ATL: IRENE - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4141 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:48 pm

that's rather slow, but i bet once it begins the northerly turn it will speed up
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthDadeFish
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:54 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthDadeFish

#4142 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

00Z GFS and NAM locations of Irene are nearly identical at 30 hours.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re:

#4143 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?


Yes. Ridge builds back in.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re:

#4144 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?

Yeah, I think one of the mets on this board said that. BTW, not moving very much at 30 hours.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
ObsessedMiami
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 431
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:08 pm
Location: West Kendall, Fl

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4145 Postby ObsessedMiami » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

So far seems to be following the NHC plot
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#4146 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

it IS a little just a hair further west than the last 00Z model run at that time
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#4147 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

+36 hours

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthDadeFish
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:54 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthDadeFish

#4148 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

And at hour 36 the GFS is farther east than the NAM. It looks like it will be similar to the 18Z GFS to me...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Clint_TX
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Thu May 01, 2003 8:31 am

Re: Re:

#4149 Postby Clint_TX » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?


Yes. Ridge builds back in.


Indeed
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#4150 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:51 pm

still same spot at 36hr?
put my finger on the screen and went to 30 hr same spot
Last edited by SeminoleWind on Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4151 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:51 pm

If it's still skirting the DR after 30 hours, I may start to check my supplies.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa_God
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 333
Age: 35
Joined: Wed May 31, 2006 7:27 pm
Location: New Port Richey/Trinity, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4152 Postby Tampa_God » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:52 pm

By H36, looks like Irene gives up trying to start going North more and starts moving back West. And by H36, looks like the ridge starts working back to the West. :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#4153 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

+42hrs


Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#4154 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

still very slow movement at 42
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SouthDadeFish
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:54 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthDadeFish

#4155 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

GFS has the second trough stronger than the NAM through 42 hours.
0 likes   
Top
MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:
Contact MWatkins

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4156 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

Really no difference from the 18Z at t+36. Maybe a tad slower, but just a little. Pretty much dead on the 18Z so far

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7351
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4157 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

I dont want this, days with no electricity is not something I would want or want for anyone else
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4158 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

that 2nd trof is the one she is going to take....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4159 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:56 pm

Ummm, supposed to be at latitude 26.5 in 72 hours, still stuck at 42 hours??
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4160 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:56 pm

Up up and away she goes...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 30 guests