ATL: IRENE - Models

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chris_fit
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#3781 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:02 pm

60hrs....

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#3782 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:04 pm

Lets see if it continues left of previous... so far it's a pretty decent shift.
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#3783 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:05 pm

looks SW??? from 12z?
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#3784 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:06 pm

66hrs...

Looks like it's turning.


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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3785 Postby ronjon » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:06 pm

18z HWRF gonna be close to WPB on this run.
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Re:

#3786 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:06 pm

deltadog03 wrote:looks SW??? from 12z?


Yes Sir
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3787 Postby BigA » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:08 pm

That is some 100 miles WSW of the 12Z run out 66 hours.
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#3788 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:08 pm

72 hrs.... still much farther SW


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Re: Re:

#3789 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:08 pm

chris_fit wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:looks SW??? from 12z?


Yes Sir



thx bud
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#3790 Postby lonelymike » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:09 pm

HRWF??? U guys really don't take this model seriously :roll:
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GO SEMINOLES
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Re:

#3791 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:10 pm

lonelymike wrote:HRWF??? U guys really don't take this model seriously :roll:


which model is your favorite mike?
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#3792 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:11 pm

Talk about west shift.. and only 1/3 of those GIV dropsondes were able to be used
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#3793 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:11 pm

78hrs....
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For reference, here is the previous (12z) run...
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Re:

#3794 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:12 pm

lonelymike wrote:HRWF??? U guys really don't take this model seriously :roll:


Considering it is normally a right outlier when I see it shift left closer to the coast I am going to take it seriously. Especially when it supposedly has some of the G-IV data and balloon data in it. Between the slight left shift of the GFS and now a more noticeable shift left in the HWRF it makes tonights 00z runs of the GFS, CMC, and Euro that much more significant. Is the trend no longer our friend and becoming our enemy??? Stay tuned...

SFT
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#3795 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:12 pm

FWIW, this is the 2nd run in a row from HRWF that goes left
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Re:

#3796 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:13 pm

lonelymike wrote:HRWF??? U guys really don't take this model seriously :roll:



I don't really take this particular model serious, BUT!!! This does have SOME of new data in.....that is a BIG point!!
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3797 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:13 pm

GFDL coming up next. Last few runs destroyed South Florida. What will it do this time???

SFT
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#3798 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:13 pm

84 hrs.....

Too close for comfort!

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#3799 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:14 pm

Heh.. wouldn't that be something.
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Re:

#3800 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:15 pm

chris_fit wrote:84 hrs.....

Too close for comfort!



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Especially on a model that many consider a "right outlier" most of the time!
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