ATL: ARLENE - Remnants

[micktooth]

From Dr Masters at Wunderground:
Arlene: the most common Atlantic storm name of all-time
This year marks the tenth appearance of a storm named Arlene in the Atlantic, making it the most recycled storm name of all-time. The other nine appearances: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, and 2005. It's pretty likely we'll see Arlene again in 2017--no storm that has formed in the Bay of Campeche and made landfall in Mexico has ever had its name retired. Hurricane Audrey of June 1957 formed in the Bay of Campeche and hit Texas as a Category 4 hurricane, killing 550 people, making Audrey one of only two June storms to get its name retired Hurricane Agnes of 1972 was the other. There have been seven storms beginning with the letter "A" that have had their names retired since 1950.

[CrazyC83]

From Dr Masters at Wunderground:
Arlene: the most common Atlantic storm name of all-time
This year marks the tenth appearance of a storm named Arlene in the Atlantic, making it the most recycled storm name of all-time. The other nine appearances: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, and 2005. It's pretty likely we'll see Arlene again in 2017--no storm that has formed in the Bay of Campeche and made landfall in Mexico has ever had its name retired. Hurricane Audrey of June 1957 formed in the Bay of Campeche and hit Texas as a Category 4 hurricane, killing 550 people, making Audrey one of only two June storms to get its name retired Hurricane Agnes of 1972 was the other. There have been seven storms beginning with the letter "A" that have had their names retired since 1950.

That is actually incorrect, there have been three retired June storms - the third being Allison.

[micktooth]

From Dr Masters at Wunderground:
Arlene: the most common Atlantic storm name of all-time
This year marks the tenth appearance of a storm named Arlene in the Atlantic, making it the most recycled storm name of all-time. The other nine appearances: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, and 2005. It's pretty likely we'll see Arlene again in 2017--no storm that has formed in the Bay of Campeche and made landfall in Mexico has ever had its name retired. Hurricane Audrey of June 1957 formed in the Bay of Campeche and hit Texas as a Category 4 hurricane, killing 550 people, making Audrey one of only two June storms to get its name retired Hurricane Agnes of 1972 was the other. There have been seven storms beginning with the letter "A" that have had their names retired since 1950.

That is actually incorrect, there have been three retired June storms - the third being Allison.

According to Dr Masters at Wunderground, from the same article, he mentions Allison but doesn't give a month( good catch):

Allison (2001)
Andrew (1992)
Alicia (1983)
Allen (1980)
Anita (1977)
Agnes (1972)
Audrey (1957)

[JTE50]

Can anyone pull up any of the Mexico radar sites? They aren't working for me.

[Annie Oakley]

14:45

Lucky us to have TheBurn on board........your graphics are pure art......

[Sanibel]

Better form and convection. All up to track now.

[HURAKAN]

latest infrared image

[micktooth]

Can anyone pull up any of the Mexico radar sites? They aren't working for me.

Did you try this one? http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option= ... &Itemid=84

[JTE50]

Can anyone pull up any of the Mexico radar sites? They aren't working for me.

Did you try this one? http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option= ... &Itemid=84

ah, that one works. I must have had an old link or something. Thanks!

and BTW it even animates on my Iphone. No Flash!

[piggy]

nice 2 loop of Mexican radar.

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?99

[Blown Away]

Amazing how many systems build so quickly in such a small area like the BOC. The upper level conditions always seem favorable in the BOC, fortunately the proximity of land prevents most storms in this area from becoming monsters.

[piggy]

Wow can really see Arlene wrap up in this PW looop from :

Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS - Total Precipitable Water (MIMIC-TPW)

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... /main.html

[Bobo2000]

After Arlene, this season is going to ignite. And also Arlene at 50-55 mph.

[wxman57]

nice 2 loop of Mexican radar.

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?99

Unfortunately, it appears that the Mexican radars are 3 hours old online.

[wxman57]

After Arlene, this season is going to ignite. And also Arlene at 50-55 mph.

I think that "ignition" is still about 5 weeks away. Hopefully we'll have a quiet July.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
100 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

...ARLENE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 95.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTHWARD
TO BARRA DE NAUTLA...AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTHWARD TO PALMA SOLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTH OF LA PESCA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO LA
CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO
LA PESCA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST. ARLENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ARLENE COULD APPROACH
HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
TAMAULIPAS...VERACRUZ...EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI...AND EASTERN NUEVO
LEON...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BEVEN

[Frank2]

The system doesn't appear to be vertically stacked - perhaps the LLC is much closer to the coast than the MLC...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[cycloneye]

18z Best Track

AL, 01, 2011062918, , BEST, 0, 211N, 958W, 45, 1000, TS

[cycloneye]

New mission is underway.


URNT15 KNHC 291830
AF309 0301A ARLENE HDOB 02 20110629
182030 3008N 08906W 5872 04615 //// -002 //// 006008 009 /// /// 05
182100 3006N 08907W 5733 04806 //// -012 //// 007009 009 /// /// 05
182130 3005N 08909W 5599 04994 //// -020 //// 020005 007 /// /// 05
182200 3004N 08910W 5458 05198 0275 -030 //// 300003 004 /// /// 05
182230 3002N 08912W 5329 05390 0288 -037 //// 250007 008 /// /// 05
182300 3001N 08913W 5210 05569 0300 -044 //// 245009 009 /// /// 05
182330 3000N 08915W 5124 05700 0309 -052 //// 248006 007 /// /// 05
182400 2958N 08916W 5031 05847 0316 -059 //// 265006 007 /// /// 05
182430 2957N 08917W 4948 05976 0322 -069 //// 282007 008 /// /// 05
182500 2956N 08919W 4868 06101 0328 -080 //// 277006 007 /// /// 05
182530 2954N 08920W 4776 06248 0336 -090 //// 262006 007 /// /// 05
182600 2953N 08922W 4707 06360 0345 -092 //// 289005 006 /// /// 05
182630 2951N 08923W 4656 06444 0348 -093 //// 330005 005 /// /// 05
182700 2950N 08925W 4593 06549 0353 -102 //// 359006 007 /// /// 05
182730 2949N 08926W 4529 06656 0359 -106 //// 002007 007 /// /// 05
182800 2947N 08928W 4458 06772 0362 -114 //// 008008 008 /// /// 05
182830 2946N 08930W 4399 06870 0365 -120 //// 011007 007 /// /// 05
182900 2944N 08931W 4341 06967 0365 -122 //// 016005 007 /// /// 05
182930 2943N 08933W 4285 07062 0369 -126 //// 030004 005 /// /// 05
183000 2941N 08934W 4243 07139 0373 -130 //// 035006 006 /// /// 05
$$

[hriverajr]

Off Topic but I hope the ignition is not five weeks away... the drought....