ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[WxEnthus]

in the mean time watch that bouy ... its pretty close.. could see some good pressure falls

I see NDBC's "storm special" list of buoys that will be near TS Emily but does anyone know if there's a way to make their google map bigger? Or import this info into GE?

[Aric Dunn]

The gfs had many cat 5 hurricanes as nothing but open waves running through carribean... its funny like that..

Actually the Euro and GFS are rather close for TC genesis. I wouldn't discout either guidance...

no not discount.. but its not likely to dissipate like that.. the euro at least weakens it over land,..gfs just loses it..

[Blown Away]

It seems to me like the LLC is outracing the convection again. It could be my tired eyes playing tricks, but if that is the case progress will continue to be slow. I am seeing it approaching 15 & 65.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_640.asp?product=tropical_ge_4km_visir2_floater_1

If Emily sneaks a little farther W and pulls up through W Haiti the disruption to the circulation may be less.

[Ivanhater]

It does seem the LLC has continued to race forward while the convection is hanging up over the Islands

[ROCK]

54 hardly anything left....

[Aric Dunn]

54 hrs still have mid level circ.. but weak sitting just offshore northern coast of DR

[ROCK]

ALL HAIL THE NAM!!!

sorry OT....just always wanted to say it....

[stormhunter7]

PS: Until we get a round of G-IV data into the globals... i think its just a wait and see game... Hopefully tmrw nights 00Z data will have the Gulfstreams data in them if the bird flys tomorrow!

[ROCK]

54 hrs still have mid level circ.. but weak sitting just offshore northern coast of DR

southern coast?

[SouthDadeFish]

Continues to fire extremely cold cloud tops and expanding as of the 03:45Z image. Seems to be making a push towards the LLC. Also, banding looks to be improving on radar.

[Aric Dunn]

It does seem the LLC has continued to race forward while the convection is hanging up over the Islands

look at radar.. clearly slight to the south .. may have reformed or migrated to convection..

[stormhunter7]

It does seem the LLC has continued to race forward while the convection is hanging up over the Islands

I agree and i expect and it appears the center may be a little further west and south of current forecast points... but we want know til recon arrives! errrr!

[Macrocane]

it was not bad...

Oops! Sorry Aric I didn't see you other post, so it was good initialized but it looses it, I don't know if that is worse or better, at the end it could be right but it would need support from other models.

[blp]

Well this was unexpected..... I don't think anyone would have seen that coming.

[ROCK]

66hr

[Hurricaneman]

54 hrs still have mid level circ.. but weak sitting just offshore northern coast of DR

southern coast?

looks like the gfs at 54 has 3 peices of energy 1 north of hispaniola, 1 south of cuba and 1 south of Hispaniola, which means I dont think it knows where Emily's going

[ROCK]

[Aric Dunn]

It does seem the LLC has continued to race forward while the convection is hanging up over the Islands

look at radar.. clearly slight to the south .. may have reformed or migrated to convection..

[SouthDadeFish]

Very impressive convection:

[lebron23]

NAM kept developing don when most models didnt, think NAM deserves more credit...