ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[lonelymike]

Ugh!

[eastcoastFL]

So we got a cat 2 strengthening right now! They have to issue trop storm watches for se florida tonight @11pm.

[Macrocane]

I can take over but if anyone else wants to do it there's no problem, just PM me or something.

[CronkPSU]

nevermind...forecasted...

[eastcoastFL]

Weather Channel just said to expect tstorm force winds across s. fla on wed night. How could they not put up watches or warnings for us @ 11?

[Dave]

[CrazyC83]

wait...weather channel says it is sustained 125 mph winds right now???

100 mph. Forecast is for 125 (although I would think it could get higher than that).

[eastcoastFL]

wait...weather channel says it is sustained 125 mph winds right now???

No they were saying when its over the bahamas. right now its just been upgraded to a cat 2

[Robintampa]

I do not wish this storm on anyone, but I find it remarkable that just a few day ago the models had it targeting the Tampa Bay area and now it is forcast to have basically no effect on our weather at all. I have lived in the same house just a 3 miles from the coast for 30 years and never have had to worry about a tropical system. May the Tampa force be with whomever is in the path of this storm.

[southerngale]

Remember guys... we do have a chatroom available 24/7 for anyone interested in conversational weather chat. As the hurricane threat gets more serious, Storm2k will get busier. Let's try to keep brief one liners like "I agree," that don't really add any value, out of the Active Storm threads. Of course questions and comments are always welcomed... that's why we're here.

Thanks.

[pricetag56]

go to wv and look at all the moisture covers over over 200 mi it stretches back to the windwards

[cycloneye]

Hey peeps,I am back as power,internet and phones came back tonight. I survived Irene with no problems at house,but I didn't expect to see the stars in my location as eye moved over me.

[SunnyThoughts]

Wow Luis, great to see you back , glad everything is ok.

[Tstormwatcher]

There wont be a change in track, if any, until 11 PM.

I guess I will have to wait until tomorrow morning to find out then.

[eastcoastFL]

MY LOCAL FORECAST:

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of rain and thunderstorms, then rain likely after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Windy, with a east wind between 17 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday: Tropical storm conditions possible. Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

[WxEnthus]

Code: Select all

I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE               

CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.             
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     


      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -     

VALID TIME   06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       X       1       6      14
TROP DEPRESSION  X       1       X       1       1       6       3
TROPICAL STORM  10       2       3       4      12      21      31
HURRICANE       90      97      96      95      87      67      53
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       12      11      11      19      29      30      31
HUR CAT 2       56      34      28      30      27      20      13
HUR CAT 3       21      43      43      32      24      14       7
HUR CAT 4        2       9      14      12       7       3       1
HUR CAT 5        X       1       2       1       1       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   95KT   105KT   110KT   110KT   110KT   105KT    95KT


Wow, the probabilities on Cat 3 & 4 just got bumped up big time.

[cjrciadt]

Hey peeps,I am back as power,internet and phones came back tonight. I survived Irene with no problems at house,but I didn't expect to see the stars in my location as eye moved over me.

Great to see u back online!!!!

[otowntiger]

Hey peeps,I am back as power,internet and phones came back tonight. I survived Irene with no problems at house,but I didn't expect to see the stars in my location as eye moved over me.

Awesome! Welcome back Luis. I'm glad you're alright. We missed you.

[alienstorm]

Eye wall now visible in high resolution infared, just south of 20 N (19.7) rapid intensification is probably underway.

[afswo]

Wow, all of a sudden it got vwwerry quiet in here for having nearly 600+ people on board. Is everyone over at NHC clicking refresh like crazy??

More than likely they were...know that I was