ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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TwisterFanatic
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#361 Postby TwisterFanatic » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:02 pm

Yeah, you can really see some spin starting to get associated with it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#362 Postby painkillerr » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:09 pm

Blown Away wrote:
painkillerr wrote:
Blown Away wrote:IMO, the difference between 97L being a big cane for Florida or not will be Hispaniola. Many models go down the spine, if there is a shift of @100 miles N of Hispaniola SFL better watch out, JMHO!!


Hey Florida guys... keep an eye on us here in the islands!! :D


Blown Away wrote:You know Luis & Gusty, looking like you guys might have to deal with at least a TS at this point! Models tightly clustered over you. JMHO, I'm thinking this will be a cane near PR.


For the record, I hollered out to my island homies a few hours ago and didn't get any love back! We are watching!! :wink:


Ok I saw it now.... thank you buddy!!!! :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#363 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:09 pm

Blown Away wrote:
painkillerr wrote:
Blown Away wrote:IMO, the difference between 97L being a big cane for Florida or not will be Hispaniola. Many models go down the spine, if there is a shift of @100 miles N of Hispaniola SFL better watch out, JMHO!!


Hey Florida guys... keep an eye on us here in the islands!! :D


Blown Away wrote:You know Luis & Gusty, looking like you guys might have to deal with at least a TS at this point! Models tightly clustered over you. JMHO, I'm thinking this will be a cane near PR.


For the record, I hollered out to my island homies a few hours ago and didn't get any love back! We are watching!! :wink:


I am preparing for the worse case scenario in my house,but hoping it tracks away from us.I am sure Gusty,and the rest of our Caribbean friends are doing the same.
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#364 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:11 pm

Sometimes Hispaniola doesn't necessarily help. Look at Gustav in 2008. It recovered from a direct hit weakening to a weak tropical storm and hit Cuba as a strong Cat 4.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#365 Postby SoupBone » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:14 pm

Looking at this is simply amazing. What a huge switch from 2 weeks ago.

Image
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#366 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:15 pm

SoupBone, That's a visual definition of "the lid coming off"

k back on topic :wink:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#367 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:17 pm

Shes rolln'!

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#368 Postby Blown Away » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:18 pm

SoupBone wrote:Looking at this is simply amazing. What a huge switch from 2 weeks ago.

Image


What a bunch of loser wimps, I wanna see some reds and pinks in those tracks!!! Over water of course!! :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#369 Postby Rincoin » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:19 pm

Hey Cyclone/Painkiller -- Keeping a close eye out here on the west side in Rincon also! Watching for the arly development as that will be the key. Hoping 97L dev's slow if it all. Stay safe and be ready!

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#370 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:25 pm

Blown Away wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Looking at this is simply amazing. What a huge switch from 2 weeks ago.


What a bunch of loser wimps, I wanna see some reds and pinks in those tracks!!! Over water of course!! :D


It's like that game "Plants vs Zombies".....they are starting to line up.... :eek:

Anyway, going to be some loooong nights aheads folks.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#371 Postby Blown Away » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:30 pm

The 13.6N location, I don't see much there. Maybe circulation center will relocate a little N?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#372 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:31 pm

One thing is for sure,and that is this system will affect one way or another a lot of people in many countries and territories from massive floodings,mudslides to extensive wind damage.Hopefully,it turns north before 60W and not affect anyone.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#373 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:32 pm

That thing is starting to curl-up. The switch could be going off.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#374 Postby Gustywind » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:One thing is for sure,and that is this system will affect one way or another a lot of people in many countries and territories from massive floodings,mudslides to extensive wind damage.Hopefully,it turns north before 60W and not affect anyone.

You're right Cycloneye, same here with all the water we have received we hope it will track away from the Lesser Antilles. We're watching it very closely because of our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe think (latest weather forecast 12AM) that we could deal with a powerfull twave with big squalls (and gusts reaching 43kts) or even a possible DT (a big if) Sunday. So we should continue to monitor carefully the situation.
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#375 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:46 pm

hmm.. mid level getting more vigorous and the low level continues to shows signs on a LLC developing under the convection and MLC. hmmm....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rgb.html
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#376 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:47 pm

Looks like you are going to get some gusty winds and rain out of this Gustywind. Be careful indeed. Heck watch out for some of the other systems in behind 97l.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#377 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:50 pm

Looks like the outflow is getting more established there as well Aric.
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#378 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:50 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:hmm.. mid level getting more vigorous and the low level continues to shows signs on a LLC developing under the convection and MLC. hmmm....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rgb.html



Yeah seems that the more northern development of a LLC is becoming more and more likely. This will certainly change the models in some way if that area maintains and becomes the main show.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#379 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:50 pm

Blown Away wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Looking at this is simply amazing. What a huge switch from 2 weeks ago.

Image


What a bunch of loser wimps, I wanna see some reds and pinks in those tracks!!! Over water of course!! :D


LOL... be careful... they might hear you and go for you... haha... but then i also live in S. FL... :eek:
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#380 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:51 pm

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

as long as these organization trends continue, I expect to see a 280 degree movement or so, extrapolated looks like it is heading towards the northern Leewards

Folks in Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, and the Northern Leewards should closely monitor the situation.
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Aug 19, 2011 3:57 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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