ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

[crimi481]

Too many ULL's -again. I hate ULL's
Pretty strange looking W.V Loop. Normal for summer? Possibly on other planets?

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

[HURAKAN]

959
URNT15 KNHC 290311
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 33 20110729
030200 2345N 09348W 8429 01580 0102 +180 +145 336011 011 001 003 00
030230 2344N 09348W 8430 01578 0102 +180 +148 332011 011 003 002 03
030300 2342N 09348W 8432 01578 0103 +180 +141 337010 011 003 003 03
030330 2340N 09348W 8429 01580 0102 +180 +130 333010 010 004 003 03
030400 2338N 09349W 8430 01579 0104 +179 +136 332010 011 004 001 03
030430 2337N 09349W 8432 01578 0104 +177 +138 326009 010 002 003 03
030500 2335N 09349W 8429 01580 0103 +180 +127 325009 009 001 002 03
030530 2333N 09349W 8433 01579 0106 +174 +155 332010 011 005 003 00
030600 2331N 09349W 8428 01584 0106 +176 +145 331009 009 004 001 00
030630 2330N 09349W 8429 01584 0106 +175 +151 322008 009 003 001 03
030700 2328N 09350W 8430 01581 0107 +176 +151 326008 009 007 001 03
030730 2326N 09350W 8424 01589 0107 +176 +155 337010 010 001 003 03
030800 2325N 09350W 8433 01580 0107 +175 +150 329008 008 004 003 03
030830 2323N 09350W 8429 01582 0106 +176 +155 320007 008 /// /// 03
030900 2323N 09348W 8430 01581 0109 +174 +146 321003 004 002 002 03
030930 2324N 09347W 8430 01582 0107 +175 +148 320003 003 002 003 03
031000 2326N 09346W 8430 01582 0107 +175 +154 309004 004 004 001 00
031030 2327N 09344W 8429 01582 0107 +175 +155 307005 005 004 002 00
031100 2328N 09343W 8430 01582 0108 +177 +139 307005 006 002 002 03
031130 2329N 09342W 8429 01581 0106 +180 +125 306005 005 005 001 00
$$
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[HURAKAN]

All yours HURAKAN....will be ready for more missions. Think I'll actually eat supper now too..missed it earlier.

Believe it or not, I did my workout, took a shower, and ate dinner and still kept doing the graphics!! 1st time I use my 2 laptops and the desktop to do the graphics for 1 mission!! lol

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

230
URNT11 KNHC 290312
97779 03104 61234 93700 15200 99005 1816/ /2512
RMK AF307 0404A DON OB 13
SWS = 3 KTS
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[Weatherfreak000]

The forecast verified IMO due to Don's unfortunate constant landfalls before he could get his act together. If Don would have been stronger like we were thinking we may, he probably would have moved move North.


Moot point now, weak storms thus far this season....maybe Emily will finally be the first cane

[SouthDadeFish]

Recon is showing SW inflow is very poor. Winds are running around 5 knots there.

[ozonepete]

Between the lack of symmetry and a very dry environment ahead of it, I can't see any more strengthening for Don.

The first one of the season, though, and hopefully the beginnngs of a drought busting.

Sorry. I meant first landfaller in the large drought area of the south.

[SouthDadeFish]

Starting to burst again. Deja vu?

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

[HURAKAN]

[SouthDadeFish]

Between the lack of symmetry and a very dry environment ahead of it, I can't see any more strengthening for Don.

The first one of the season, though, and hopefully the beginnngs of a drought busting.

I wouldn't give up on him yet. Seems like he entrained some dry air and is bursting again already. Perhaps he can keep the dry air out this time and make a run at that 74 mph threshold?

[HURAKAN]

906
URNT15 KNHC 290321
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 34 20110729
031200 2330N 09341W 8430 01580 0105 +180 +132 303005 006 000 004 03
031230 2332N 09339W 8429 01581 0105 +178 +144 311006 006 001 004 03
031300 2333N 09338W 8428 01581 0104 +177 +146 307006 007 002 002 03
031330 2334N 09337W 8432 01578 0103 +176 +151 310007 008 003 001 03
031400 2335N 09335W 8430 01580 0103 +179 +140 319006 007 003 001 00
031430 2336N 09334W 8428 01581 0102 +178 +140 319007 007 003 001 03
031500 2338N 09333W 8430 01579 0101 +180 +136 311008 008 004 001 00
031530 2339N 09332W 8430 01579 0101 +180 +134 303008 008 006 001 03
031600 2340N 09330W 8429 01580 0102 +184 +129 293008 008 003 002 00
031630 2341N 09329W 8428 01581 0101 +184 +133 291008 009 006 001 00
031700 2342N 09328W 8432 01576 0100 +183 +136 293008 008 003 004 03
031730 2344N 09327W 8429 01581 0102 +181 +141 299008 009 003 002 03
031800 2345N 09325W 8429 01581 0103 +180 +150 290008 009 007 002 03
031830 2346N 09324W 8429 01581 0104 +179 +152 287008 008 007 001 00
031900 2347N 09323W 8430 01578 0103 +175 +161 293008 008 006 002 00
031930 2348N 09321W 8430 01580 0106 +175 +153 291008 008 009 002 00
032000 2350N 09320W 8429 01580 0105 +175 +152 282009 010 015 006 00
032030 2351N 09319W 8429 01580 0105 +174 +149 273011 011 016 007 00
032100 2352N 09317W 8430 01578 0107 +169 +152 281011 011 018 006 00
032130 2353N 09316W 8431 01576 0108 +165 +160 280010 011 017 004 00
$$
;

[ozonepete]

Between the lack of symmetry and a very dry environment ahead of it, I can't see any more strengthening for Don.

The first one of the season, though, and hopefully the beginnngs of a drought busting.

I wouldn't give up on him yet. Seems like he entrained some dry air and is bursting again already. Perhaps he can keep the dry air out this time and make a run at that 74 mph threshold?

Oh yeah. Not out of the question at all, but the odds are getting higher that it will suck in a lot of that mid-level dry air from the Texas mainland and that is death for a tropical cyclone.

[Rgv20]

Local Meteorologist Tim Smith thinks the NHC did not go far enough south with the track.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

088
URNT15 KNHC 290331
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 35 20110729
032200 2354N 09315W 8429 01578 0103 +171 +153 278010 011 010 005 00
032230 2356N 09314W 8429 01578 0100 +174 +154 286011 011 010 004 00
032300 2357N 09312W 8430 01574 0102 +169 +166 282010 011 014 004 00
032330 2358N 09311W 8442 01565 0107 +169 //// 284011 012 014 006 01
032400 2359N 09310W 8436 01573 0105 +174 +165 285010 011 014 004 00
032430 2401N 09308W 8427 01584 0107 +169 +167 281011 012 012 011 03
032500 2402N 09307W 8442 01570 0104 +178 +160 291010 010 019 008 00
032530 2403N 09306W 8427 01585 0103 +180 +158 284010 011 009 002 00
032600 2404N 09304W 8431 01581 0107 +175 +165 274011 011 008 002 00
032630 2405N 09303W 8429 01581 0103 +175 +163 278012 012 013 002 00
032700 2407N 09302W 8433 01575 0104 +172 +166 283014 014 016 006 00
032730 2408N 09300W 8427 01580 0106 +157 //// 284015 016 019 013 01
032800 2409N 09259W 8429 01576 0102 +165 //// 297016 016 024 010 01
032830 2410N 09258W 8431 01573 0103 +162 //// 301014 017 023 007 01
032900 2411N 09257W 8440 01573 0108 +163 //// 302012 016 020 005 01
032930 2413N 09255W 8424 01578 0103 +161 //// 281011 015 026 005 01
033000 2414N 09254W 8427 01575 0096 +173 //// 280010 011 021 006 01
033030 2415N 09253W 8431 01573 0101 +165 //// 287012 013 023 009 01
033100 2416N 09251W 8434 01567 //// +150 //// 299010 013 034 015 01
033130 2417N 09250W 8433 01569 0098 +163 //// 337012 013 031 006 01
$$
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[ROCK]

hes making a come back for sure although odds are against him now. Freeport to CC was my final call on this....might come in lower than CC so I will have to eat some for that.

Intensity I might be off but I still got some time left....still thinking mini cat 1 to strong cat 1 by landfall....size wise I dont think he is going to get any bigger than this...

so much for rain here in Pearland and Galveston...drought continues...91L where are you?

[Dave]

Ahh I feel better! I did that at noon today...actually grilled hamburgers outside, took a shower, and worked this mornings mission without missing a beat. I use 1 laptop, with 12 windows open + a graphics editor program, Google Earth, FTP (for pics to my weather server) and mail. I can take it back now if you want...doesn't matter.

[HURAKAN]

Ahh I feel better! I did that at noon today...actually grilled hamburgers outside, took a shower, and worked this mornings mission without missing a beat. I use 1 laptop, with 12 windows open + a graphics editor program, Google Earth, FTP (for pics to my weather server) and mail. I can take it back now if you want...doesn't matter.

Nice!! Take the HDOBs!

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 290341
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 36 20110729
033200 2419N 09249W 8430 01568 0092 +169 //// 347011 012 019 003 01
033230 2420N 09248W 8432 01568 0087 +184 +180 328012 014 016 003 00
033300 2421N 09246W 8429 01572 0085 +185 +170 313012 012 017 002 00
033330 2422N 09245W 8429 01572 0089 +178 +171 313011 013 018 004 00
033400 2423N 09244W 8419 01587 //// +168 //// 302010 011 025 010 05
033430 2424N 09242W 8430 01566 0083 +181 //// 314009 011 011 003 01
033500 2426N 09241W 8425 01573 0085 +179 //// 324008 010 014 002 01
033530 2427N 09240W 8431 01567 0080 +185 //// 312008 009 010 004 01
033600 2428N 09239W 8433 01566 0081 +185 +184 298007 008 013 002 00
033630 2429N 09237W 8429 01568 0078 +187 +179 323007 008 014 001 00
033700 2430N 09236W 8429 01566 0077 +186 +183 321008 009 018 003 00
033730 2432N 09235W 8429 01564 0074 +191 +172 299009 009 017 004 00
033800 2433N 09233W 8429 01563 0070 +196 +169 279009 009 013 002 00
033830 2434N 09232W 8428 01562 0064 +201 +165 264010 011 013 002 03
033900 2436N 09232W 8434 01551 0060 +205 +168 256008 009 011 003 03
033930 2437N 09232W 8430 01553 0055 +205 +177 302006 008 017 002 00
034000 2439N 09232W 8424 01551 0048 +199 //// 319012 013 016 005 05
034030 2440N 09230W 8429 01546 0035 +221 +175 321011 013 023 001 00
034100 2441N 09229W 8431 01540 0021 +243 +155 355007 010 019 002 00
034130 2442N 09227W 8433 01534 0011 +254 +150 098004 006 016 002 03
$$
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