ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

#4101 Postby Jevo » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:11 am

JtSmarts wrote:JB Tweets

Florida spared direct hit.No changes Carolinas north. Floydian path.. cat 3-4 in NC to cat 1-2New England. Multi billion dollar hit


track from NC north like Floyd, but storm will be stronger further north than Floyd was


It's astonishing how reckless he is getting with his tweets now that he doesn't have to be accountable because he no longer works for Accuweather. It's irresponsible to call an all clear for a location still in the cone. Unfortunatly there are still people out there that give him just enough credibility to be dangerous.

I digress.. Man... she is looking like a beast this morning... I wouldn't be surprised if she opened her eye this morning after a nice big cup of coffee... I hope she realizes the she should be a making a slight right hand turn here soon.
Last edited by Jevo on Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4102 Postby JPmia » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:12 am

jlauderdal wrote:Channel 10 in miami keeping you updated on that special plane

WPLG Local
Good morning south Florida! The National Hurricane Center just flew a special plane through Hurricane Irene overnight. So, we have all new information about the storm since you went to sleep. South Florida is no longer in the cone on uncertainty, but we will likely see some affects from the storm.


Yeah Max Mayfield must cringe when they speak in such lame terms lol.
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

#4103 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:15 am

So i guess can give it the all clear here. Probably will get a light breeze and a passing shower. Just a normal florida summer day. Hopefully I can get groceries tonight without all the crazies cleaning out the store for no reason
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re:

#4104 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:15 am

Jevo wrote:
JtSmarts wrote:JB Tweets

Florida spared direct hit.No changes Carolinas north. Floydian path.. cat 3-4 in NC to cat 1-2New England. Multi billion dollar hit


track from NC north like Floyd, but storm will be stronger further north than Floyd was


It's astonishing how reckless he is getting with his tweets now that he doesn't have to be accountable because he no longer works for Accuweather. It's irresponsible to call an all clear for a location still in the cone. Unfortunatly there are still people out there that give him just enough credibility to be dangerous.

I digress.. Man... she is looking like a beast this morning... I wouldn't be surprised if she opened her eye this morning after a nice big cup of coffee... I hope she realizes the she should be a making a slight right hand turn here soon.


Yes she should be turning soon.. if not then well you know the drill.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4105 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:15 am

0 likes   

User avatar
micktooth
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 391
Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:47 pm
Location: PreK:New Orleans,PostK:Colorado

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4106 Postby micktooth » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:15 am

Wow, that trof sure is digging south. Looks like it's all the way to the Fl/Ga border!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html
0 likes   

jhpigott
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 570
Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2008 8:09 pm
Location: North Palm Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4107 Postby jhpigott » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:17 am

micktooth wrote:Wow, that trof sure is digging south. Looks like it's all the way to the Fl/Ga border!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html


It's not this trough that is supposed to ultimately lift her N is it?
0 likes   

User avatar
micktooth
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 391
Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:47 pm
Location: PreK:New Orleans,PostK:Colorado

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4108 Postby micktooth » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:20 am

jhpigott wrote:
micktooth wrote:Wow, that trof sure is digging south. Looks like it's all the way to the Fl/Ga border!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html


It's not this trough that is supposed to ultimately lift her N is it?


i don't believe so. But this one will probably start the NW turn. The NHC talks about future shortwaves continuing the trend, the question is, will they be as strong as this one? Only time will tell.

The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#4109 Postby artist » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:20 am

I can take over if they start sending again. :lol:
0 likes   

crimi481
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 602
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 4:47 pm

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4110 Postby crimi481 » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:21 am

I can't help remember how sure all were about Andrews track. Kind of similar scenario?
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

#4111 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:22 am

This morning they said the trough that is supposed to give irene a ride hasn't even developed yet, which makes me skeptical on the nw to n turn.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4769
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

#4112 Postby psyclone » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:24 am

if anything this storm reiterates the pointlessness of freaking out well in advance. i've learned to just sit and watch.
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

#4113 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:25 am

i was just taking a long look at that 3day cone, if irene even takes a slight trip west of the forecast path we could have a nasty thursday and friday in s.fla
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23692
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re:

#4114 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:25 am

eastcoastFL wrote:This morning they said the trough that is supposed to give irene a ride hasn't even developed yet, which makes me skeptical on the nw to n turn.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


I am breathing a big sigh of relief here in South Florida. The model consensus is well east of here and I would be shocked if there are any significant shifts towards Florida at this point especially with the data that has been injected into the models. I don't think we will see much of anything here since it will pass so far east of us. Saved by a trough again here in Florida.

If anything it will create subsidence over the FL peninsula with NNE then NW windflow and dry, hot Thu. and Fri. it looks like.
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

#4115 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:26 am

According to the ts wind speed probabilities we still have a 40-50% chance of experiencing ts force winds. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4116 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:26 am

luvcanescarol wrote:Spectacular images! I'm a novice, and still learning, and trying to get opinions on the potential impacts in Northern NJ. Floyd caused a ton of damage here, the rain totals were surreal. Time will tell.


On the forecast track, impacts should be similar.
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7185
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4117 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:27 am

Bocadude85 wrote:Hmm I kind of expected a TS watch for a part of the Fla coast but I guess she will stay far enough off the coast that one will not be required.


yep so everyone will be reporting to work and school the rest of the week
0 likes   

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4118 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:27 am

where was the NHC and the models forecasting Andrew to go 4 days out? I thought South Florida was a pretty good bet
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4119 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:27 am

jlauderdal wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:Hmm I kind of expected a TS watch for a part of the Fla coast but I guess she will stay far enough off the coast that one will not be required.


yep so everyone will be reporting to work and school the rest of the week



booooo :x
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
pgoss11
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 702
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 3:55 pm

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#4120 Postby pgoss11 » Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:28 am

One thing I've learned from all my years of tracking is...the NHC does a fantastic job within the 3-5 day cone. Everytime I think they're probably wrong.. it's been me who's been wrong. They do a fantastic job. So my faith is in them.
0 likes   


Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 149 guests