fits the definition of clear
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2642 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:30 pm

Portastorm wrote:
I believe the point was that Florida was in the clear if that particular model run were to verify. Meteorcane was not saying Florida is in the clear generally.

Easy folks ... take a deep breath. We have a long ways to go on this one.


After reading the post again, you're right. My fault.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2643 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:36 pm

next batch of models will be rolling in here in the next 15 minutes...i say basically the same as the last set, not much movement with track
0 likes   
Top
bella_may
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 908
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 2:13 pm
Location: SE Mississippi coast

#2644 Postby bella_may » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:38 pm

Obviously the nhc is not buying the right biased models. Makes you wonder.....
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2645 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:39 pm

<-- bella may, tell us where you are. Add your location to your profile. :)
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#2646 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:39 pm

gfs rolling now
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2647 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:40 pm

GFS - 12 Hours

Image
Last edited by TwisterFanatic on Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#2648 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:41 pm

GFS takes it along the southern side of PR heading is roughly 275 between 00-12hrs.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
bella_may
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 908
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 2:13 pm
Location: SE Mississippi coast

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2649 Postby bella_may » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:41 pm

tolakram wrote:<-- bella may, tell us where you are. Add your location to your profile. :)

Sorry. I will
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2650 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:41 pm

Twister, make a copy of the image please. Remember the board policy.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Meteorcane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 6:49 am
Location: North Platte Nebraska

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2651 Postby Meteorcane » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:43 pm

Yes I meant that run was good for Florida, I should have clarified.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
robbielyn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1298
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 9:45 am
Location: brooksville, fl

Re:

#2652 Postby robbielyn » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:44 pm

KWT wrote:GFS takes it along the southern side of PR heading is roughly 275 between 00-12hrs.


looks to me the llc is moving west just south of PR
0 likes   
Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2653 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:45 pm

tolakram wrote:Twister, make a copy of the image please. Remember the board policy.


Done. :D
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#2654 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:46 pm

24 Hours

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2655 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:47 pm

Thanks! :cheesy:
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
bigdan35
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 83
Age: 49
Joined: Sat Jun 04, 2011 9:56 am
Location: Sarasota Florida
Contact:
Contact bigdan35

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2656 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:48 pm

Looks like trough digging?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_024m.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#2657 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:49 pm

30 Hours - Over Hispaniola

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2658 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:51 pm

I think the NHC is being cautious in moving the track which telegraphs all clear to many Floridians who don't really pay much attention.

Also, I don't think they are convinced that Irene stays as organized and as deep as these models show passing over the big islands which could lessen the degree of turn caused by the weakness. A weaker system should not try and go poleward as strongly as a strong TS or Hurricane would in this situation.
0 likes   
Top
Preppie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 17
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2011 10:15 am
Location: Metro Charleston, SC

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2659 Postby Preppie » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:51 pm

Getting just a tiny bit nervous and appreciating all of you for working so hard on Irene's possibilities. We're about 20 miles north of the Battery in Charleston and around 20 miles west of Sullivan's Island (on the Atlantic).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#2660 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:52 pm

36 Hours - Approaching Water

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests