ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[wx4tv]

Irene isn't favoring the DR poking into her sides a couple of hours ago was quite a treat seeing the first signs of a eyewall coming up on the WV imagery, only to be scuppered by shear coming down off the mountains.
Once into more open waters again expect rejuvination of Irene's structure to start happening and the subsequent media feeds to start as Irene directly-approaches the first main populated center of the Bahamas.
Anyone know how the Bahaman's go about evac 300,000 locallers, hoteliers, and tourists at the height of summer season given its only 48hr away.

Every time I have been in the Bahamas for a tropical system they have simply moved everyone into a interior room. There is no way to evacuate everyone.

[tgenius]

Theres no real talk about moving west right? My understanding is with the GIV data fed in that irene is not going to get any closer to FL then 150-200 miles correct?

[HURAKAN]

very impressive this morning

[SootyTern]

Theres no real talk about moving west right? My understanding is with the GIV data fed in that irene is not going to get any closer to FL then 150-200 miles correct?

The threat level for So FLA has definintely decreased. Keep an eye on her to make sure she is still behaving as forecast, though; we're not completely in the all clear until she's north of our latitude.

[TheBurn]

Couple of shots of Irene this morning.

[Dave]

While we're waiting...giving my F5 key a break...

[HURAKAN]

[luvcanescarol]

Spectacular images! I'm a novice, and still learning, and trying to get opinions on the potential impacts in Northern NJ. Floyd caused a ton of damage here, the rain totals were surreal. Time will tell.

[GTStorm]

Theres no real talk about moving west right? My understanding is with the GIV data fed in that irene is not going to get any closer to FL then 150-200 miles correct?

well, of course there's talk, otherwise this would be a pretty dull forum.

Trends, synoptics, models, forecasts....all pointing North Carolina and n-eastward. Go with it...

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[Dave]

LOL

Anyone who wants to take over go ahead...I have to go to the local office for awhile today. Sort of a must do thing especially if I want to eat next month. Back later on today.

[Crackbone]

very impressive this morning

Looks really good. Today could be a big day for an intensity burst. Irene definitely is taking the look of the real deal.

[HurrMark]

Something worth noting...at least since yesterday, Irene has been tracking slightly north of the forecast track. For instance, at 11 PM, the forecast for 8 AM today was 20.4/70.6. It is currently 20.6/70.6...so about 15 miles too far south. The 11 AM forecast from yesterday was 20.5/71.4...so about 60 miles too far WSW.

[cycloneye]

What happened as over two hours without any data,mission aborted?

[otowntiger]

Something worth noting...at least since yesterday, Irene has been tracking slightly north of the forecast track. For instance, at 11 PM, the forecast for 8 AM today was 20.4/70.6. It is currently 20.6/70.6...so about 15 miles too far south. The 11 AM forecast from yesterday was 20.5/71.4...so about 60 miles too far WSW.

No surprise there...more eastward shifts coming. I'm beginnning to think fox13weather may be right after all. We can only hope.

[bahamaswx]

Irene isn't favoring the DR poking into her sides a couple of hours ago was quite a treat seeing the first signs of a eyewall coming up on the WV imagery, only to be scuppered by shear coming down off the mountains.
Once into more open waters again expect rejuvination of Irene's structure to start happening and the subsequent media feeds to start as Irene directly-approaches the first main populated center of the Bahamas.
Anyone know how the Bahaman's go about evac 300,000 locallers, hoteliers, and tourists at the height of summer season given its only 48hr away.

No such thing as an evac. We just stay inside!

[Weatherboy1]

Definitely more relaxed here in South FL, but concerned for those of you further up the coast. Irene really does seem like a potential Floyd-type path ... in fact, she will probably pass me by here in Palm Beach County FL just as far off shore as Floyd was.

[SNOW_JOKE]

From my (limited) knowledge of Hurricanes outside of steering and influencing forces such as shear & environment factors, only strengthening would keep Irene West of the track as it's currently doing. So between now and Thursday is the point between wether FL knows if it'll score a glancing blow from a ever increasing 'cane coming out the Bahamas. Or merely get sideskirted and watch the system move on out into the Carolinas where latitude and cooler SSTs then plays their part in determining final landfall strength.

As of now though Irene is having another attempt at reforming an eye again, WV should put it out in the next hour or two now the inflow has passed the DR coastline mountains.

[Blown Away]

What happened as over two hours without any data,mission aborted?

It's not hitting SFL anymore they don't need anymore recon!

[Aric Dunn]

Whats rather interesting is that according to most of the guidance, she should start to turn more to the NW within the next 6 hours or so.

[Bocadude85]

Hmm I kind of expected a TS watch for a part of the Fla coast but I guess she will stay far enough off the coast that one will not be required.