ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[WxEnthus]

...IRENE NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT IRENE HAS STRENGTHENED...AND IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 100 MPH...155 KM/H. DETAILS WILL
FOLLOW IN A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY 815 PM AST...0015 UTC.

[SootyTern]

Looking at the funktop loop...did Irene just do a big jog due north or is this just the convection changing shape? Noticing a secondary blob of strong convection blossoming up to the SW south of the DR.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html

[ozonepete]

Wow, running into a lot of 80+ knot winds if those color coded barbs can be trusted.

The orange barbs actually indicate 60+ knot winds, but yes. There have been several >100 knot readings, in fact. (Flight level, of course)

Ooops! My bad.

[Dean4Storms]

Wow, she is going to explode IMO!

[Evil Jeremy]

Cantore on TWC said not to eliminate. SFL Yet.

[SunnyThoughts]

Wow, she is going to explode IMO!

Those models that had her bombing out were possibly right, that is a big increase in strength since the last recon was out there.

[Dave]

[ozonepete]

Intensifying in large part because the core has stayed off of DR.

[otowntiger]

Looking at the funktop loop...did Irene just do a big jog due north or is this just the convection changing shape? Noticing a secondary blob of strong convection blossoming up to the SW south of the DR.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html

Looks to have a LOT of northerly component to its motion right now doesn't it?

[CrazyC83]

I doubt they will change the track forecast in the special but I think the intensity will be bumped up in the forecast - major by tomorrow, maybe a Cat 4 forecast?

[SootyTern]

Looking at the funktop loop...did Irene just do a big jog due north or is this just the convection changing shape? Noticing a secondary blob of strong convection blossoming up to the SW south of the DR.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html

Looks to have a LOT of northerly component to its motion right now doesn't it?

With this intensification maybe she'll get an eye soon so we can really start wobble-watching

[clfenwi]

URNT15 KNHC 230001
AF303 0709A IRENE HDOB 12 20110822
235100 2046N 06945W 8432 01545 //// +169 //// 080061 062 /// /// 05
235130 2047N 06947W 8429 01548 //// +170 //// 081061 062 /// /// 05
235200 2048N 06948W 8433 01548 //// +169 //// 081061 061 /// /// 05
235230 2050N 06950W 8432 01548 //// +169 //// 079060 061 /// /// 05
235300 2051N 06951W 8429 01554 //// +170 //// 080061 061 036 000 05
235330 2052N 06953W 8429 01554 //// +173 //// 081061 061 /// /// 05
235400 2054N 06954W 8433 01549 //// +173 //// 081061 061 /// /// 05
235430 2055N 06956W 8431 01553 //// +175 //// 082060 061 /// /// 05
235500 2056N 06957W 8428 01558 //// +175 //// 082059 060 /// /// 05
235530 2057N 06959W 8431 01557 //// +175 //// 081060 060 /// /// 05
235600 2059N 07001W 8429 01561 //// +173 //// 081059 060 036 001 05
235630 2100N 07002W 8433 01558 //// +170 //// 081057 059 /// /// 05
235700 2100N 07004W 8427 01565 //// +170 //// 078054 056 /// /// 05
235730 2059N 07005W 8431 01561 //// +170 //// 076054 055 /// /// 05
235800 2057N 07006W 8429 01561 //// +170 //// 073053 053 037 000 05
235830 2055N 07007W 8431 01559 //// +170 //// 071052 053 039 000 01
235900 2054N 07008W 8428 01561 //// +170 //// 070053 053 038 001 01
235930 2052N 07009W 8433 01555 //// +170 //// 071052 052 037 001 01
000000 2050N 07010W 8428 01561 //// +167 //// 071051 052 037 001 01
000030 2049N 07011W 8431 01558 //// +169 //// 070049 050 037 000 01
$$

[Dave]

[chargurl]

Where would you put the center? It looks like the DR split Irene in half?!

[Stephanie]

Looking at the funktop loop...did Irene just do a big jog due north or is this just the convection changing shape? Noticing a secondary blob of strong convection blossoming up to the SW south of the DR.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html

Looks to have a LOT of northerly component to its motion right now doesn't it?

It did look like more than just a "jog" to the north.

[Macrocane]

Where would you put the center? It looks like the DR split Irene in half?!

Go to the recon thread and it clearly shows were the well defined center is (I mean it's a cat 2 it has to have a well defined center ): http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111529&start=420

[boca]

It looks like Irene is moving NW now but it could be a jog.Its been moving that way since 5pm.

[ozonepete]

Looking at the funktop loop...did Irene just do a big jog due north or is this just the convection changing shape? Noticing a secondary blob of strong convection blossoming up to the SW south of the DR.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html

Looks to have a LOT of northerly component to its motion right now doesn't it?

It did look like more than just a "jog" to the north.

I agree too.

[clfenwi]

URNT15 KNHC 230011
AF303 0709A IRENE HDOB 13 20110823
000100 2047N 07012W 8429 01559 //// +166 //// 070048 049 038 001 05
000130 2045N 07013W 8237 01754 //// +156 //// 065045 048 037 001 05
000200 2043N 07014W 7916 02098 //// +146 //// 059042 043 /// /// 05
000230 2042N 07015W 7625 02404 //// +130 //// 053040 041 /// /// 05
000300 2040N 07016W 7368 02691 //// +113 //// 050037 042 /// /// 05
000330 2038N 07017W 7042 03075 //// +093 //// 048028 029 035 001 05
000400 2036N 07018W 6965 03168 //// +085 //// 044028 028 035 000 01
000430 2034N 07019W 6969 03161 //// +085 //// 043028 029 034 000 01
000500 2033N 07021W 6967 03167 //// +088 //// 041028 028 035 000 01
000530 2031N 07022W 6967 03165 //// +085 //// 041029 030 035 000 01
000600 2029N 07023W 6968 03160 //// +085 //// 038027 028 036 000 01
000630 2027N 07024W 6967 03164 //// +085 //// 035027 027 036 000 01
000700 2027N 07024W 6967 03164 //// +085 //// 035027 027 037 000 01
000730 2024N 07026W 6964 03167 //// +085 //// 036027 028 036 000 01
000800 2022N 07027W 6967 03168 //// +085 //// 036028 029 038 000 01
000830 2020N 07028W 6969 03163 //// +085 //// 035029 030 038 001 01
000900 2019N 07029W 6967 03165 //// +085 //// 034029 029 039 000 01
000930 2017N 07030W 6967 03163 //// +085 //// 033028 028 038 001 01
001000 2015N 07031W 6969 03161 //// +086 //// 031027 028 036 000 01
001030 2013N 07032W 6967 03164 //// +088 //// 031027 030 037 001 01
$$

[CrazyC83]

Elevated to 700mb in the outer bands, probably spooked by the intensity thinking it might be rapidly deepening.