ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Adoquín]

if it is indeed forming an LLC at 15, it will likely NOT go through central Hispaniola, but east of that. Does anyone have an idea if and when it would slow in forward speed? That could mean the difference between TS or Cat 1 for the islands.

[AdamFirst]

Here we go.

[Adoquín]

hmm.. mid level getting more vigorous and the low level continues to shows signs on a LLC developing under the convection and MLC. hmmm....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rgb.html

Aric, if I understand you correctly you seem to be suggesting the system is forming vertically stacked. Please confirm if I understood yiu, which I hope I did not.

[Ivanhater]

850mb Vorticity is still well south of the MLC

[Gustywind]

Looks like you are going to get some gusty winds and rain out of this Gustywind. Be careful indeed. Heck watch out for some of the other systems in behind 97l.

If the current trends continues we 're not so far from what you're describing . Whereas, thanks for this wink, we appreciate us in the Leewards and in the others islands of the NE Carib. Yes, wee keep an eye on the activity further east but let's focus on this one and see if it could pose a possible threat for the Lesser Antilles and especially Guadeloupe given the models path predictions. Things are heating up in the tropics and frankly we don't want any remake of 1995 and that's not HUC, Cycloneye, Msbee and the others from the islands who will say the contrary!

[Adoquín]

850mb Vorticity is still well south of the MLC

True, it also shows Harvey well south inside Honduras, and we know that is not true. So go figure.

[cycloneye]

850mb Vorticity is still well south of the MLC

Hmmm,graphic has ubication error of Harvey.

[Scorpion]

850mb Vorticity is still well south of the MLC

True, it also shows Harvey well south inside Honduras, and we know that is not true. So go figure.

Lol seriously, those maps cannot be trusted.

[painkillerr]

Hey Cyclone/Painkiller -- Keeping a close eye out here on the west side in Rincon also! Watching for the arly development as that will be the key. Hoping 97L dev's slow if it all. Stay safe and be ready!

Rincoin
http://www.rinconadventure.com/Weather/wxindex.php

Thanks bro....be safe!

[Aric Dunn]

TPW showing the dry air is nearly gone from inside the envelope.. still surrounding it and the over circ has improved.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... /main.html

[Gustywind]

At 5PM: Guadeloupe, Martinica and the Northern Leewards Islands have been all placed on yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms.

[cycloneye]

18z Surface analyisis.

[Adoquín]

Luis do we know if the system forecast to slow down before it reaches 60W and by how much?

[cycloneye]

Luis do we know if the system forecast to slow down before it reaches 60W and by how much?

Is expected to start to slowdown in the Eastern Caribbean area.

[Gustywind]

97L

[Hurricaneman]

looks to be about 14.7n 50.7w

[pricetag56]

97L

already looks like depression

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Pretty impressive structure!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

[Vortex]

She's really coming together tonight...

[cycloneye]

Code red at 8 PM by only seeing the latest images.