ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

When is the next recon? Anyone have a good fix on direction of movement? I recall last recon had it moving mainly west. With the track of this storm and potential intensity based on land interaction the wobbles are going to make a difference.

[viberama]

Steadily organizing:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Wow the southern flank of Irene sure looks like it's organizing now.

[Vortex]

Looks like it should become a hurricane before reaching Hispaniola if you ask me. Looks like the weakening TUTT axis is having a slight shearing effect (very slight but in a SSW to NNE orientation)...obviously very light SSW winds aloft, not much though.

Wow is all I have to say:

From a satelite perspective she is going to be a beauty!!

[Dave]

[micktooth]

The radar probably got knocked out, so no more San Jaun radar unfortunately

50kt winds or less knocks out a radar?

yeah, go figure. These radars should be solid - especially at times like these with a developing system at their front door.

Found this online:
"MESSAGE DATE: AUG 22 2011 03:26:00 THE FAA SAN JUAN WSR-88D DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR (TJUA) HAS GONE DOWN...MOSTLY LIKELY DUE TO A LOSS OF POWER AT THE CAYEY RADAR SITE...AS RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVED ACROSS THAT AREA. WE ARE UNABLE TO RESTART THE RADAR AT THIS TIME AND FAA AOCC HAS BEEN NOTIFIED. RESTORATION TIME IS UNKNOWN. BCS"

[bevgo]

People, it is really blowing here in Old San Juan, increasingly with serious gusting. Not as much rain yet but when it comes, there is some lighting too. You can tell the storm is strenghtening just by the sound of that wind increasingly howling. My greatest fear is it is slowing down in forward speed. 10 inches of rain was the last I read. if it verifies, it will be a disaster. Have not posted all day because of preps. We are down to the last details. Power is already getting unstable. I will try to post some pictures I took earlier, should Irene permit and from tomoroow when it stops, if it stops tomorrow. All other folks in Puerto Rico, do not underestimate the puch of a strenghtening storm. Remember Marilyn. And be safe.

[/quote]

Be safe all of our PR friends

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220339
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 34 20110822
032900 1724N 06508W 8426 01547 0069 +159 //// 220030 032 033 004 01
032930 1725N 06509W 8437 01532 0066 +163 //// 219031 033 034 003 01
033000 1726N 06510W 8434 01535 0061 +166 //// 220034 037 033 001 01
033030 1727N 06511W 8430 01536 0060 +165 //// 226034 034 033 001 01
033100 1728N 06512W 8434 01529 0056 +167 +163 229031 032 033 003 00
033130 1730N 06514W 8436 01527 0056 +156 //// 231035 037 035 005 01
033200 1731N 06515W 8427 01531 0052 +156 //// 238033 034 035 007 01
033230 1732N 06516W 8437 01518 0047 +170 +159 235033 035 037 001 00
033300 1733N 06517W 8432 01523 0045 +168 +161 232038 039 037 003 00
033330 1734N 06518W 8429 01522 0043 +165 +163 232039 041 037 003 00
033400 1735N 06519W 8433 01513 0039 +166 //// 232041 042 039 002 01
033430 1736N 06520W 8438 01507 0035 +167 +163 236042 043 040 002 00
033500 1737N 06522W 8433 01509 0030 +166 //// 237044 045 042 003 01
033530 1738N 06523W 8432 01503 //// +149 //// 239046 047 046 009 01
033600 1739N 06524W 8433 01498 0022 +158 //// 241049 054 046 006 01
033630 1740N 06525W 8433 01490 0013 +162 //// 241053 053 047 004 05
033700 1742N 06526W 8429 01488 0005 +163 //// 243054 056 048 004 01
033730 1743N 06526W 8434 01472 0002 +154 //// 245062 063 053 010 01
033800 1744N 06527W 8438 01457 //// +149 //// 245060 062 058 027 01
033830 1746N 06528W 8422 01465 //// +153 //// 240045 052 062 020 01
$$
;

63 kt FL, 62 kt SFMR so far in SE quad.

[SouthDadeFish]

Recon finding strong winds in the SE quadrant. If I had to guess, Irene may be a hurricane now, assuming stronger winds exist on the North side. Recon may not be able to sample NW side due to Puerto Rico.

[Dave]

[Recurve]

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[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220349
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 35 20110822
033900 1747N 06529W 8437 01446 9960 +166 //// 247036 038 052 008 05
033930 1748N 06530W 8434 01441 9948 +177 //// 252032 033 040 003 05
034000 1750N 06530W 8429 01438 9929 +197 +181 257025 029 033 002 00
034030 1751N 06531W 8429 01432 9917 +209 +167 262022 023 029 001 03
034100 1753N 06531W 8436 01420 9905 +218 +165 260019 023 023 001 00
034130 1754N 06532W 8434 01414 9899 +214 +179 152003 009 017 000 00
034200 1756N 06532W 8425 01423 9901 +210 +177 089013 017 021 001 00
034230 1757N 06533W 8437 01414 9911 +201 +181 077027 031 027 000 00
034300 1759N 06534W 8432 01428 9924 +191 +179 078035 035 032 001 00
034330 1800N 06534W 8429 01438 9935 +184 //// 078041 045 041 001 01
034400 1802N 06535W 8436 01438 9940 +191 +178 077051 052 044 000 00
034430 1803N 06536W 8442 01439 9954 +184 +178 078050 051 044 001 00
034500 1805N 06536W 8431 01460 9964 +186 +164 079050 051 042 000 00
034530 1806N 06537W 8433 01469 9976 +183 +168 074051 052 045 000 00
034600 1808N 06538W 8430 01477 9985 +178 +178 075049 050 046 000 00
034630 1809N 06538W 8434 01482 9999 +171 //// 075051 052 /// /// 05
034700 1810N 06537W 8432 01485 0000 +171 //// 077049 050 048 002 05
034730 1811N 06536W 8433 01485 0001 +171 //// 083051 051 051 000 01
034800 1812N 06535W 8433 01486 0003 +170 //// 085052 052 050 000 01
034830 1812N 06534W 8436 01486 0005 +170 //// 089052 053 050 000 05
$$
;

Pressure 990mb. Weaker in NW quad (right-front)?

[Battlebrick]

Pressure down to 990 mb!

[SootyTern]

People, it is really blowing here in Old San Juan, increasingly with serious gusting. Not as much rain yet but when it comes, there is some lighting too. You can tell the storm is strenghtening just by the sound of that wind increasingly howling. My greatest fear is it is slowing down in forward speed. 10 inches of rain was the last I read. if it verifies, it will be a disaster. Have not posted all day because of preps. We are down to the last details. Power is already getting unstable. I will try to post some pictures I took earlier, should Irene permit and from tomoroow when it stops, if it stops tomorrow. All other folks in Puerto Rico, do not underestimate the puch of a strenghtening storm. Remember Marilyn. And be safe.

[/quote]

Be safe, Adoquin, and good luck!

[Recurve]

Funktop enhancement at 11:15 EDT



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[NC George]

Found this online:
"MESSAGE DATE: AUG 22 2011 03:26:00 THE FAA SAN JUAN WSR-88D DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR (TJUA) HAS GONE DOWN...MOSTLY LIKELY DUE TO A LOSS OF POWER AT THE CAYEY RADAR SITE...AS RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVED ACROSS THAT AREA. WE ARE UNABLE TO RESTART THE RADAR AT THIS TIME AND FAA AOCC HAS BEEN NOTIFIED. RESTORATION TIME IS UNKNOWN. BCS"

And they haven't heard of a backup generator for this important piece of equipment? It's not like the mainland where they can use the long range from nearby stations to help fill in the gap in coverage.

[SouthDadeFish]

Wow Irene is really taking off. I hope all in Puerto Rico were prepared.

[Caribwxgirl]

Wow! getting stronger and really still an impressive size if it really strengthens will be a monster...

[Dave]

[SouthDadeFish]

Irene is still moving west for now.

[chris_fit]

Found this online:
"MESSAGE DATE: AUG 22 2011 03:26:00 THE FAA SAN JUAN WSR-88D DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR (TJUA) HAS GONE DOWN...MOSTLY LIKELY DUE TO A LOSS OF POWER AT THE CAYEY RADAR SITE...AS RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVED ACROSS THAT AREA. WE ARE UNABLE TO RESTART THE RADAR AT THIS TIME AND FAA AOCC HAS BEEN NOTIFIED. RESTORATION TIME IS UNKNOWN. BCS"

And they haven't heard of a backup generator for this important piece of equipment? It's not like the mainland where they can use the long range from nearby stations to help fill in the gap in coverage.

+1 - Save a recon trip when it doesn't matter and get a damn generator!