ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[AdamFirst]

It's Showtime!

[lester]

It appears we have a closed circ, now waiting on the NHC

- לסטר

[Hylian Auree]

This has been intense. Good show, people, good show

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Now that the models have a real center to work with, what will be the affect on the next model runs?

[shaggy]

It might have west winds but it is one ugly system with a very hilly road ahead!

[AHS2011]

Finally after a long while.

[Hylian Auree]

It might have west winds but it is one ugly system with a very hilly road ahead!

Don't hurt its feelings too much, you might piss it off into one hell of a system

[Florida1118]

I dont have to throw my computer at the wall! Score!

[NDG]

It might have west winds but it is one ugly system with a very hilly road ahead!

It has a good 48 hrs before it would encounter Hispaniola and or eastern Cuba.

[jonj2040]

evading the islands but hopefully it will get the south side on this run


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[BigB0882]

Will this go straight to TS also? Is the NHC really dropping the ball. Are the percentages messing around and causing NHC to be too political when it comes to naming systems (not wanting to contradict themselves if they just posted a low % and then name a storm a few hours later, for example).

[SouthFloridawx]

Is there a VDM?

[sunnyday]

I guess I asked too late! This has been a long time coming, it seems like.

[Swimdude]

Will this go straight to TS also? Is the NHC really dropping the ball. Are the percentages messing around and causing NHC to be too political when it comes to naming systems (not wanting to contradict themselves if they just posted a low % and then name a storm a few hours later, for example).

Based on winds, I believe it should go straight to Emily. I don't know what politics has to do with a closed circulation and winds around the clock.

[JonathanBelles]

Yep...Tropical Storm Emily with 45 to 50 mph winds well removed. Going just between the islands. Lets see if they send out a VDM.

[TwisterFanatic]

18z NAM moving 91L over the extreme Eastern tip of Cuba, barely touched any of Haiti.

[Extratropical94]

Observation 29


000
URNT15 KNHC 012056
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 29 20110801
204600 1503N 06103W 9757 00273 0066 +240 +207 281003 004 006 002 03
204630 1505N 06103W 9761 00270 0066 +237 +209 292001 003 008 003 00
204700 1506N 06103W 9756 00275 0066 +239 +211 341001 002 011 000 00
204730 1508N 06104W 9758 00270 0064 +240 +212 175001 002 010 002 00
204800 1510N 06104W 9758 00271 0063 +239 +213 157003 004 011 001 00
204830 1511N 06104W 9764 00264 0062 +239 +214 150004 005 010 001 00
204900 1511N 06104W 9764 00264 0063 +238 +215 134006 007 010 001 00
204930 1514N 06105W 9755 00273 0063 +231 +216 118008 009 019 005 00
205000 1516N 06105W 9754 00271 0063 +223 +215 108017 022 024 014 00
205030 1517N 06105W 9769 00257 0063 +211 //// 099027 028 052 016 01
205100 1519N 06106W 9752 00277 0065 +218 +208 095027 028 040 011 00
205130 1520N 06106W 9757 00273 0067 +224 +204 089030 030 026 008 03
205200 1522N 06106W 9762 00269 0068 +228 +202 088029 030 030 017 00
205230 1523N 06105W 9761 00272 0069 +228 +200 084032 034 037 012 00
205300 1525N 06105W 9748 00285 0070 +220 +198 082032 034 030 003 00
205330 1526N 06105W 9761 00273 0071 +224 +198 078031 032 030 004 03
205400 1527N 06104W 9769 00267 0072 +224 +197 079036 037 032 005 03
205430 1528N 06103W 9752 00282 0072 +230 +197 079036 037 037 005 03
205500 1528N 06102W 9760 00276 0073 +229 +197 079034 035 036 009 00
205530 1529N 06100W 9762 00274 0073 +231 +196 080036 036 036 008 00
$$
;

btw,
did S2K just melt down or why did I get MySQL errors?

[Ivanhater]

Yep...Tropical Storm Emily with 45 to 50 mph winds well removed. Going just between the islands. Lets see if they send out a VDM.

Had to give them a chance to sample the south side

[SouthFloridawx]

No VDM... no dice..

[Swimdude]

We were all booted for 5 minutes. Thank you for your continued updates!