but yes, kinda worried as well; already informed my parents about the possibility of a Hurricane in 5-6 days' time... 
ATL: IRENE - Models
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phwxenthusiast
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SunnyThoughts
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That is one tightly wound bad baaaaaaad girl. wow I know the pressure doesn't look that low as pressures go in this run..but geeze, the isobars are so packed together, it looks like a monster. pheww you guys on the east coast take heed, I can't remember seeing such a tightly wound cane on the east coast like that. And its not just this model run..on this particular run..it seems to be ALL the runs with ALL the different models, no matter where it goes..it just looks so tightly packed, you can't even tell where its making landfall.
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Hybridstorm_November2001
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Re:
chris_fit wrote:Last one... 162
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Think I'm going to bed... FL looks good to me! Will send some thoughts to our neighbors up north!
I'd be on the "dirty" right hand side of Irene, looks bad for the entire region (Long Island, especially Southern New England, through the Maritimes) in this run.
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ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
JTD wrote:2nd run in a row of the GFS to show a NYC hit. A 2-3 hitting NYC is the ultimate nightmare scenario, 10 x worse than Katrina. See Derek Ortt's posts on S2K on the subject written years ago.
Yea, even though the chances of that track completely verifying in track and in strength isn't very high, if that track (and strength) did come to pass, the horrific damage it would cause would send this country into a very deep and dark depression(just my opinion).
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow 
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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Hybridstorm_November2001
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Kohlecane wrote:Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow
I doubt we'll be flash frozen afterwards though.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Kohlecane wrote:Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow
I doubt we'll be flash frozen afterwards though.
He wasn't referring to "The Day After Tomorrow".
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Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Kohlecane wrote:Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow
I doubt we'll be flash frozen afterwards though.
oh i know just thought it fit in with a shiver/quiver of scary, minus the earmuffs and blue face, but hey wait till Jan Feb
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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HurricaneWarning92
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lol yeah this is not going to be the next ice age...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Kohlecane wrote:Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow
I doubt we'll be flash frozen afterwards though.
He wasn't referring to "The Day After Tomorrow".
I believe that too, it would flood the NYC subway system and wipe out a big chunk of Long Island
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Hybridstorm_November2001
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Kohlecane wrote:Anybody watched it could Happen tomorrow
I doubt we'll be flash frozen afterwards though.
He wasn't referring to "The Day After Tomorrow".
Ah my bad, though I'm sure certain people (I won't see who due to the no political posts rule) will have lots of "fun" if Irene hits anyhwere New York at anywhere near that intensity.
Last edited by Hybridstorm_November2001 on Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
00 NOGAPS at 120h. Much slower in the later time periods as the 12Z NOGAPS was off to the races to the northeast.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
HWRF appears to be running...
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
SouthFloridawx wrote:Hybridstorm... even a lazy squirrel finds a nut.
\
Ahhh thank you
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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SouthDadeFish
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Here is a great loop of the 00Z Nogaps:
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
It comes pretty close to Florida and the rest of the E coast...
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
It comes pretty close to Florida and the rest of the E coast...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Kohlecane wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:Hybridstorm... even a lazy squirrel finds a nut.
\
Ahhh thank you
and i shouldn't be joking so much i have some Fam, in freeport .
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:Battlebrick wrote:i can only imagine the rain totals for the whole eastern seaboard for the 0z GFS..
Too bad we can't bottle it all up and send it to Texas. Would you like some fresh bottled Irene water Rock???
SFT
yeah I can use it but only in odd days...mandatory rationing you know...
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Your comment was warranted and fine. I'm sure your family didn't take offense and knows you are concerned about them.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
whats that pressure at landfall? cat 4 or 5? so a cat 2 up in long island?
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